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Measures of the direction and strength of the interdependence between two time series are evaluated and modified in order to reduce the bias in the estimation of the measures, so that they give zero values when there is no causal effect.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 A. Papana , D. Kugiumtzis , P. G. Larsson

Information flow analysis has largely ignored the setting where the analyst has neither control over nor a complete model of the analyzed system. We formalize such limited information flow analyses and study an instance of it: detecting the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Michael Carl Tschantz , Amit Datta , Anupam Datta , Jeannette M. Wing

Information Theory provides a fundamental basis for analysis, and for a variety of subsequent methodological approaches, in relation to uncertainty quantification. The transversal character of concepts and derived results justifies its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Jose M. Angulo , Francisco J. Esquivel , Ana E. Madrid , Francisco J. Alonso

The predominant method for evaluating the quality of causal models is to measure the graphical accuracy of the learned model structure. We present an alternative method for evaluating causal models that directly measures the accuracy of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-17 Dan Garant , David Jensen

Despite the popularity of information measures in analysis of probabilistic systems, proper tools for their visualization are not common. This work develops a simple matrix representation of information transfer in sequential systems,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Dor Tsur , Haim Permuter

Information theory and the framework of information dynamics have been used to provide tools to characterise complex systems. In particular, we are interested in quantifying information storage, information modification and information…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Oliver Obst , Joschka Boedecker , Benedikt Schmidt , Minoru Asada

Recent advances on human dynamics have focused on the normal patterns of human activities, with the quantitative understanding of human behavior under extreme events remaining a crucial missing chapter. This has a wide array of potential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-27 Liang Gao , Chaoming Song , Ziyou Gao , Albert-László Barabási , James P. Bagrow , Dashun Wang

We propose a unified theoretical framework for quantifying spatio-temporal interactions in a stochastic dynamical system based on information geometry. In the proposed framework, the degree of interactions is quantified by the divergence…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-08 Masafumi Oizumi , Naotsugu Tsuchiya , Shun-ichi Amari

Events in distributed systems include sending or receiving messages, or changing some state in a node. Not all events are related, but some events can cause and influence how other, later events, occur. For instance, a reply to a received…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Carlos Baquero

Estimating total treatment effects in the presence of network interference typically requires knowledge of the underlying interaction structure. However, in many practical settings, network data is either unavailable, incomplete, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Albert Tan , Sadegh Shirani , James Nordlund , Mohsen Bayati

The concept of autonomy is fundamental for understanding biological organization and the evolutionary transitions of living systems. Understanding how a system constitutes itself as an individual, cohesive, self-organized entity is a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-07 Miguel Aguilera , Ezequiel Di Paolo

Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Recent developments enable the quantification of causal control given a structural causal model (SCM). This has been accomplished by introducing quantities which encode changes in the entropy of one variable when intervening on another.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Francisco N. F. Q. Simoes , Mehdi Dastani , Thijs van Ommen

What is information, physically, and why does it so reliably emerge in living, cultural, and technological systems? Existing theories quantify uncertainty, cost, or compressibility, but do not identify which physical structures count as…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-17 Wouter van der Wijngaart

We study correlation measures for complex systems. First, we investigate some recently proposed measures based on information geometry. We show that these measures can increase under local transformations as well as under discarding…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-04-20 Tobias Galla , Otfried Gühne

A pressing question resulting from global warming is how infectious diseases will be affected by climate change. Answering this question requires research into the effects of weather on the population dynamics of transmission and infection;…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-21 Laura Andrea Barrero Guevara , Sarah C Kramer , Tobias Kurth , Matthieu Domenech de Cellès

The concept of causality is fundamental to numerous scientific explanations; however, its extension to the quantum regime has yet to be rigorously explored. This letter introduces the development of a quantum causal index, a novel extension…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-03 Anupam Ghosh

Causality understanding between events is a critical natural language processing task that is helpful in many areas, including health care, business risk management and finance. On close examination, one can find a huge amount of textual…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Vivek Khetan , Roshni Ramnani , Mayuresh Anand , Shubhashis Sengupta , Andrew E. Fano

When evaluating causal influence from one time series to another in a multivariate dataset it is necessary to take into account the conditioning effect of the other variables. In the presence of many variables, and possibly of a reduced…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-03-26 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

To provide adequate multivariate measures of information flow between neural structures, modified expressions of Partial Directed Coherence (PDC) and Directed Transfer Function (DTF), two popular multivariate connectivity measures employed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-03 Daniel Yasumasa Takahashi , Luiz Antonio Baccalá , Koichi Sameshima
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