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We develop a Bayesian tree ensemble model to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects in censored survival data with high-dimensional covariates. Instead of imposing sparsity through the tree structure, we place a horseshoe prior directly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Tijn Jacobs , Wessel N. van Wieringen , Stéphanie L. van der Pas

This paper develops a slice sampler for Bayesian linear regression models with arbitrary priors. The new sampler has two advantages over current approaches. One, it is faster than many custom implementations that rely on auxiliary latent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-18 P. Richard Hahn , Jingyu He , Hedibert Lopes

We study the convergence properties of the Gibbs Sampler in the context of posterior distributions arising from Bayesian analysis of conditionally Gaussian hierarchical models. We develop a multigrid approach to derive analytic expressions…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-27 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

When analyzing real-world data it is common to work with event ensembles, which comprise sets of observations that collectively constrain the parameters of an underlying model of interest. Such models often have a hierarchical structure,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-22 Lukas Heinrich , Siddharth Mishra-Sharma , Chris Pollard , Philipp Windischhofer

Pooled logistic regression models are commonly applied in survival analysis. However, the standard implementation can be computationally demanding, which is further exacerbated when using the nonparametric bootstrap for inference. To ease…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Paul N Zivich , Stephen R Cole , Bonnie E Shook-Sa , Justin B DeMonte , Jessie K Edwards

Choosing between classical and Bayesian sparse regression methods involves a real trade-off: penalized estimators like Lasso run in milliseconds but give no uncertainty estimates,while Horseshoe and Spike-and-Slab priors produce full…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Hao Xiao

Motivated by applications in genetic fields, we propose to estimate the heritability in high dimensional sparse linear mixed models. The heritability determines how the variance is shared between the different random components of a linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-07 Anna Bonnet , Elisabeth Gassiat , Céline Lévy-Leduc

Software is highly contextual. While there are cross-cutting `global' lessons, individual software projects exhibit many `local' properties. This data heterogeneity makes drawing local conclusions from global data dangerous. A key research…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Neil A. Ernst

This article focuses on Bayesian estimation of a hierarchical linear model (HLM) from incomplete data assumed missing at random where continuous covariates C and discrete categorical covariates $D$ have interaction effects on a continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-12 Dongho Shin , Yongyun Shin

We propose a framework for the linear prediction of a multi-way array (i.e., a tensor) from another multi-way array of arbitrary dimension, using the contracted tensor product. This framework generalizes several existing approaches,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-18 Eric F. Lock

The Bayes linear estimator is derived by minimizing the Bayes risk with respect to the squared loss function. Non-unbiased estimators such as ordinary ridge, typical shrinkage, fractional rank, and restricted least squares estimators, as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Hirai Mukasa

Inference for high-dimensional logistic regression models using penalized methods has been a challenging research problem. As an illustration, a major difficulty is the significant bias of the Lasso estimator, which limits its direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Yuming Zhang , Stéphane Guerrier , Runze Li

Scaled sparse linear regression jointly estimates the regression coefficients and noise level in a linear model. It chooses an equilibrium with a sparse regression method by iteratively estimating the noise level via the mean residual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-22 Tingni Sun , Cun-Hui Zhang

Well-calibrated probabilistic regression models are a crucial learning component in robotics applications as datasets grow rapidly and tasks become more complex. Unfortunately, classical regression models are usually either probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

Many psychological theories can be operationalized as linear inequality constraints on the parameters of multinomial distributions (e.g., discrete choice analysis). These constraints can be described in two equivalent ways: Either as the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Daniel W. Heck , Clintin P. Davis-Stober

Bounded continuous responses -- such as proportions -- arise frequently in diverse scientific fields including climatology, biostatistics, and finance. Beta regression is a widely adopted framework for modeling such data, due to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 The Tien Mai

The paper analyzes theoretically and empirically the performance of likelihood weighting (LW) on a subset of nodes in Bayesian networks. The proposed scheme requires fewer samples to converge due to reduction in sampling variance. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

Hierarchical probabilistic models, such as mixture models, are used for cluster analysis. These models have two types of variables: observable and latent. In cluster analysis, the latent variable is estimated, and it is expected that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-26 Keisuke Yamazaki

We encounter time series data in many domains such as finance, physics, business, and weather. One of the main tasks of time series analysis, one that helps to take informed decisions under uncertainty, is forecasting. Time series are often…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Gal Elgavish

Transfer learning enhances model performance in a target population with limited samples by leveraging knowledge from related studies. While many works focus on improving predictive performance, challenges of statistical inference persist.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-05 Daoyuan Lai , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Tian Gu