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Hypoelliptic diffusion processes can be used to model a variety of phenomena in applications ranging from molecular dynamics to audio signal analysis. We study parameter estimation for such processes in situations where we observe some…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-30 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , P. Wiberg

Despite the frequent use of agent-based models (ABMs) for studying social phenomena, parameter estimation remains a challenge, often relying on costly simulation-based heuristics. This work uses variational inference to estimate the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Jacopo Lenti , Fabrizio Silvestri , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

The increasing complexity of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) models has created a pressing need for tools that help scientists, engineers, and policymakers interpret and refine model decisions and predictions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-17 Haolin Zou , Arnab Auddy , Yongchan Kwon , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Arian Maleki

We discuss parametric estimation of a degenerate diffusion system from time-discrete observations. The first component of the degenerate diffusion system has a parameter $\theta_1$ in a non-degenerate diffusion coefficient and a parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

Dependency functions of dependent variables are relevant for i) performing uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis in presence of dependent variables and/or correlated variables, and ii) simulating random dependent variables. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Matieyendou Lamboni

Influence diagnosis is important since presence of influential observations could lead to distorted analysis and misleading interpretations. For high-dimensional data, it is particularly so, as the increased dimensionality and complexity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Junlong Zhao , Chenlei Leng , Lexin Li , Hansheng Wang

Consider discrete values of functions shifted by unobserved translation effects, which are independent realizations of a random variable with unknown distribution $\mu$, modeling the variability in the response of each individual. Our aim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Ismael Castillo , Jean-Michel Loubes

We consider statistical inference for a finite-dimensional parameter in a regular semiparametric model under a distributed setting with blockwise missingness, where entire blocks of variables are unavailable at certain sites and sharing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Jingyue Huang , Huiyuan Wang , Yuqing Lei , Yong Chen

The problem of nonparametric inference on a monotone function has been extensively studied in many particular cases. Estimators considered have often been of so-called Grenander type, being representable as the left derivative of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Ted Westling , Marco Carone

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper delves into a nonparametric estimation approach for the interaction function within diffusion-type particle system models. We introduce two estimation methods based upon an empirical risk minimization. Our study encompasses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Denis Belomestny , Mark Podolskij , Shi-Yuan Zhou

Global sensitivity analysis is a set of methods aiming at quantifying the contribution of an uncertain input parameter of the model (or combination of parameters) on the variability of the response. We consider here the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Viet Chi Tran , Gwenaëlle Castellan , Anthony Cousien , Chi Tran

In this paper, we derive copula-based and empirical dependency models (DMs) for simulating non-independent variables, and then propose a new way for determining the distribution of the model outputs conditional on every subset of inputs.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-12 Matieyendou Lamboni

Association models for a pair of random elements $X$ and $Y$ (e.g., vectors) are considered which specify the odds ratio function up to an unknown parameter $\bolds\theta$. These models are shown to be semiparametric in the sense that they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-05 Gerhard Osius

Stochastic gradient descent procedures have gained popularity for parameter estimation from large data sets. However, their statistical properties are not well understood, in theory. And in practice, avoiding numerical instability requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-29 Panos Toulis , Edoardo M. Airoldi

As machine learning is increasingly deployed in the real world, it is paramount that we develop the tools necessary to analyze the decision-making of the models we train and deploy to end-users. Recently, researchers have shown that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Andrew Silva , Rohit Chopra , Matthew Gombolay

A general approach to a broad class of asymptotic problems related to long-time influence of small perturbations, of both deterministic and stochastic type, is presented in the paper. The main characteristic of this influence is a limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Mark Freidlin

We can, and should, do statistical inference on simulation models by adjusting the parameters in the simulation so that the values of {\em randomly chosen} functions of the simulation output match the values of those same functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

In this work, we focus on the use of influence functions to identify relevant training examples that one might hope "explain" the predictions of a machine learning model. One shortcoming of influence functions is that the training examples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-27 Elnaz Barshan , Marc-Etienne Brunet , Gintare Karolina Dziugaite
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