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Influence functions approximate the effect of training samples in test-time predictions and have a wide variety of applications in machine learning interpretability and uncertainty estimation. A commonly-used (first-order) influence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Samyadeep Basu , Philip Pope , Soheil Feizi

We present a theory of point and interval estimation for nonlinear functionals in parametric, semi-, and non-parametric models based on higher order influence functions (Robins (2004), Section 9; Li et al. (2004), Tchetgen et al. (2006),…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 James Robins , Lingling Li , Eric Tchetgen , Aad van der Vaart

Causal influence measures for machine learnt classifiers shed light on the reasons behind classification, and aid in identifying influential input features and revealing their biases. However, such analyses involve evaluating the classifier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Shayak Sen , Piotr Mardziel , Anupam Datta , Matthew Fredrikson

Methods that rely on proxies, without imposing strong parametric structure, are increasingly used to deal with unobserved variables in causal inference. One influential line of this work reconstructs latent distributions used to identify…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Helen Guo , Ilya Shpitser , Elizabeth L. Ogburn

Influence functions estimate the effect of removing a training point on a model without the need to retrain. They are based on a first-order Taylor approximation that is guaranteed to be accurate for sufficiently small changes to the model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Pang Wei Koh , Kai-Siang Ang , Hubert H. K. Teo , Percy Liang

The precision matrix that encodes conditional linear dependency relations among a set of variables forms an important object of interest in multivariate analysis. Sparse estimation procedures for precision matrices such as the graphical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Gaëtan Louvet , Jakob Raymaekers , Germain Van Bever , Ines Wilms

This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

Difference-in-differences (DiD) is a cornerstone of causal inference, yet extending it to functional outcomes is not a routine scalar generalization; rather, it entails three fundamental challenges in identification, inference, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Junzhu Nie , Chengxiu Ling , Mengfei Ran

We introduce a double/debiased machine learning estimator for the impulse response function in settings where a time series of interest is subjected to multiple discrete treatments, assigned over time, which can have a causal effect on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Daniele Ballinari , Alexander Wehrli

Machine learning systems such as large scale recommendation systems or natural language processing systems are usually trained on billions of training points and are associated with hundreds of billions or trillions of parameters. Improving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Michael Kounavis , Ousmane Dia , Ilqar Ramazanli

It is often of interest to make inference on an unknown function that is a local parameter of the data-generating mechanism, such as a density or regression function. Such estimands can typically only be estimated at a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-17 Aaron Hudson , Marco Carone , Ali Shojaie

Practitioners use feature importance to rank and eliminate weak predictors during model development in an effort to simplify models and improve generality. Unfortunately, they also routinely conflate such feature importance measures with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Terence Parr , James D. Wilson , Jeff Hamrick

We consider the problem of estimating an arbitrary smooth functional of $k \geq 1 $ distribution functions (d.f.s.) in terms of random samples from them. The natural estimate replaces the d.f.s by their empirical d.f.s. Its bias is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-03 C. S. Withers , S. Nadarajah

Functional bilevel methods estimate a lower-level function and plug it into a hypergradient, but this plug-in gradient can retain first-order bias when the lower-level problem is learned nonparametrically. To remove this bias, we develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-21 Fares El Khoury , Houssam Zenati , Nathan Kallus , Michael Arbel , Aurélien Bibaut

This paper considers a model with general regressors and unobservable factors. An estimator based on iterated principal components is proposed, which is shown to be not only asymptotically normal and oracle efficient, but under certain…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-23 Bin Peng , Liangjun Su , Joakim Westerlund , Yanrong Yang

Wang and Tchetgen Tchetgen (2017) studied identification and estimation of the average treatment effect when some confounders are unmeasured. Under their identification condition, they showed that the semiparametric efficient influence…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-17 Chunrong Ai , Lukang Huang , Zheng Zhang

Influence functions efficiently estimate the effect of removing a single training data point on a model's learned parameters. While influence estimates align well with leave-one-out retraining for linear models, recent works have shown this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Juhan Bae , Nathan Ng , Alston Lo , Marzyeh Ghassemi , Roger Grosse

Missing exposure information is a very common feature of many observational studies. Here we study identifiability and efficient estimation of causal effects on vector outcomes, in such cases where treatment is unconfounded but partially…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-04 Edward H. Kennedy

We present estimators for smooth Hilbert-valued parameters, where smoothness is characterized by a pathwise differentiability condition. When the parameter space is a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, we provide a means to obtain efficient,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Alex Luedtke , Incheoul Chung

In a smooth semi-parametric model, the marginal posterior distribution for a finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of any efficient point-estimator. The assertion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Yongdai Kim , Bas Kleijn