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Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods have gained in their popularity over the last decade because they expand the horizon of Bayesian parameter inference methods to the range of models for which only forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-05 Majid K. Vakilzadeh , James L. Beck , Thomas Abrahamsson

Data mining has been applied in various areas because of its ability to rapidly analyze vast amounts of data. This study is to build the Graduates Employment Model using classification task in data mining, and to compare several of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-12-30 Bangsuk Jantawan , Cheng-Fa Tsai

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

This paper studies prediction with multiple candidate models, where the goal is to combine their outputs. This task is especially challenging in heterogeneous settings, where different models may be better suited to different inputs. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Yuli Slavutsky , Sebastian Salazar , David M. Blei

Bayesian experimental design (BED) is a framework that uses statistical models and decision making under uncertainty to optimise the cost and performance of a scientific experiment. Sequential BED, as opposed to static BED, considers the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-23 Steven Kleinegesse , Christopher Drovandi , Michael U. Gutmann

Regression models fitted to data can be assessed on their goodness of fit, though models with many parameters should be disfavored to prevent over-fitting. Statisticians' tools for this are little known to physical scientists. These include…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-28 Robert S. Maier

Occupancy prediction has increasingly garnered attention in recent years for its fine-grained understanding of 3D scenes. Traditional approaches typically rely on dense, regular grid representations, which often leads to excessive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Yuhang Lu , Xinge Zhu , Tai Wang , Yuexin Ma

This work addresses the problem of conducting valid inference for additive and linear mixed models after model selection. One possible solution to overcome overconfident inference results after model selection is selective inference, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 David Rügamer , Philipp F. M. Baumann , Sonja Greven

Many engineering and scientific workflows rely on expensive black-box evaluations, requiring sequential decisions that must both improve task performance and reduce uncertainty. Bayesian optimization (BO) and Bayesian experimental design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Yingke Li , Anjali Parashar , Enlu Zhou , Chuchu Fan

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

The statistical analysis of measurement data has become a key component of many quantum engineering experiments. As standard full state tomography becomes unfeasible for large dimensional quantum systems, one needs to exploit prior…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-11-27 Madalin Guta , Theodore Kypraios , Ian Dryden

We propose information criteria that measure the prediction risk of a predictive density based on the Bayesian marginal likelihood from a frequentist point of view. We derive criteria for selecting variables in linear regression models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-20 Yuki Kawakubo , Tatsuya Kubokawa , Muni S. Srivastava

While the study of a single network is well-established, technological advances now allow for the collection of multiple networks with relative ease. Increasingly, anywhere from several to thousands of networks can be created from brain…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-14 Nathaniel Josephs , Lizhen Lin , Steven Rosenberg , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Mixture models are widely used in Bayesian statistics and machine learning, in particular in computational biology, natural language processing and many other fields. Variational inference, a technique for approximating intractable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier

Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is a measure of the quality of a statistical model for a given set of data. We can determine the best statistical model for a particular data set by the minimization of the AIC. Since we need to evaluate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Keiji Kimura , Hayato Waki

We explore the theoretical and numerical property of a fully Bayesian model selection method in sparse ultrahigh-dimensional settings, i.e., $p\gg n$, where $p$ is the number of covariates and $n$ is the sample size. Our method consists of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-13 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

Model selection is a pivotal process in the quantitative sciences, where researchers must navigate between numerous candidate models of varying complexity. Traditional information criteria, such as the corrected Akaike Information Criterion…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-16 Jakob Vanhoefer , Antonia Körner , Domagoj Doresic , Jan Hasenauer , Dilan Pathirana

We present a statistical perspective on boosting. Special emphasis is given to estimating potentially complex parametric or nonparametric models, including generalized linear and additive models as well as regression models for survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Peter Bühlmann , Torsten Hothorn

Variable selection over a potentially large set of covariates in a linear model is quite popular. In the Bayesian context, common prior choices can lead to a posterior expectation of the regression coefficients that is a sparse (or nearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Debamita Kundu , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins