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We study the problem of computing the tightest upper and lower bounds on the probability that the sum of $n$ dependent Bernoulli random variables exceeds an integer $k$. Under knowledge of all pairs of bivariate distributions denoted by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Divya Padmanabhan , Karthik Natarajan

We consider a binary sequence generated by thresholding a hidden continuous sequence. The hidden variables are assumed to have a compound symmetry covariance structure with a single parameter characterizing the common correlation. We study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Haolei Weng , Yang Feng

Phylogenetic reconciliation seeks to explain host-symbiont co-evolution by mapping parasite trees onto host trees through events such as cospeciation, duplication, host switching, and loss. Finding an optimal reconciliation that ensures…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-02 Cyriac Antony , Alessio Martino , Blerina Sinaimeri

As an alternative to parsimony analyses, stochastic models have been proposed (Lewis, 2001), (Nylander, et al., 2004) for morphological characters, so that maximum likelihood or Bayesian analyses may be used for phylogenetic inference. A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-12-20 Elizabeth S. Allman , Mark T. Holder , John A. Rhodes

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) methods are widely used for evolutionary tree. As evolutionary tree is not a smooth parameter, the consistency of its MLE has been a topic of debate. It has been noted without proof that the classical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-06 Arindam RoyChoudhury

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

Phylogenetic (i.e. leaf-labeled) trees play a fundamental role in evolutionary research. A typical problem is to reconstruct such trees from data like DNA alignments (whose columns are often referred to as characters), and a simple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-08 Mareike Fischer

Longest Increasing Subsequence (LIS) is a fundamental statistic of a sequence, and has been studied for decades. While the LIS of a sequence of length $n$ can be computed exactly in time $O(n\log n)$, the complexity of estimating the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Alexandr Andoni , Negev Shekel Nosatzki , Sandip Sinha , Clifford Stein

We revisit the problem of the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate for multi-class logistic regression. We show that one method of ensuring its existence is by assigning positive probability to every class in the sample dataset. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Dwight Nwaigwe , Marek Rychlik

Network Phylogenetic Diversity (Network-PD) is a measure for the diversity of a set of species based on a rooted phylogenetic network (with branch lengths and inheritance probabilities on the reticulation edges) describing the evolution of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Leo van Iersel , Mark Jones , Jannik Schestag , Celine Scornavacca , Mathias Weller

Estimating phylogenetic trees, which depict the relationships between different species, from aligned sequence data (such as DNA, RNA, or proteins) is one of the main aims of evolutionary biology. However, tree reconstruction criteria like…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-02 Mareike Fischer

In many natural average-case problems, there are or there are believed to be critical values in the parameter space where the structure of the space of solutions changes in a fundamental way. These phase transitions are often believed to…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Ankur Moitra , Elchanan Mossel , Colin Sandon

Phylogenetic mixtures model the inhomogeneous molecular evolution commonly observed in data. The performance of phylogenetic reconstruction methods where the underlying data is generated by a mixture model has stimulated considerable recent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-06-30 Frederick A. Matsen , Mike Steel

A phylogenetic network is a directed acyclic graph that visualises an evolutionary history containing so-called reticulations such as recombinations, hybridisations or lateral gene transfers. Here we consider the construction of a simplest…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-05-16 Leo van Iersel , Steven Kelk

The structure of an evolving network contains information about its past. Extracting this information efficiently, however, is, in general, a difficult challenge. We formulate a fast and efficient method to estimate the most likely history…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-16 Gábor Timár , Rui A. da Costa , Sergey N. Dorogovtsev , José F. F. Mendes

The abundance of models of complex networks and the current insufficient validation standards make it difficult to judge which models are strongly supported by data and which are not. We focus here on likelihood maximization methods for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-26 Matus Medo

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Comparative analyses of phylogenetic trees typically require identical taxon sets, however, in practice, trees often include distinct but overlapping taxa. Pruning non-shared leaves discards phylogenetic signal, whereas tree completion can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-28 Aleksandr Koshkarov , Nadia Tahiri

Testing fit of data to model is fundamentally important to any science, but publications in the field of phylogenetics rarely do this. Such analyses discard fundamental aspects of science as prescribed by Karl Popper. Indeed, not without…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-31 Peter J. Waddell , Rissa Ota , David Penny

We show how concepts from statistical physics, such as order parameter, thermodynamic limit, and quantum phase transition, translate into biological concepts in mutation-selection models for sequence evolution and can be used there. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Joachim Hermisson , Oliver Redner , Holger Wagner , Ellen Baake