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Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

For a semimartingale with jumps, we propose a new estimation method for integrated volatility, i.e., the quadratic variation of the continuous martingale part, based on the global jump filter proposed by Inatsugu and Yoshida [8]. To decide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida

The paper discusses multivariate self- and cross-exciting processes. We define a class of multivariate point processes via their corresponding stochastic intensity processes that are driven by stochastic jumps. Essentially, there is a jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Heidar Eyjolfsson , Dag Tjøstheim

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

Within the framework of the previous paper [8]. we develop a generalized stochastic calculus for processes associated to higher order diffusion operators. Applications to the study of a Cauchy problem, a Feynman-Kac formula and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Craig Calcaterra , Sonia Mazzucchi

Using the results of X. Fernique on the compactness of distributions of cadlag random functions, we derive some cadlaguity moment estimates for stochastic processes with jumps.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-09 R. Mikulevicius , Fanhui Xu

This papers addresses the stock option pricing problem in a continuous time market model where there are two stochastic tradable assets, and one of them is selected as a num\'eraire. It is shown that the presence of arbitrarily small…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-01 Nikolai Dokuchaev

This article studies optional and predictable projections of integrands and convex-valued stochastic processes. The existence and uniqueness are shown under general conditions that are analogous to those for conditional expectations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matti Kiiski , Ari-Pekka Perkkiö

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional diffusion process with jumps driven by a Hawkes process. We are interested in the estimations of the volatility function and of the jump function from discrete high-frequency observations in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Chiara Amorino , Charlotte Dion , Arnaud Gloter , Sarah Lemler

Gaussian processes (GPs) furnish accurate nonlinear predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty. However, the typical GP setup has a built-in stationarity assumption, making it ill-suited for modeling data from processes with sudden…

We propose a new test to determine whether jumps are present in asset returns or other discretely sampled processes. As the sampling interval tends to 0, our test statistic converges to 1 if there are jumps, and to another deterministic and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

This paper is mainly a survey of recent research developments regarding methods for risk minimization in financial markets modeled by It\^o-L\'evy processes, but it also contains some new results on the underlying stochastic maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-04-11 Bernt Øksendal , Agnès Sulem

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process is a stochastic process whose behavior is governed by an ordinary differential equation punctuated by random jumps occurring at random times. We focus on the nonparametric estimation problem of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Romain Azaïs , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin

Diffusive approximations of Markov jump processes often fail to accurately capture large fluctuations. This is confounding, as the rare events triggered by these large fluctuations, such as the failure of electronic memories, are often the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 David Roberts , Trevor McCourt , Geremia Massarelli , Jeremy Rothschild , Nahuel Freitas

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of realized power variation of pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingales as the sampling frequency within a fixed interval increases to infinity. We prove convergence in probability and an associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-07 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

We model continuous-time information flows generated by a number of information sources that switch on and off at random times. By modulating a multi-dimensional L\'evy random bridge over a random point field, our framework relates the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Edward Hoyle , Andrea Macrina , Levent A. Mengütürk

A well-known It\^o formula for finite dimensional processes, given in terms of stochastic integrals with respect to Wiener processes and Poisson random measures, is revisited and is revised. The revised formula, which corresponds to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 István Gyöngy , Sizhou Wu