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Global warming arises from 'temperature forcing', a net imbalance between energy fluxes entering and leaving the climate system and arising within it. Humanity introduces temperature forcing through greenhouse gas emissions, agriculture,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-12-12 Nick E. B. Cowern , Chihak Ahn

Oceanic atmospheric oscillations and climate variability are tightly linked and both exhibit broad band spectral content that ranges, with roughly equal strength, from annual to centennial periodicity. The explanation for variability based…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-23 Ian R. Edmonds

Quantitative estimates of the contributions of the anthropogenic forcing, characterized by changes in the radiative forcing of atmospheric greenhouse gases (CO2, in particular), and solar activity variations to the trends of the global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-11 Igor I. Mokhov , Dmitry A. Smirnov

The ISMR profoundly impacts over a billion people across the region. ISMR extremes have been linked to the ENSO and modulated by the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). ISMR of 2022 displayed intriguing spatial patterns: above-normal precipitation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-19 Supriya Ovhal , Mujumdar M , Swapna P , Sreenivas P , Sandeep N , Ravichandran M

How strong are quantitative contributions of the key natural modes of climate variability and the anthropogenic factor characterized by the changes of the radiative forcing of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to the trends of the surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-03 I. I. Mokhov , D. A. Smirnov

This study investigates climate change impacts on Moroccan Atlantic coastal upwelling (21$^{\circ}$--35$^{\circ}$N), analyzing interrelationships among the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Coastal Upwelling Index (CUI), and Sea Surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-18 Mohammed El Abdioui

In this work we use the random matrix theory (RMT) to correctly describethe behavior of spectral statistical properties of the sea surface temperatureof oceans. This oceanographic variable plays an important role in theglobalclimate system.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-07 Eucymara F. N. Santosa , Anderson L. R. Barbosa , Paulo J. Duarte-Neto

A model is proposed to explain the observed correlation between monthly fluctuations in atmospheric CO2 concentrations and temperatures. The model relies on the oceans being in a temperature-dependent equilibrium with the atmosphere. When…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-02-22 Francois Ouellette

A climate response function is introduced that consists of six exponential (low-pass) filters with weights depending as a power law on their e-folding times. The response of this two-parameter function to the combined forcings of solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-10-24 J. H. van Hateren

Climate tipping points are critical thresholds in Earth's climate system where a small change can cause abrupt and potentially irreversible shifts towards a new state. Tipping points in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Jasmine Noory

This paper aims to better understand why there was a global warming pause in 2000-2015 and why the global mean surface temperature (GMST) has risen again in recent years. We present and statistically analyze substantial time-series observed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Qing-Bin Lu

Despite the importance and vulnerability of small island nations and their ecosystems, they frequently have insufficient observations to provide baseline or long-term perspectives on climate variability and change, and global model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-07-18 Kristopher B. Karnauskas , Jeffrey P. Donnelly , Kevin J. Anchukaitis

This paper studies the chaotic behavior of hydrosphere and its influence on global weather and climate. We give mathematical arguments for the sea surface temperature (SST) to be unpredictable over the global ocean. The impact of SST…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-01-04 Marat Akhmet , Mehmet Onur Fen , Ejaily Milad Alejaily

Sea surface temperature (SST) is a fundamental physical parameter characterising the thermal state of sea surface. Due to the intricate thermal interactions between land, sea, and atmosphere, the spatial gradients of SST in coastal waters…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-14 Yiqing Guo , Nagur Cherukuru , Eric Lehmann , Xiubin Qi , Mark Doubelld , S. L. Kesav Unnithan , Ming Feng

The current configuration of the ocean overturning involves upwelling predominantly in the Southern Ocean and sinking predominantly in the Atlantic basin. The reasons for this remain unclear, as both models and paleoclimatic observations…

It has been hypothesized that the Earth may have experienced snowball events in the past, during which its surface became completely covered with ice. Previous studies used general circulation models to investigate the onset and climate of…

The mechanism that causes an interdecadal oscillation in a coarse resolution sector ocean model forced by mixed boundary conditions is studied. The oscillation is characterized by large fluctuations in convective activity and air/sea heat…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 G. Lenderink , R. J. Haarsma

The downward trend in Arctic sea ice extent is one of the most dramatic signals of climate change during recent decades. Comprehensive climate models have struggled to reproduce this, typically simulating a slower rate of sea ice retreat…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-21 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

We compare the performance of a recently proposed empirical climate model based on astronomical harmonics against all available general circulation climate models (GCM) used by the IPCC (2007) to interpret the 20th century global surface…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-01-09 Nicola Scafetta

Gyres are central features of large-scale ocean circulation and are involved in transporting tracers such as heat, nutrients, and carbon-dioxide within and across ocean basins. Traditionally, the gyre circulation is thought to be driven by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-02 Dhruv Bhagtani , Andrew McColl Hogg , Ryan Mahony Holmes , Navid C. Constantinou
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