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To infer information flow in any network of agents, it is important first and foremost to establish causal temporal relations between the nodes. Practical and automated methods that can infer causality are difficult to find, and the subject…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Ali Tehrani-Saleh , Christoph Adami

While it is an important problem to identify the existence of causal associations between two components of a multivariate time series, a topic addressed in Runge et al. (2012), it is even more important to assess the strength of their…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-15 Jakob Runge , Jobst Heitzig , Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

Discovery of causal relations is fundamental for understanding the dynamics of complex systems. While causal interactions are well defined for acyclic systems that can be separated into causally effective subsystems, a mathematical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-10-11 Daniel Harnack , Erik Laminski , Klaus Richard Pawelzik

Modern systems (e.g., deep neural networks, big data analytics, and compilers) are highly configurable, which means they expose different performance behavior under different configurations. The fundamental challenge is that one cannot…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Mohammad Ali Javidian , Pooyan Jamshidi , Marco Valtorta

The analysis of temporal networks heavily depends on the analysis of time-respecting paths. However, before being able to model and analyze the time-respecting paths, we have to infer the timescales at which the temporal edges influence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-30 Luka V. Petrović , Anatol Wegner , Ingo Scholtes

As neuroscientists we want to understand how causal interactions or mechanisms within the brain give rise to perception, cognition, and behavior. It is typical to estimate interaction effects from measured activity using statistical…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-26 David Marc Anton Mehler , Konrad Paul Kording

We introduce an approach which allows detecting causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Causality is assessed by a variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Vittorio Del Tatto , Gianfranco Fortunato , Domenica Bueti , Alessandro Laio

Intensive longitudinal data, characterized by frequent measurements across numerous time points, are increasingly common due to advances in wearable devices and mobile health technologies. We consider evaluating causal mediation pathways…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Tianchen Qian

We propose a new measure to estimate the direction of information flux in multivariate time series from complex systems. This measure, based on the slope of the phase spectrum (Phase Slope Index) has invariance properties that are important…

Multiple metrics have been developed to detect causality relations between data describing the elements constituting complex systems, all of them considering their evolution through time. Here we propose a metric able to detect causality…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-20 Massimiliano Zanin

In ordinal symbolic dynamics, transcripts describe the algebraic relationship between ordinal patterns. Using the concept of transcript, we exploit the mathematical structure of the group of permutations to derive properties and relations…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-15 Roberto Monetti , Wolfram Bunk , Thomas Aschenbrenner , Stephan Springer , Jose Maria Amigo

Causal inference seeks to identify cause-and-effect interactions in coupled systems. A recently proposed method by Liang detects causal relations by quantifying the direction and magnitude of information flow between time series. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-03-20 Dionissios T. Hristopulos

Causal inference is central to many areas of artificial intelligence, including complex reasoning, planning, knowledge-base construction, robotics, explanation, and fairness. An active community of researchers develops and enhances…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Amanda Gentzel , Dan Garant , David Jensen

Accurately determining dependency structure is critical to discovering a system's causal organization. We recently showed that the transfer entropy fails in a key aspect of this---measuring information flow---due to its conflation of dyadic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Ryan G. James , James P. Crutchfield

A fundamental problem in the study of complex networks is to provide quantitative measures of correlation and information flow between different parts of a system. To this end, several notions of communicability have been introduced and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-08 Ernesto Estrada , Naomichi Hatano , Michele Benzi

We develop a data-driven information-theoretic framework for sharp partial identification of causal effects under unmeasured confounding. Existing approaches often rely on restrictive assumptions, such as bounded or discrete outcomes;…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yonghan Jung , Bogyeong Kang

Modeling spatial-temporal interactions among neighboring agents is at the heart of multi-agent problems such as motion forecasting and crowd navigation. Despite notable progress, it remains unclear to which extent modern representations can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Ahmad Rahimi , Po-Chien Luan , Yuejiang Liu , Frano Rajič , Alexandre Alahi

Context dependence is central to the description of complexity. Keying on the pairwise definition of "set complexity" we use an information theory approach to formulate general measures of systems complexity. We examine the properties of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-08-21 David J. Galas , Nikita A. Sakhanenko , Alexander Skupin , Tomasz Ignac

In traditional approaches to structural health monitoring, challenges often arise associated with the availability of labelled data. Population-based structural health monitoring seeks to overcomes these challenges by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Aidan J. Hughes , Giulia Delo , Jack Poole , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

Humans communicate using systems of interconnected stimuli or concepts -- from language and music to literature and science -- yet it remains unclear how, if at all, the structure of these networks supports the communication of information.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-27 Christopher W. Lynn , Lia Papadopoulos , Ari E. Kahn , Danielle S. Bassett