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Given a low frequency sample of an infinitely divisible moving average random field $\{\int_{\mathbb{R}^d} f(x-t)\Lambda(dx); \ t \in \mathbb{R}^d \}$ with a known simple function $f$, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Wolfgang Karcher , Stefan Roth , Evgeny Spodarev , Corinna Walk

The article considers parameter estimation constructing such as quasi-maximum likelyhood estimation and one step estimation in statistical models generated by solution of stochastic differential equation. It has been developed a software…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Dmytro Ivanenko , Rostyslav Pogorielov

While sensitivity analysis improves the transparency and reliability of mathematical models, its uptake by modelers is still scarce. This is partially explained by its technical requirements, which may be hard to understand and implement by…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-20 Arnald Puy , Pamphile T. Roy , Andrea Saltelli

We discuss suitable classes of diffusion processes, for which functionals relevant to finance can be computed via Monte Carlo methods. In particular, we construct exact simulation schemes for processes from this class. However, should the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-04-06 Jan Baldeaux , Eckhard Platen

We construct importance sampling schemes for stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating coefficients. Standard Monte Carlo methods perform poorly for these problems in the small noise limit. With multiscale…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-03 Paul Dupuis , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Hui Wang

Assuming that a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck state process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate all drift and diffusion parameters via the celebrated ergodic theorem. With the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

Equality-constrained models naturally arise in problems in which measurements are taken at different levels of resolution. The challenge in this setting is that the models usually induce a joint distribution which is intractable. Resorting…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-28 Shenggang Hu , Hongsheng Dai , Fanlin Meng , Louis Aslett , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts

We consider the question of computing invariant measures from an abstract point of view. We work in a general framework (computable metric spaces, computable measures and functions) where this problem can be posed precisely. We consider…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-03-30 Stefano Galatolo , Mathieu Hoyrup , Cristobal Rojas

We introduce an inferential framework for a wide class of semi-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Recent work has shown that numerical splitting schemes can preserve critical properties of such types of SDEs, give rise to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-22 Shu Huang , Richard G. Everitt , Massimiliano Tamborrino , Adam M. Johansen

A standard approach to computing expectations with respect to a given target measure is to introduce an overdamped Langevin equation which is reversible with respect to the target distribution, and to approximate the expectation by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 A. B. Duncan , T. Lelievre , G. A. Pavliotis

This paper deals with the problem of outliers in high frequency observation data from diffusion processes. Robust estimation methods are needed because the inclusion of outliers can lead to incorrect statistical inference even in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Yusuke Shimizu

We consider parametric estimation and tests for multi-dimensional diffusion processes with a small dispersion parameter $\varepsilon$ from discrete observations. For parametric estimation of diffusion processes, the main target is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Tetsuya Kawai , Masayuki Uchida

We consider a $d$-dimensional SDE with an identity diffusion matrix and a drift vector being a vector function of bounded variation. We give a representation for the derivative of the solution with respect to the initial data.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Olga Aryasova , Andrey Pilipenko

In this paper we present a novel approach towards variance reduction for discretised diffusion processes. The proposed approach involves specially constructed control variates and allows for a significant reduction in the variance for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Denis Belomestny , Stefan Häfner , Mikhail Urusov

Computing observables from conditioned dynamics is typically computationally hard, because, although obtaining independent samples efficiently from the unconditioned dynamics is usually feasible, generally most of the samples must be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-01-08 Alfredo Braunstein , Giovanni Catania , Luca Dall'Asta , Matteo Mariani , Anna Paola Muntoni

Drawing from the theory of stochastic differential equations, we introduce a novel sampling method for known distributions and a new algorithm for diffusion generative models with unknown distributions. Our approach is inspired by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-12 Xicheng Zhang

We study $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued mean field stochastic differential equations with a diffusion coefficient depending on the $L_p$-norm of the process in a discontinuous way. We show that under a strong drift there exists a unique global…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Jani Nykänen

This paper investigates the use of stratified sampling as a variance reduction technique for approximating integrals over large dimensional spaces. The accuracy of this method critically depends on the choice of the space partition, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-15 Pierre Etoré , Gersende Fort , Benjamin Jourdain , Eric Moulines

We demonstrate a data-driven method to solve for the invariant probability density function of a randomly perturbed dynamical system. The key idea is to replace the boundary condition of numerical schemes by a least squares problem…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Yao Li

A new approach of obtaining stratified random samples from statistically dependent random variables is described. The proposed method can be used to obtain samples from the input space of a computer forward model in estimating expectations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-25 Anirban Mondal , Abhijit Mandal