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The last decade has shed some light on theoretical properties such as their consistency for regression tasks. In the current paper, we propose a new class of very simple learners based on so-called naive trees. These naive trees partition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Nico Föge , Markus Pauly , Lena Schmid , Marc Ditzhaus

We establish a sufficient condition for the tightness of a sequence of stochastic processes. Our condition makes it possible to study processes with accumulations of fixed times of discontinuity. Our motivation comes from the study of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-02 Vincent Bansaye , Tom Kurtz , Florian Simatos

Random forests are a powerful method for non-parametric regression, but are limited in their ability to fit smooth signals, and can show poor predictive performance in the presence of strong, smooth effects. Taking the perspective of random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-08 Rina Friedberg , Julie Tibshirani , Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

A conditional independence graph is a concise representation of pairwise conditional independence among many variables. Graphical Random Forests (GRaFo) are a novel method for estimating pairwise conditional independence relationships among…

The issue of estimating residual variance in regression models has experienced relatively little attention in the machine learning community. However, the estimate is of primary interest in many practical applications, e.g. as a primary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Burim Ramosaj , Markus Pauly

In this paper we criticize the robustness measure traditionally employed to assess the performance of machine learning models deployed in adversarial settings. To mitigate the limitations of robustness, we introduce a new measure called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Stefano Calzavara , Lorenzo Cazzaro , Claudio Lucchese , Federico Marcuzzi , Salvatore Orlando

Changes in the frequency, duration, and severity of climate extremes are forecast to occur under global climate change. The impacts of climate extremes on forest productivity and health are complicated by potential interactions with…

We establish the existence and the pointwise bound of the fundamental solution for the stationary Stokes system with measurable coefficients in the whole space $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d \ge 3$, under the assumption that weak solutions of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Jongkeun Choi , Minsuk Yang

The existence and uniqueness are proved for the global positive solution to the system of stochastic differential equations describing a two-species mutualism model disturbed by the white noise, the centered and non-centered Poisson noises.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Olga Borysenko , Oleksandr Borysenko

The dynamics of species' densities depend both on internal and external variables. Internal variables include frequencies of individuals exhibiting different phenotypes or living in different spatial locations. External variables include…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-28 Michel Benaïm , Sebastian J. Schreiber

We derive the asymptotic behavior of the total, active and inactive branch lengths of the seed bank coalescent, when the size of the initial sample grows to infinity. Those random variables have important applications for populations…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Adrián González Casanova , Lizbeth Peñaloza , Arno Siri-Jégousse

What determines biodiversity in nature is a prominent issue in ecology, especially in biotic resource systems that are typically devoid of cross-feeding. Here, we show that by incorporating pairwise encounters among consumer individuals…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-18 Ju Kang , Shijie Zhang , Yiyuan Niu , Xin Wang

We introduce random survival forests, a random forests method for the analysis of right-censored survival data. New survival splitting rules for growing survival trees are introduced, as is a new missing data algorithm for imputing missing…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-12 Hemant Ishwaran , Udaya B. Kogalur , Eugene H. Blackstone , Michael S. Lauer

We study a problem of damping a control system described by functional-differential equations of natural order $n$ and neutral type with non-smooth complex coefficients on an arbitrary tree with global delay. The latter means that the delay…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-01 Sergey Buterin

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li

The properties of randomly evolving special trees having defined and analyzed already in two earlier papers (arXiv:cond-mat/0205650 and arXiv:cond-mat/0211092) have been investigated in the case when the continuous time parameter converges…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Pal

We propose a discrete two-dimensional mathematical model for forest fires and we derive certain results describing its limiting behavior. We also pose a relevant open question.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Vassilis G. Papanicolaou

The time process of transport on randomly evolving trees is investigated. By introducing the notions of living and dead nodes a model of random tree evolution is constructed which describes the spreading in time of objects corresponding to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Pal

Forests are complex systems, and it is necessary to include this characteristic in every forest definition, in order to consider the restriction that this imposes in terms of prediction and control. This lost of predictability and…

We study the evolution of the population genealogy in the classic neutral Moran Model of finite size and in discrete time. The stochastic transformations that shape a Moran population can be realized directly on its genealogy and give rise…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-08 Johannes Wirtz , Thomas Wiehe