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Unsupervised learning of time series data, also known as temporal clustering, is a challenging problem in machine learning. Here we propose a novel algorithm, Deep Temporal Clustering (DTC), to naturally integrate dimensionality reduction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Naveen Sai Madiraju , Seid M. Sadat , Dimitry Fisher , Homa Karimabadi

The problem of portfolio optimization is one of the most important issues in asset management. This paper proposes a new dynamic portfolio strategy based on the time-varying structures of MST networks in Chinese stock markets, where the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Fei Ren , Ya-Nan Lu , Sai-Ping Li , Xiong-Fei Jiang , Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu

In this paper, we propose a technique for time series clustering using community detection in complex networks. Firstly, we present a method to transform a set of time series into a network using different distance functions, where each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-20 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Liang Zhao

Linear dynamical systems are a fundamental and powerful parametric model class. However, identifying the parameters of a linear dynamical system is a venerable task, permitting provably efficient solutions only in special cases. This work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Chloe Ching-Yun Hsu , Michaela Hardt , Moritz Hardt

Predicting investors reactions to financial and political news is important for the early detection of stock market jitters. Evidence from several recent studies suggests that online social media could improve prediction of stock market…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-20 Fani Tsapeli , Nikolaos Bezirgiannidis , Peter Tino , Mirco Musolesi

In complex financial systems, the sector structure and volatility clustering are respectively important features of the spatial and temporal correlations. However, the microscopic generation mechanism of the sector structure is not yet…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-09 Jun-Jie Chen , Lei Tan , Bo Zheng

Dynamic networks are a general language for describing time-evolving complex systems, and discrete time network models provide an emerging statistical technique for various applications. It is a fundamental research question to detect the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-21 Kevin H. Lee , Lingzhou Xue , David R. Hunter

Financial networks are typically estimated by applying standard time series analyses to price-based economic variables collected at low-frequency (e.g., daily or monthly stock returns or realized volatility). These networks are used for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-09 Kara Karpman , Sumanta Basu , David Easley

Inferring behavior model of a running software system is quite useful for several automated software engineering tasks, such as program comprehension, anomaly detection, and testing. Most existing dynamic model inference techniques are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Mohammad Jafar Mashhadi , Hadi Hemmati

We consider the problem of the statistical uncertainty of the correlation matrix in the optimization of a financial portfolio. We show that the use of clustering algorithms can improve the reliability of the portfolio in terms of the ratio…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Vincenzo Tola , Fabrizio Lillo , Mauro Gallegati , Rosario N. Mantegna

Money launderers exploit the weaknesses in detection systems by purposefully placing their ill-gotten money into multiple accounts, at different banks. That money is then layered and moved around among mule accounts to obscure the origin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Haseeb Tariq , Marwan Hassani

We demonstrate the application of an algorithmic trading strategy based upon the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) on portfolios of financial data. The method is capable of characterizing complex dynamical systems, in this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-20 Jordan Mann , J. Nathan Kutz

We proposed a data-driven approach to dissect multivariate time series in order to discover multiple phases underlying dynamics of complex systems. This computing approach is developed as a multiple-dimension version of Hierarchical Factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

In this paper a simple but efficient real-time detecting algorithm is proposed for tracking community structure of dynamic networks. Community structure is intuitively characterized as divisions of network nodes into subgroups, within which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-11 Jiaxing Shang , Lianchen Liu , Feng Xie , Zhen Chen , Jiajia Miao , Xuelin Fang , Cheng Wu

Cluster analysis is used to explore structure in unlabeled data sets in a wide range of applications. An important part of cluster analysis is validating the quality of computationally obtained clusters. A large number of different internal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-10 Masud Moshtaghi , James C. Bezdek , Sarah M. Erfani , Christopher Leckie , James Bailey

We measure the influence of different time-scales on the dynamics of financial market data. This is obtained by decomposing financial time series into simple oscillations associated with distinct time-scales. We propose two new time-varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-23 Noemi Nava , Tiziana Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

A new approach to the steady state detection in the uniformization method of solving continuous time Markov chains is introduced. The method is particularly useful in solving inhomogenous CTMC's in multiple steps, where the desired error…

Performance · Computer Science 2014-10-14 Maciej Burak

Entanglement in continuous-variable non-Gaussian states provides irreplaceable advantages in many quantum information tasks. However, the sheer amount of information in such states grows exponentially and makes a full characterization…

We consider the problem of fast time-series data clustering. Building on previous work modeling the correlation-based Hamiltonian of spin variables we present an updated fast non-expensive Agglomerative Likelihood Clustering algorithm…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-22 Lionel Yelibi , Tim Gebbie

We present an efficient clustering algorithm applicable to one-dimensional data such as e.g. a series of timestamps. Given an expected frequency $\Delta T^{-1}$, we introduce an $\mathcal{O}(N)$-efficient method of characterizing $N$ events…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Conrad M Albrecht , Marcus Freitag , Theodore G van Kessel , Siyuan Lu , Hendrik F Hamann