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We define a Markov process in a forward population model with backward genealogy given by the $\Lambda$-coalescent. This Markov process, called the fixation line, is related to the block counting process through its hitting times. Two…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Olivier Hénard

We consider reversible ergodic Markov chains with finite state space, and we introduce a new notion of quasi-stationary distribution that does not require the presence of any absorbing state. In our setting, the hitting time of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Roberto Fernandez , Francesco Manzo , Matteo Quattropani , Elisabetta Scoppola

We consider the almost sure asymptotic behavior of the periodogram of stationary and ergodic sequences. Under mild conditions we establish that the limsup of the periodogram properly normalized identifies almost surely the spectral density…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-19 Christophe Cuny , Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad

The consistency of the Bayesian estimation of a parameter is shown for a class of ergodic discrete Markov chains. J.L. Doob's method was used, offered earlier for the i.i.d. situation. The result may be useful in the reliability theory for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 A. I. Nurieva , A. Yu. Veretennikov

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

Distributed coordination algorithms (DCA) carry out information processing processes among a group of networked agents without centralized information fusion. Though it is well known that DCA characterized by an SIA (stochastic,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-30 Yao Chen , Weiguo Xia , Ming Cao , Jinhu Lu

We develop a new bidirectional algorithm for estimating Markov chain multi-step transition probabilities: given a Markov chain, we want to estimate the probability of hitting a given target state in $\ell$ steps after starting from a given…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-11-05 Siddhartha Banerjee , Peter Lofgren

The first aim of the present note is to quantify the speed of convergence of a conditioned process toward its Q-process under suitable assumptions on the quasi-stationary distribution of the process. Conversely, we prove that, if a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We study the Markov chain on $\mathbf{F}_p$ obtained by applying a function $f$ and adding $\pm\gamma$ with equal probability. When $f$ is a linear function, this is the well-studied Chung--Diaconis--Graham process. We consider two cases:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Jimmy He

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

Motivated by the central limit problem for convex bodies, we study normal approximation of linear functionals of high-dimensional random vectors with various types of symmetries. In particular, we obtain results for distributions which are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Elizabeth S. Meckes , Mark W. Meckes

Given a heterogeneous time-series sample, the objective is to find points in time (called change points) where the probability distribution generating the data has changed. The data are assumed to have been generated by arbitrary unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-13 Azadeh Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

We consider a well known model of random directed acyclic graphs of order $n$, obtained by recursively adding vertices, where each new vertex has a fixed outdegree $d\ge2$ and the endpoints of the $d$ edges from it are chosen uniformly at…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Svante Janson

We study an open discrete-time queueing network that models the collection of data in a multi-hop sensor network. We assume data is generated at the sensor nodes as a discrete-time Bernoulli process. All nodes in the network maintain a…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-07-26 Iqra Altaf Gillani , Amitabha Bagchi , Pooja Vyavahare

A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jeffrey Negrea , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Continuous-time Markov chains describing interacting processes exhibit a state space that grows exponentially in the number of processes. This state-space explosion renders the computation or storage of the time-marginal distribution, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Peter Georg , Lars Grasedyck , Maren Klever , Rudolf Schill , Rainer Spang , Tilo Wettig

The computation of two Bayesian predictive distributions which are discrete mixtures of incomplete beta functions is considered. The number of iterations can easily become large for these distributions and thus, the accuracy of the result…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jacques Poitevineau , Bruno Lecoutre

The preparation of the stationary distribution of irreducible, time-reversible Markov chains is a fundamental building block in many heuristic approaches to algorithmically hard problems. It has been conjectured that quantum analogs of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-02-20 Vedran Dunjko , Hans J. Briegel

In a previous paper we determined one dimensional distributions of a stationary field with linear regressions and quadratic conditional variances under a linear constraint on the coefficients of the quadratic expression. In this paper we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wlodzimierz Bryc

We consider a one dimensional affine switched system obtained from a formal limit of a two dimensional linear system. We show this is equivalent to minimising the average digit in beta representations with unrestricted digits. We give a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-11 Carl P. Dettmann