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Specialized topics on financial data analysis from a numerical and physical point of view are discussed. They pertain to the analysis of crash prediction in stock market indices and to the persistence or not of coherent and random sequences…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Ausloos , K. Ivanova

We introduce a novel description of the dynamics of the order book of financial markets as that of an effective colloidal Brownian particle embedded in fluid particles. The analysis of a comprehensive market data enables us to identify all…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-18 Yoshihiro Yura , Hideki Takayasu , Didier Sornette , Misako Takayasu

Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Yuval Gefen , Marc Potters , Matthieu Wyart

We solve a version of the optimal trade execution problem when the mid asset price follows a displaced diffusion. Optimal strategies in the adapted class under various risk criteria, namely value-at-risk, expected shortfall and a new…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-12 Damiano Brigo , Giuseppe Di Graziano

This paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market within a continuous time stochastic economy. The investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a stock and a riskless…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-07 Traian Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) extends the standard Brownian motion by introducing some dependence between non-overlapping increments. Consequently, if one considers for example that log-prices follow an fBm, one can exploit the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-02 Matthieu Garcin

The narrow escape problem is a first-passage problem concerned with randomly moving particles in a physical domain, being trapped by absorbing surface traps (windows), such that the measure of traps is small compared to the domain size. The…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-09-15 Vaibhava Srivastava , Alexei Cheviakov

This Chapter reviews statistical models for the probability distribution of money developed in the econophysics literature since the late 1990s. In these models, economic transactions are modeled as random transfers of money between the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-10 Victor M. Yakovenko

A system manager dynamically controls a diffusion process Z that lives in a finite interval [0,b]. Control takes the form of a negative drift rate \theta that is chosen from a fixed set A of available values. The controlled process evolves…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bar Ata , J. M. Harrison , L. A. Shepp

We analyze an operational policy for a multinational manufacturer to hedge against exchange rate uncertainties and competition. We consider a single product and single period. Because of long-lead times, the capacity investment must done…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-04-24 Murat Erkoc , Huaqing Wang , Anas Ahmed

This is an invited article for the Discussion and Debate special issue of The European Physical Journal Special Topics on the subject "Can Economics Be a Physical Science?" The first part of the paper traces the personal path of the author…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-22 Victor M. Yakovenko

Several problems arising in Economics and Finance are analyzed using concepts and quantitative methods from Physics. Here is the abridged abstact: Chapter 1: By analogy with energy, the equilibrium probability distribution of money must…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Adrian A. Dragulescu

We study the extreme value statistics of first-passage trajectories generating from a one-dimensional drifted Brownian motion subject to stochastic resetting to the starting point with a constant rate $r$. Each stochastic trajectory starts…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-18 Wusong Guo , Hao Yan , Hanshuang Chen

In this paper an econophysics model for the currency exchange operations with commission is proposed. With this purpose some analogies and similarities of the processes that take place in the frame of the electrochemical system made from…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-04 Ion Spanulescu , Victor A. Stoica , Ion Popescu

We use standard physics techniques to model trading and price formation in a market under the assumption that order arrival and cancellations are Poisson random processes. This model makes testable predictions for the most basic properties…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Marcus G. Daniels , J. Doyne Farmer , Laszlo Gillemot , Giulia Iori , Eric Smith

Mathematically, the execution of an American-style financial derivative is commonly reduced to solving an optimal stopping problem. Breaking the general assumption that the knowledge of the holder is restricted to the price history of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-25 Bernardo D'Auria , Eduardo García-Portugués , Abel Guada

We investigate the limiting distribution of geometric Brownian motion conditional on its running maximum taking large values. We show that the conditional distribution of the geometric Brownian motion converges after a suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Ze-An Ng

Sticky Brownian motion is the simplest example of a diffusion process that can spend finite time both in the interior of a domain and on its boundary. It arises in various applications such as in biology, materials science, and finance.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Miranda Holmes-Cerfon

A conditioned stochastic process can display a very different behavior from the unconditioned process. In particular, a conditioned process can exhibit non-Gaussian fluctuations even if the unconditioned process is Gaussian. In this work,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-18 Tristan Gautié , Naftali R. Smith

Do firm dynamics matter for the transmission of monetary policy? Empirically, the startup rate declines following a monetary contraction, while the exit rate increases, both of which reduce aggregate employment. I present a model that…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-09 Matthew Read