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We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

We consider nonparametric measurement error density deconvolution subject to heteroscedastic measurement errors as well as symmetry about zero and shape constraints, in particular unimodality. The problem is motivated by applications where…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Ya Su , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yan Zhang , Nilanjan Chatterjee , Raymond J. Carroll

A nonparametric and locally adaptive Bayesian estimator is proposed for estimating a binary regression. Flexibility is obtained by modeling the binary regression as a mixture of probit regressions with the argument of each probit regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-25 Sally Wood , Robert Kohn , Remy Cottet , Wenxin Jiang , Martin Tanner

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

We consider nonparametric Bayesian inference in a multidimensional diffusion model with reflecting boundary conditions based on discrete high-frequency observations. We prove a general posterior contraction rate theorem in $L^2$-loss, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Marc Hoffmann , Kolyan Ray

Reliable density estimation is fundamental for numerous applications in statistics and machine learning. In many practical scenarios, data are best modeled as mixtures of component densities that capture complex and multimodal patterns.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Mustafa Musab , Joseph K. Chege , Arie Yeredor , Martin Haardt

This paper develops a class of Bayesian non- and semiparametric methods for estimating regression curves and surfaces. The main idea is to model the regression as locally linear, and then place suitable local priors on the local parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort

Let $\mathbf {X}=\{X_t, t=1,2,... \}$ be a stationary Gaussian random process, with mean $EX_t=\mu$ and covariance function $\gamma(\tau)=E(X_t-\mu)(X_{t+\tau}-\mu)$. Let $f(\lambda)$ be the corresponding spectral density; a stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-07 Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

This paper presents an efficient Bayesian framework for solving nonlinear, high-dimensional model calibration problems. It is based on a Variational Bayesian formulation that aims at approximating the exact posterior by means of solving an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-02 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

A tractable nonparametric prior over densities is introduced which is closed under sampling and exhibits proper posterior asymptotics.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-12 Paulo C. Marques F. , Carlos A. de B. Pereira

We describe Bayes factors based on z, t, $\chi^2$, and F statistics when non-local moment prior distributions are used to define alternative hypotheses. The non-local alternative prior distributions are centered on standardized effects. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Saptati Datta , Rachael Shudde , Valen E. Johnson

Shape restriction, like monotonicity or convexity, imposed on a function of interest, such as a regression or density function, allows for its estimation without smoothness assumptions. The concept of $k$-monotonicity encompasses a family…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

In this paper we study the problem of pointwise density estimation from observations with multiplicative measurement errors. We elucidate the main feature of this problem: the influence of the estimation point on the estimation accuracy. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Denis Belomestny , Alexander Goldenshluger

Sample size criteria are often expressed in terms of the concentration of the posterior density, as controlled by some sort of error bound. Since this is done pre-experimentally, one can regard the posterior density as a function of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. Clarke , Ao Yuan

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is a promising Bayesian inference framework that alleviates the need for analytic likelihoods to estimate posterior distributions. Recent advances using neural density estimators in SBI algorithms have…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Justine Zeghal , François Lanusse , Alexandre Boucaud , Benjamin Remy , Eric Aubourg

Given i.i.d samples from some unknown continuous density on hyper-rectangle $[0, 1]^d$, we attempt to learn a piecewise constant function that approximates this underlying density non-parametrically. Our density estimate is defined on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-24 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wang

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

This paper is concerned with the numerical solution of model-based, Bayesian inverse problems. We are particularly interested in cases where the cost of each likelihood evaluation (forward-model call) is expensive and the number of un-…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-25 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis