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Model Selection is a key part of many ecological studies, with Akaike's Information Criterion the most commonly used technique. Typically, a number of candidate models are defined a priori and ranked according to their expected…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-17 Edward Wheatcroft

The rapid advancement of data science and artificial intelligence has affected physics in numerous ways, including the application of Bayesian inference, setting the stage for a revolution in research methodology. Our group has proposed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-28 Shun Katakami , Shuhei Kashiwamura , Kenji Nagata , Masaichiro Mizumaki , Masato Okada

The application of Bayesian inference for the purpose of model selection is very popular nowadays. In this framework, models are compared through their marginal likelihoods, or their quotients, called Bayes factors. However, marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 F. Llorente , L. Martino , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , D. Delgado

The Bayesian and Akaike information criteria aim at finding a good balance between under- and over-fitting. They are extensively used every day by practitioners. Yet we contend they suffer from at least two afflictions: their penalty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Sylvain Sardy , Maxime van Cutsem , Sara van de Geer

A fully Bayesian approach is proposed for ultrahigh-dimensional nonparametric additive models in which the number of additive components may be larger than the sample size, though ideally the true model is believed to include only a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-24 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

Occupancy modeling is a common approach to assess spatial and temporal species distribution patterns, while explicitly accounting for measurement errors common in detection-nondetection data. Numerous extensions of the basic single species…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-04 Jeffrey W. Doser , Andrew O. Finley , Marc Kéry , Elise F. Zipkin

Predicting competitive outcomes typically requires fitting dynamical models to data, from which interaction strengths and coexistence indicators such as invasion criteria can be produced. Methods that allow to propagate parameter…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-10 Matthieu Paquet , Frédéric Barraquand

Given a random sample from a multivariate population, estimating the number of large eigenvalues of the population covariance matrix is an important problem in Statistics with wide applications in many areas. In the context of Principal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Abhinav Chakraborty , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee , Arijit Chakrabarti

The aim of this paper is to explore and develop advanced spatial Bayesian assessment methods and techniques for land use modeling. The paper provides a comprehensive guide for assessing additional informational entropy value of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-06-17 Kostas Alexandridis , Bryan C. Pijanowski

Occupancy prediction, aiming at predicting the occupancy status within voxelized 3D environment, is quickly gaining momentum within the autonomous driving community. Mainstream occupancy prediction works first discretize the 3D environment…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Jiabao Wang , Zhaojiang Liu , Qiang Meng , Liujiang Yan , Ke Wang , Jie Yang , Wei Liu , Qibin Hou , Ming-Ming Cheng

In the context of a high-dimensional linear regression model, we propose the use of an empirical correlation-adaptive prior that makes use of information in the observed predictor variable matrix to adaptively address high collinearity,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Chang Liu , Yue Yang , Howard Bondell , Ryan Martin

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

Aim: The Akaike information Criterion (AIC) is widely used science to make predictions about complex phenomena based on an entire set of models weighted by Akaike weights. This approach (AIC model averaging; hereafter AvgAICc) is often…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-13 Eliecer E. Gutierrez , Neander M. Heming

We present a new method of learning a continuous occupancy field for use in robot navigation. Occupancy grid maps, or variants of, are possibly the most widely used and accepted method of building a map of a robot's environment. Various…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Nicholas O'Dell , Christopher Renton , Adrian Wills

Spatial concurrent linear models, in which the model coefficients are spatial processes varying at a local level, are flexible and useful tools for analyzing spatial data. One approach places stationary Gaussian process priors on the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-03 Zuofeng Shang , Murray K. Clayton

We perform a Bayesian analysis on abundance data for ten species of North American duck, using the results to investigate the evidence in favour of biologically motivated hypotheses about the causes and mechanisms of density dependence in…

The growing use of model-selection principles in ecology for statistical inference is underpinned by information criteria (IC) and cross-validation (CV) techniques. Although IC techniques, such as Akaike's Information Criterion, have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-10 Luke Yates , Zach Aandahl , Shane A. Richards , Barry W. Brook

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

We consider Bayesian model selection in generalized linear models that are high-dimensional, with the number of covariates p being large relative to the sample size n, but sparse in that the number of active covariates is small compared to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-26 Rina Foygel , Mathias Drton