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A wide variety of stochastic models of cladogenesis (based on speciation and extinction) lead to an identical distribution on phylogenetic tree shapes once the edge lengths are ignored. By contrast, the distribution of the tree's edge…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-05 Mike Steel

Regression trees and random forests are popular and effective non-parametric estimators in practical applications. A recent paper by Athey and Wager shows that the random forest estimate at any point is asymptotically Gaussian; in this…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-02 Kevin Li

We propose a random forest estimator for the intensity of spatial point processes, applicable with or without covariates. It retains the well-known advantages of a random forest approach, including the ability to handle a large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Christophe Biscio , Frédéric Lavancier

We study the structure of trees minimizing their number of stable sets for given order $n$ and stability number $\alpha$. Our main result is that the edges of a non-trivial extremal tree can be partitioned into $n-\alpha$ stars, each of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Véronique Bruyère , Gwenaël Joret , Hadrien Mélot

There have been many studies to examine whether one trait is correlated with another trait across a group of present-day species (for example, do species with larger brains tend to have longer gestation times. Since the introduction of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-07 Albert Ch. Soewongsono , Barbara R. Holland , Malgorzata M. O'Reilly

Random forests have proven to be reliable predictive algorithms in many application areas. Not much is known, however, about the statistical properties of random forests. Several authors have established conditions under which their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Stefan Wager

In this paper we investigate the use of staged tree models for discrete longitudinal data. Staged trees are a type of probabilistic graphical model for finite sample space processes. They are a natural fit for longitudinal data because a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Jack Storror Carter , Manuele Leonelli , Eva Riccomagno , Alessandro Ugolini

Environmental stochasticity is known to be a destabilizing factor, increasing abundance fluctuations and extinction rates of populations. However, the stability of a community may benefit from the differential response of species to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-10 Matan Danino , Nadav M. Shnerb , Sandro Azaele , William E. Kunin , David A. Kessler

We consider a biological population whose environment varies periodically in time, exhibiting two very different "seasons" : one is favorable and the other one is unfavorable. For monotone differential models with concave nonlinearities, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-23 Martin Strugarek , Hongjun Ji

Many biological systems regulate phenotypic heterogeneity as a fitness-maximising strategy in uncertain and dynamic environments. Analysis of such strategies is typically confined both to a discrete set of environmental conditions, and to a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-02 Alexander P Browning , Sara Hamis

We give sufficient conditions for existence, uniqueness and ergodicity of invariant measures for Musiela's stochastic partial differential equation with deterministic volatility and a Hilbert space valued driving L\'evy noise. Conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-04 Carlo Marinelli

Tree-based methods are popular nonparametric tools in studying time-to-event outcomes. In this article, we introduce a novel framework for survival trees and ensembles, where the trees partition the dynamic survivor population and can…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Yifei Sun , Sy Han Chiou , Mei-Cheng Wang

Individuals within any species exhibit differences in size, developmental state, or spatial location. These differences coupled with environmental fluctuations in demographic rates can have subtle effects on population persistence and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-16 Gregory Roth , Sebastian J. Schreiber

For a uniform random labelled tree, we find the limiting distribution of tree parameters which are stable (in some sense) with respect to local perturbations of the tree structure. The proof is based on the martingale central limit theorem…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Mikhail Isaev , Angus Southwell , Maksim Zhukovskii

In this paper, we consider two attractive stochastic spatial models in which each site can be in state 0, 1 or 2: Krone's model in which 0${}={}$vacant, 1${}={}$juvenile and 2${}={}$a mature individual capable of giving birth, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-29 Rick Durrett , Yuan Zhang

This work proposes a new a framework for determining robust periodic invariant sets and their associated control laws for constrained uncertain linear systems. Necessary and sufficient conditions for stabilizability by periodic controllers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Yehia Abdelsalam , Sankaranarayanan Subramanian , Sebastian Engell

The stability of solutions to evolution equations with respect to small stochastic perturbations is considered. The stability of a stochastic dynamical system is characterized by the local stability index. The limit of this index with…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 V. I. Yukalov

The notion of stochastic shadowing property is introduced. Relations to stochastic stability and standard shadowing are studied. Using tent map as an example it is proved that, in contrast to what happens for standard shadowing, there are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Dmitry Todorov

We study the position of the computable setting in the "common theory of locality" developed in arXiv:2106.02066 and arXiv:2204.09329 for local problems on $\Delta$-regular trees, $\Delta \in \omega$. We show that such a problem admits a…

Logic · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Felix Weilacher

The classes of tree permutations and forest permutations were defined by Acan and Hitczenko (2016). We study random permutations of a given length from these classes, and in particular the number of occurrences of a fixed pattern in one of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Svante Janson