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The area under the ROC curve (AUC) is a widely used performance measure in machine learning. Increasingly, however, in several applications, ranging from ranking to biometric screening to medicine, performance is measured not in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-29 Harikrishna Narasimhan , Shivani Agarwal

We study fairness in the context of classification where the performance is measured by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic. AUC is commonly used to measure the performance of prediction models. The same…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Hortense Fong , Vineet Kumar , Anay Mehrotra , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is an informative tool in binary classification and Area Under ROC Curve (AUC) is a popular metric for reporting performance of binary classifiers. In this paper, first we present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Khashayar Namdar , Masoom A. Haider , Farzad Khalvati

The area under the ROC curve (AUC) is the standard measure of a biomarker's discriminatory accuracy; however, naive AUC estimates can be misleading when validation cohorts differ from the intended target population. Such covariate shifts…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Jiajun Liu , Guangcai Mao , Xiaofei Wang

Adequate evaluation of an information retrieval system to estimate future performance is a crucial task. Area under the ROC curve (AUC) is widely used to evaluate the generalization of a retrieval system. However, the objective function…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-04-26 Sean J. Welleck

AUC (Area under the ROC curve) is an important performance measure for applications where the data is highly imbalanced. Learning to maximize AUC performance is thus an important research problem. Using a max-margin based surrogate loss…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Vishal Kakkar , Shirish K. Shevade , S Sundararajan , Dinesh Garg

Probabilistic forecasts in the form of probability distributions over future events have become popular in several fields including meteorology, hydrology, economics, and demography. In typical applications, many alternative statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-31 Alexander Jordan , Fabian Krüger , Sebastian Lerch

A user-focused verification approach for evaluating probability forecasts of binary outcomes (also known as probabilistic classifiers) is demonstrated that is (i) based on proper scoring rules, (ii) focuses on user decision thresholds, and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-25 Nicholas Loveday , Robert Taggart , Mohammadreza Khanarmuei

The use of machine learning models in consequential decision making often exacerbates societal inequity, in particular yielding disparate impact on members of marginalized groups defined by race and gender. The area under the ROC curve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Zhenhuan Yang , Yan Lok Ko , Kush R. Varshney , Yiming Ying

The area under a receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) is a useful tool to assess the performance of continuous-scale diagnostic tests on binary classification. In this article, we propose an empirical likelihood (EL) method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-05 Chul Moon , Xinlei Wang , Johan Lim

In analysis of binary outcomes, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve is heavily used to show the performance of a model or algorithm. The ROC curve is informative about the performance over a series of thresholds and can be…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-10 John Muschelli

Probability forecasts of events are routinely used in climate predictions, in forecasting default probabilities on bank loans or in estimating the probability of a patient's positive response to treatment. Scoring rules have long been used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Tze Leung Lai , Shulamith T. Gross , David Bo Shen

Objective: Area under the receiving operator characteristic curve (AUC) is commonly reported alongside prediction models for binary outcomes. Recent articles have raised concerns that AUC might be a misleading measure of prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Emily Minus , R. Yates Coley , Susan M. Shortreed , Brian D. Williamson

Proper scoring rules are used to assess the out-of-sample accuracy of probabilistic forecasts, with different scoring rules rewarding distinct aspects of forecast performance. Herein, we re-investigate the practice of using proper scoring…

The Area under the ROC curve (AUC) is a well-known ranking metric for problems such as imbalanced learning and recommender systems. The vast majority of existing AUC-optimization-based machine learning methods only focus on binary-class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Zhiyong Yang , Qianqian Xu , Shilong Bao , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

The area under the ROC curve (AUC) is one of the most widely used performance measures for classification models in machine learning. However, it summarizes the true positive rates (TPRs) over all false positive rates (FPRs) in the ROC…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Yao Yao , Qihang Lin , Tianbao Yang

The predictive quality of machine learning models is typically measured in terms of their (approximate) expected prediction accuracy or the so-called Area Under the Curve (AUC). Minimizing the reciprocals of these measures are the goals of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Hiva Ghanbari , Minhan Li , Katya Scheinberg

The area under the curve (AUC) of the mean cumulative function (MCF) has recently been introduced as a novel estimand for evaluating treatment effects in recurrent event settings, offering an alternative to the commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Jiren Sun , Tuo Wang , Yanyao Yi , Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yu Du

Recent work on privacy-preserving machine learning has considered how data-mining competitions such as Kaggle could potentially be "hacked", either intentionally or inadvertently, by using information from an oracle that reports a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Jacob Whitehill

The evaluation of probabilistic forecasts plays a central role both in the interpretation and in the use of forecast systems and their development. Probabilistic scores (scoring rules) provide statistical measures to assess the quality of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-24 Hailiang Du