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This paper considers a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic reaction-diffusion model with no-flux boundary conditions and varying total population. The interaction of the susceptible and infected people is describe by the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Rui Peng , Rachidi B. Salako , Yixiang Wu

We present and analyze a mathematical model to study the feedback between behavior and epidemic spread in a population that is actively assessing and reacting to risk of infection. In our model, a population dynamically forms an opinion…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Marcela Ordorica Arango , Anastasia Bizyaeva , Simon A. Levin , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

The course of an epidemic is not only shaped by infection transmission over face-to-face contacts, but also by preventive behaviour caused by risk perception and social interactions. This study explores the dynamics of coupled awareness and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-24 Tim Van Wesemael , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan M. Baetens

We propose an extension of the classical susceptible infectious recovered (SIR) model that incorporates the effects of spatial propagation of an epidemic through a small number of additional compartments. The model is designed to capture…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-02 M. Soledad Aronna , Mariana Bergonzi , Ernesto Kofman

Infectious diseases spread through human networks. Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model is one of the epidemic models to describe infection dynamics on a complex network connecting individuals. In the metapopulation SIR model, each node…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-08-27 Kanako Mizuno , Kazue Kudo

Individuals change their behavior during an epidemic in response to whether they and/or those they interact with are healthy or sick. Healthy individuals are concerned about contracting a disease from their sick contacts and may utilize…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Ceyhun Eksin , Jeff S. Shamma , Joshua S. Weitz

Risk-driven behavior provides a feedback mechanism through which individuals both shape and are collectively affected by an epidemic. We introduce a general and flexible compartmental model to study the effect of heterogeneity in the…

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

Since 1927, until recently, models describing the spread of disease have mostly been of the SIR-compartmental type, based on the assumption that populations are homogeneous and well-mixed. The focus of these models have typically been on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-23 Lara Goscé , David A W Barton , Anders Johansson

We study the dynamics of epidemic and reaction-diffusion processes in metapopulation models with heterogeneous connectivity pattern. In SIR-like processes, along with the standard local epidemic threshold, the system exhibits a global…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Vittoria Colizza , Alessandro Vespignani

Social networks are an important infrastructure for information, viruses and innovations propagation. Since users behavior has influenced by other users activity, some groups of people would be made regard to similarity of users interests.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-30 Hamidreza Sotoodeh , Farshad Safaei , Arghavan Sanei , Elahe Daei

Susceptible-Invective-Recovered (SIR) mathematical models are in high demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic. They are used in their standard formulation, or through the many variants, trying to fit and hopefully predict the number of new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Ben-Hur Francisco Cardoso , Sebastián Gonçalves

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

In an important paper, M.E.J. Newman claimed that a general network-based stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Removed (SIR) epidemic model is isomorphic to a bond percolation model, where the bonds are the edges of the contact network and the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

Records of social interactions provide us with new sources of data for understanding how interaction patterns affect collective dynamics. Such human activity patterns are often bursty, i.e., they consist of short periods of intense activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Taro Takaguchi , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

The susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model describes the evolution of three species of individuals which are subject to an infection and recovery mechanism. A susceptible $S$ can become infectious with an infection rate $\beta$ by an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-06-30 Gunter M. Schütz , Marian Brandau , Steffen Trimper

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

The epidemic spreading has been studied for years by applying the mean-field approach in both homogeneous case, where each node may get infected by an infected neighbor with the same rate, and heterogeneous case, where the infection rates…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-06 Bo Qu , Huijuan Wang

We study the spread of stochastic SIR (Susceptible $\to$ Infectious $\to$ Recovered) epidemics in two types of structured populations, both consisting of schools and households. In each of the types, every individual is part of one school…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-23 Tanneke Ouboter , Ronald Meester , Pieter Trapman