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Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong

We develop diffusion-based samplers for target distributions known up to a normalising constant. To this end, we rely on the well-known diffusion path that smoothly interpolates between a simple base distribution and the target, popularised…

We investigate through a Generalized Langevin formalism the phenomenon of anomalous diffusion for asymptotic times, and we generalized the concept of the diffusion exponent. A method is proposed to obtain the diffusion coefficient…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-20 R. M. S. Ferreira , M. V. S. Santos , C. C. Donato , J. S. Andrade , F. A. Oliveira

Indirect inference requires simulating realisations of endogenous variables from the model under study. When the endogenous variables are discontinuous functions of the model parameters, the resulting indirect inference criterion function…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-11 David T. Frazier , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Alessio Mazzetto

We prove that there exists a diffusion process whose invariant measure is the three dimensional polymer measure $\nu_\lambda$ for all $\lambda>0$. We follow in part a previous incomplete unpublished work of the first named author with M.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-25 Sergio Albeverio , Seiichiro Kusuoka , Song Liang , Makoto Nakashima

We present a general scheme to calculate within the independent interval approximation generalized (level-dependent) persistence properties for processes having a finite density of zero-crossings. Our results are especially relevant for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ivan Dornic , Anaël Lemaître , Andrea Baldassarri , Hugues Chaté

We show that a substantial portion of stochastic calculus can be developed along similar lines to ordinary calculus, with derivative-based concepts driving the development. We define a notion of stopping derivative, which is a form of right…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Alex Simpson

We consider the question of estimating the drift and the invariant density for a large class of scalar ergodic diffusion processes, based on continuous observations, in $\sup$-norm loss. The unknown drift $b$ is supposed to belong to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Claudia Strauch

We consider a particular class of n-dimensional homogeneous diffusions all of which have an identity diffusion matrix and a drift function that is piecewise constant and scale invariant. Abstract stochastic calculus immediately gives us…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Sourav Chatterjee , Soumik Pal

In this paper, a method to exactly sample the trajectories of inverse subordinators (in the sense of the finite-dimensional distributions), jointly with the undershooting or overshooting process, is provided. The method applies to general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Ivan Biočić , Daniel E. Cedeño-Girón , Bruno Toaldo

In this article we consider static Bayesian parameter estimation for partially observed diffusions that are discretely observed. We work under the assumption that one must resort to discretizing the underlying diffusion process, for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-23 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody J. H. Law , Yan Zhou

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma r_t^\beta dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants, $\beta\in(\frac12,1)$. We study the estimation of an unknown drift parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Olena Dehtiar

Path-wise observables--functionals of stochastic trajectories--are at the heart of time-average statistical mechanics and are central to thermodynamic inequalities such as uncertainty relations, speed limits, and correlation-bounds. They…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-21 Lars Torbjørn Stutzer , Cai Dieball , Aljaž Godec

We compute approximate solutions to inverse problems for determining parameters in differential equation models with stochastic data on output quantities. The formulation of the problem and modeling framework define a solution as a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Troy Butler , Don Estep , Simon Tavener , Timothy Wildey , Clint Dawson , Lindley Graham

Let $(X_t)_{t \ge 0}$ be solution of a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation. Our aim is to study the convergence rate for the estimation of the invariant density in intermediate regime, assuming that a discrete observation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

In this work, we consider the numerical recovery of a spatially dependent diffusion coefficient in a subdiffusion model from distributed observations. The subdiffusion model involves a Caputo fractional derivative of order $\alpha\in(0,1)$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Bangti Jin , Zhi Zhou

In this work, we are concerned with existence and uniqueness of invariant measures for path-dependent random diffusions and their time discretizations. The random diffusion here means a diffusion process living in a random environment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao , Chenggui Yuan

This paper aims at developing a systematic study for the weak rate of convergence of the Euler-Maruyama scheme for stochastic differential equations with very irregular drift and constant diffusion coefficients. We apply our method to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Hoang-Long Ngo , Dai Taguchi

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the shift parameter in a semiparametric regression model when the distribution of the observation times is unknown. Hence, we propose to use a stochastic algorithm which takes into account the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Philippe Fraysse