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Machine learning models deployed in real-world applications are often evaluated with precision-based metrics such as F1-score or AUC-PR (Area Under the Curve of Precision Recall). Heavily dependent on the class prior, such metrics make it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Wissam Siblini , Jordan Fréry , Liyun He-Guelton , Frédéric Oblé , Yi-Qing Wang

As they play an increasingly important role in determining access to credit, credit scoring models are under growing scrutiny from banking supervisors and internal model validators. These authorities need to monitor the model performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Hué Sullivan , Hurlin Christophe , Pérignon Christophe , Saurin Sébastien

Typically, point forecasting methods are compared and assessed by means of an error measure or scoring function, such as the absolute error or the squared error. The individual scores are then averaged over forecast cases, to result in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Tilmann Gneiting

Background: Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are widely used to evaluate the performance of Software Defect Prediction (SDP) models that estimate module fault-proneness, i.e., the probability that a module is faulty. A ROC…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Luigi Lavazza , Gabriele Rotoloni , Sandro Morasca

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) has become increasingly prominent as a method for conducting parameter inference in a range of challenging statistical problems, most notably those characterized by an intractable likelihood function.…

Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) is an important metric for a wide range of signal processing and machine learning problems, and scalable methods for optimizing AUC have recently been proposed. However, handling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-01 San Gultekin , Avishek Saha , Adwait Ratnaparkhi , John Paisley

The proper use of model evaluation metrics is important for model evaluation and model selection in binary classification tasks. This study investigates how consistent different metrics are at evaluating models across data of different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Jing Li

Where machine-learned predictive risk scores inform high-stakes decisions, such as bail and sentencing in criminal justice, fairness has been a serious concern. Recent work has characterized the disparate impact that such risk scores can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Nathan Kallus , Angela Zhou

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are plots of true positive rate versus false positive rate which are useful for evaluating binary classification models, but difficult to use for learning since the Area Under the Curve (AUC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-06 Jonathan Hillman , Toby Dylan Hocking

Classification is a common statistical task in many areas. In order to ameliorate the performance of the existing methods, there are always some new classification procedures proposed. These procedures, especially those raised in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

Optimal performance is critical for decision-making tasks from medicine to autonomous driving, however common performance measures may be too general or too specific. For binary classifiers, diagnostic tests or prognosis at a timepoint,…

When people evaluate the performance of a diagnostic test, it is important to control both True Positive Rate (TPR) and False Positive Rate (FPR). In the literature, most researchers propose the partial area under the ROC curve (pAUC) with…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-22 Hanfang Yang , Kun Lu , Xiang Lyu , Feifang Hu

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a crucial metric for machine learning, which evaluates the average performance over all possible True Positive Rates (TPRs) and False Positive Rates (FPRs). Based on the knowledge that a skillful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Zhiyong Yang , Qianqian Xu , Shilong Bao , Yuan He , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

Many applications of AI involve scoring individuals using a learned function of their attributes. These predictive risk scores are then used to take decisions based on whether the score exceeds a certain threshold, which may vary depending…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Robin Vogel , Aurélien Bellet , Stephan Clémençon

Area under ROC (AUC) is an important metric for binary classification and bipartite ranking problems. However, it is difficult to directly optimizing AUC as a learning objective, so most existing algorithms are based on optimizing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-28 Siwei Lyu , Yiming Ying

Model evaluation is of crucial importance in modern statistics application. The construction of ROC and calculation of AUC have been widely used for binary classification evaluation. Recent research generalizing the ROC/AUC analysis to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Liang Wang , Luis Carvalho

Throughout science and technology, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and associated area under the curve (AUC) measures constitute powerful tools for assessing the predictive abilities of features, markers and tests in binary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-25 Tilmann Gneiting , Eva-Maria Walz

The ROC curve and the corresponding AUC are popular tools for the evaluation of diagnostic tests. They have been recently extended to assess prognostic markers and predictive models. However, due to the many particularities of time-to-event…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-26 Paul Blanche , Aurélien Latouche , Vivian Viallon

The area under the ROC curve (AUC) is a measure of interest in various machine learning and data mining applications. It has been widely used to evaluate classification performance on heavily imbalanced data. The kernelized AUC maximization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Majdi Khalid , Indrakshi Ray , Hamidreza Chitsaz

The task of item recommendation requires ranking a large catalogue of items given a context. Item recommendation algorithms are evaluated using ranking metrics that depend on the positions of relevant items. To speed up the computation of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Steffen Rendle