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The near universal references to the above paper by most of the major US media outlets and blogs since Katrina and Rita made US landfall requires a response from a few of us who study hurricanes. Having been involved with hurricane research…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 William Gray

We present simulations of atmospheres of Earth-like aquaplanets that are tidally locked to their star, that is, planets whose orbital period is equal to the rotation period about their spin axis, so that one side always faces the star and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2011-03-11 Timothy M. Merlis , Tapio Schneider

Power spectra of global surface temperature (GST) records reveal major periodicities at about 9.1, 10-11, 19-22 and 59-62 years. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models (GCMs), to be used in the IPCC…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-10-29 Nicola Scafetta

Several complicated non-linear models exist which simulate the physical processes leading to fluctuations in global climate. Some of these more advanced models use observations to constrain various parameters involved. However, they tend to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-27 Rajashik Tarafder , Dibyendu Nandy

The extent to which the ongoing decline in Arctic sea ice affects mid-latitude climate has received great attention and polarised opinions. The basic issue is whether the inter-annual variability in Arctic sea ice is the cause of, or the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-11-26 Giuseppe Zappa , Theodore G. Shepherd , Paulo Ceppi

This paper investigates the implications of the future continuation of the demonstrated past (1960-2012) strong correlation between first-difference atmospheric CO2 and global surface temperature. It does this, for the period from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-04-30 L. M. W Leggett , D. A. Ball

Upper-ocean flows are a multi-scale jigsaw puzzle of turbulence and waves. Characterizing these flows is essential for understanding their role in redistributing heat, carbon, and nutrients, yet power spectral analysis cannot always…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-05 J. W. Skinner , A. Lawrence , J. Callies

The physics of planetary climate features a variety of complex systems that are challenging to model as they feature turbulent flows. A key example is the heat flux from the upper ocean to the underside of sea ice which provides a key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-16 Srikanth Toppaladoddi , Andrew J. Wells

Reduced precision floating point arithmetic is now routinely deployed in numerical weather forecasting over short timescales. However the applicability of these reduced precision techniques to longer timescale climate simulations -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Tom Kimpson , E. Adam Paxton , Matthew Chantry , Tim Palmer

Understanding future changes in temperature variability and extremes is an important scientific challenge with societal impacts. Here the responses of daily near-surface temperature distributions to climate warming is explored using an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-12 Joshua A. M. Duffield , Michael P. Byrne

Coastal upwelling, driven by alongshore winds and characterized by cold sea surface temperatures and high upper-ocean nutrient content, is an important physical process sustaining some of the oceans' most productive ecosystems. To fully…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-11 Elle Weeks , Martin Losch , Eli Tziperman

Climate change is progressing asynchronously between the Arctic and Antarctic, with important implications for global climate dynamics. While the Arctic has experienced rapid warming and pronounced amplification, the Antarctic has exhibited…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-22 Hongyu Wang , Jingfang Fan , Fei Xie , Jingyuan Li , Rui Shi , Yan Xia , Deliang Chen , Xiaosong Chen

The influence of atmospheric composition on the climates of present-day and early Earth has been studied extensively, but the role of ocean composition has received less attention. We use the ROCKE-3D ocean-atmosphere general circulation…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-16 Stephanie L. Olson , Malte F. Jansen , Dorian S. Abbot , Itay Halevy , Colin Goldblatt

The attribution of part of global warming to changes in the total solar irradiance (TSI) is an important topic which is not, yet, fully understood. Here, we examine the TSI induced temperature (T) changes on a variety of time scales, from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Anatoly Erlykin , Arnold Wolfendale

The circulation in Europa's ocean determines the degree of thermal, mechanical and chemical coupling between the ice shell and the silicate mantle. Using global direct numerical simulations, we investigate the effect of heterogeneous tidal…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-12-20 Daphné G. Lemasquerier , Carver J. Bierson , Krista M. Soderlund

Aims: The long-term carbon cycle for planets with a surface entirely covered by oceans works differently from that of the present-day Earth because inefficient erosion leads to a strong dependence of the weathering rate on the rate of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-03 Dennis Höning , Nicola Tosi , Tilman Spohn

We build a conceptual coupled model of the climate and tidal evolution of the Earth-Moon system to find the influence of the former on the latter. An energy balance model is applied to calculate steady-state temperature field from the mean…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-25 Nan Wang , Zhi-Guo He

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key component of the climate system and considered to be a tipping element. There is still a large uncertainty on the critical global warming level at which the AMOC will start to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-30 René M. van Westen , Elian Y. P. Vanderborght , Michael Kliphuis , Henk A. Dijkstra

The global mean surface temperature is widely studied to monitor climate change. A current debate centers around whether there has been a recent (post-1970s) surge/acceleration in the warming rate. This paper addresses whether an…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-07 Claudie Beaulieu , Colin Gallagher , Rebecca Killick , Robert Lund , Xueheng Shi

Various interpretations of the notion of a trend in the context of global warming are discussed, contrasting the difference between viewing a trend as the deterministic response to an external forcing and viewing it as a slow variation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-07-29 Lene Østvand , Kristoffer Rypdal , Martin Rypdal