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We propose a useful approach for investigating the statistical properties of foreign currency exchange rates. Our approach is based on queueing theory, particularly, the so-called renewal-reward theorem. For the first passage processes of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Jun-ichi Inoue , Naoya Sazuka

We introduce a new stochastic duration model for transaction times in asset markets. We argue that widely accepted rules for aggregating seemingly related trades mislead inference pertaining to durations between unrelated trades: while any…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-20 Samuel Gingras , William J. McCausland

Market participants regularly send bid and ask quotes to exchange-operated limit order books. This creates an optimization challenge where their potential profit is determined by their quoted price and how often their orders are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-16 Chutian Ma , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

Based on an optimal rate wavelet series representation, we derive a local modulus of continuity result with a refined almost sure upper bound for fractional Brownian motion. \sloppy The obtained upper bound of the small fractional Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-20 Qidi Peng , Nan Rao

An explicit first-order drift-randomized Milstein scheme for a regime switching stochastic differential equation is proposed and its bi-stability and rate of strong convergence are investigated for a non-differentiable drift coefficient.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Divyanshu Vashistha , Chaman Kumar

In this paper we derive weak limits for the discretization errors of sampling barrier-hitting and extreme events of Brownian motion by using the Euler discretization simulation method. Specifically, we consider the Euler discretization…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 A. B. Dieker , Guido Lagos

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

In the first part of this paper (Sections 1-4), we study a standard exchange economy model with Cobb-Douglas type consumers and give a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of an odd period cycle in the Walras-Samuelson…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-16 Tomohiro Uchiyama

Reinforcement learning can interact with the environment and is suitable for applications in decision control systems. Therefore, we used the reinforcement learning method to establish a foreign exchange transaction, avoiding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Chun-Chieh Wang

This paper studies an interacting particle system of interest in econophysics inspired from a model introduced in the physics literature. The original model consists of the customers of a single bank characterized by their capital, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Nicolas Lanchier , Stephanie Reed

We demonstrate effectiveness of the first-order algorithm from [Milstein, Tretyakov. Theory Prob. Appl. 47 (2002), 53-68] in application to barrier option pricing. The algorithm uses the weak Euler approximation far from barriers and a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-27 M. Krivko , M. V. Tretyakov

We have studied numerically the statistical mechanics of the dynamic phenomena, including money circulation and economic mobility, in some transfer models. The models on which our investigations were performed are the basic model proposed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Yougui Wang , Ning Ding

This paper develops a model for the bid and ask prices of a European type asset by formulating a stochastic control problem. The state process is governed by a modified geometric Brownian motion whose drift and diffusion coefficients depend…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-07 Engel John C. Dela Vega , Robert J. Elliott

Motivated by the interplay between structural and reduced form credit models, we propose to model the firm value process as a time-changed Brownian motion that may include jumps and stochastic volatility effects, and to study the first…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-16 T. R. Hurd

The problem of escape of a Brownian particle in a cusp-shaped metastable potential is of special importance in nonadiabatic and weakly-adiabatic rate theory for electron transfer (ET) reactions. Especially, for the weakly-adiabatic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Bartlomiej Dybiec , Ewa Gudowska-Nowak , Pawel F. Gora

We study a classical Bayesian statistics problem of sequentially testing the sign of the drift of an arithmetic Brownian motion with the $0$-$1$ loss function and a constant cost of observation per unit of time for general prior…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

We consider an insurance company modelling its surplus process by a Brownian motion with drift. Our target is to maximise the expected exponential utility of discounted dividend payments, given that the dividend rates are bounded by some…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-23 Julia Eisenberg , Paul Krühner

We propose a simple stochastic model for the dynamics of a limit order book, extending the recent work of Cont and de Larrard (2013), where the price dynamics are endogenous, resulting from market transactions. We also show that the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-24 Jonathan A. Chávez-Casillas , Robert J. Elliott , Bruno Rémillard , Anatoliy V. Swishchuk

We study boundary inference at $H=3/4$ for mixed fractional Brownian motion and mixed fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck models under high-frequency observation. This boundary is economically important because it separates the critical and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang , Weilin Xiao , Cong Zhang

We begin by exploring the intuition of Brownian motion by explaining its birth through the observations of Robert Brown and later through Bachelier's work on its applications to the financial market and finally its rigorous and concretized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-26 Yorgos Protonotarios , Pantelis Tassopoulos
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