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Applying link prediction (LP) methods over knowledge graphs (KG) for tasks such as causal event prediction presents an exciting opportunity. However, typical LP models are ill-suited for this task as they are incapable of performing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Sola Shirai , Debarun Bhattacharjya , Oktie Hassanzadeh

Weather is a phenomenon that affects everything and everyone around us on a daily basis. Weather prediction has been an important point of study for decades as researchers have tried to predict the weather and climatic changes using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Ishu Gupta , Harsh Mittal , Deepak Rikhari , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

Extreme weather events have an enormous impact on society and are expected to become more frequent and severe with climate change. In this context, resilience planning becomes crucial for risk mitigation and coping with these extreme…

Recently, abstract argumentation-based models of case-based reasoning ($AA{\text -}CBR$ in short) have been proposed, originally inspired by the legal domain, but also applicable as classifiers in different scenarios, including image…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Guilherme Paulino-Passos , Francesca Toni

A wide variety of NLP applications, such as machine translation, summarization, and dialog, involve text generation. One major challenge for these applications is how to evaluate whether such generated texts are actually fluent, accurate,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Weizhe Yuan , Graham Neubig , Pengfei Liu

We present a new framework for the assessment and calibration of medium range ensemble temperature forecasts. The method is based on maximising the likelihood of a simple parametric model for the temperature distribution, and leads to some…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Stephen Jewson , Anders Brix , Christine Ziehmann

Seasonal forecasting is a crucial task when it comes to detecting the extreme heat and colds that occur due to climate change. Confidence in the predictions should be reliable since a small increase in the temperatures in a year has a big…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Busra Asan , Abdullah Akgül , Alper Unal , Melih Kandemir , Gozde Unal

Precipitation forecasts are less accurate compared to other meteorological fields because several key processes affecting precipitation distribution and intensity occur below the resolved scale of global weather prediction models. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-21 Rüdiger Brecht , Alex Bihlo

Existing metrics for assessing question generation not only require costly human reference but also fail to take into account the input context of generation, rendering the lack of deep understanding of the relevance between the generated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Xiaoqiang Wang , Bang Liu , Siliang Tang , Lingfei Wu

It is often challenging to solve a complex problem from scratch, but much easier if we can access other similar problems with their solutions -- a paradigm known as case-based reasoning (CBR). We propose a neuro-symbolic CBR approach…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Rajarshi Das , Manzil Zaheer , Dung Thai , Ameya Godbole , Ethan Perez , Jay-Yoon Lee , Lizhen Tan , Lazaros Polymenakos , Andrew McCallum

In this document I present an approach to answer validation and reranking for question answering (QA) systems. A cased-based reasoning (CBR) system judges answer candidates for questions from annotated answer candidates for earlier…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-11 Karl-Heinz Weis

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

In the field of explainable AI, a vibrant effort is dedicated to the design of self-explainable models, as a more principled alternative to post-hoc methods that attempt to explain the decisions after a model opaquely makes them. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Romain Xu-Darme , Aymeric Varasse , Alban Grastien , Julien Girard , Zakaria Chihani

Conversational Recommender Systems (CRS) has become an emerging research topic seeking to perform recommendations through interactive conversations, which generally consist of generation and recommendation modules. Prior work on CRS tends…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Lingzhi Wang , Shafiq Joty , Wei Gao , Xingshan Zeng , Kam-Fai Wong

Narrative reasoning relies on the understanding of eventualities in story contexts, which requires a wealth of background world knowledge. To help machines leverage such knowledge, existing solutions can be categorized into two groups. Some…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Cheng Jiayang , Lin Qiu , Chunkit Chan , Xin Liu , Yangqiu Song , Zheng Zhang

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

In this paper, we present a monitoring system that allows increasing road safety by predicting ice formation. The system consists of a network of road weather stations and intelligence data processing program module. The results were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Dmitrii Smolyakov , Evgeny Burnaev

Eliciting reasoning capabilities from language models (LMs) is a critical direction on the path towards building intelligent systems. Most recent studies dedicated to reasoning focus on out-of-distribution performance on…

Verifying probabilistic forecasts for extreme events is a highly active research area because popular media and public opinions are naturally focused on extreme events, and biased conclusions are readily made. In this context, classical…

Natural Language Inference is an important task for Natural Language Understanding. It is concerned with classifying the logical relation between two sentences. In this paper, we propose several text generative neural networks for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-28 Janez Starc , Dunja Mladenić