Related papers: On Jump Measures of Optional Processes with Regula…
We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…
The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…
This paper develops systematically the stochastic calculus via regularization in the case of jump processes. In particular one continues the analysis of real-valued c\`adl\`ag weak Dirichlet processes with respect to a given filtration.…
We present a new version of the stochastic sewing lemma, capable of handling multiple discontinuous control functions. This is then used to develop a theory of rough stochastic analysis in a c\`adl\`ag setting. In particular, we define…
In this paper we consider the problem of parameter inference for Markov jump process (MJP) representations of stochastic kinetic models. Since transition probabilities are intractable for most processes of interest yet forward simulation is…
This paper introduces test and estimation procedures for abrupt and gradual changes in the entire jump behaviour of a discretely observed Ito semimartingale. In contrast to existing work we analyse jumps of arbitrary size which are not…
The paper introduces a simple way of recording and manipulating general stochastic processes without explicit reference to a probability measure. In the new calculus, operations traditionally presented in a measure-specific way are instead…
This thesis is devoted to the study of extreme value statistics in stochastic processes and their applications. In the first part, we obtain exact analytical results on the extreme value statistics of both discrete-time and continuous-time…
We establish a recursive representation that fully decouples jumps from a large class of multivariate inhomogeneous stochastic differential equations with jumps of general time-state dependent unbounded intensity, not of L\'evy-driven type…
We consider the task of generating draws from a Markov jump process (MJP) between two time-points at which the process is known. Resulting draws are typically termed bridges and the generation of such bridges plays a key role in…
This work develops Monte Carlo Euler adaptive time stepping methods for the weak approximation problem of jump diffusion driven stochastic differential equations. The main result is the derivation of a new expansion for the omputational…
Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…
Many methods for estimating integrated volatility and related functionals of semimartingales in the presence of jumps require specification of tuning parameters for their use in practice. In much of the available theory, tuning parameters…
IIn this paper we provide predictable and chaotic representations for It\^{o}-Markov additive processes $X$. Such a process is governed by a finite-state CTMC $J$ which allows one to modify the parameters of the It\^{o}-jump process (in…
Recognizing the importance of jump risk in option pricing, we propose a neural jump stochastic differential equation model in this paper, which integrates neural networks as parameter estimators in the conventional jump diffusion model. To…
We give a bare-hands approach to the martingale representation theorem for integer valued random measures, which allows for a wide class of infinite activity jump processes, as well as all processes with well-ordered jumps.
We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…
Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via…
Adaptive importance sampling techniques are widely known for the Gaussian setting of Brownian driven diffusions. In this work, we want to extend them to jump processes. Our approach relies on a change of the jump intensity combined with the…
This article investigates discrete-time approximations of stochastic integrals driven by semimartingales with jumps via weighted bounded mean oscillation (BMO) approach. This approach enables $L_p$-estimates, $p \in (2, \infty)$, for the…