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This paper presents a novel approach to estimate the Standard Model backgrounds based on modifying Monte Carlo predictions within their systematic uncertainties. The improved background model is obtained by altering the original predictions…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-11-23 S. Caron , G. Cowan , E. Gross , S. Horner , J. E. Sundermann

This work is concerned with approximating the smallest eigenvalue of a parameter-dependent Hermitian matrix $A(\mu)$ for many parameter values $\mu \in \mathbb{R}^P$. The design of reliable and efficient algorithms for addressing this task…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-24 Petar Sirković , Daniel Kressner

A growing number of generative statistical models do not permit the numerical evaluation of their likelihood functions. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become a popular approach to overcome this issue, in which one simulates…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-10 Espen Bernton , Pierre E. Jacob , Mathieu Gerber , Christian P. Robert

Cosmological inference becomes increasingly difficult when complex data-generating processes cannot be modeled by simple probability distributions. With the ever-increasing size of data sets in cosmology, there is increasing burden placed…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Anja Weyant , Chad Schafer , W. Michael Wood-Vasey

In generative models with obscured likelihood, Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is often the tool of last resort for inference. However, ABC demands many prior parameter trials to keep only a small fraction that passes an acceptance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Sean O'Hagan , Jungeum Kim , Veronika Rockova

This paper proposes a morpho-statistical characterisation of the galaxy distribution through spatial statistical modelling based on inhomogeneous Gibbs point processes. The galaxy distribution is supposed to exhibit two components. The…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-18 Lluís Hurtado-Gil , Radu S. Stoica , Vicent J. Martínez , Pablo Arnalte-Mur

There has been an intense development on the estimation of a sparse regression coefficient vector in statistics, machine learning and related fields. In this paper, we focus on the Bayesian approach to this problem, where sparsity is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-25 Xichen Huang , Jin Wang , Feng Liang

An intuitively necessary requirement of models used to provide forecasts of a system's future is the existence of shadowing trajectories that are consistent with past observations of the system: given a system-model pair, do model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-11 Roland M. B. Young , Roman Binter , Falk Niehörster

Detecting arbitrarily shaped clusters in high-dimensional noisy data is challenging for current clustering methods. We introduce SHADE (Structure-preserving High-dimensional Analysis with Density-based Exploration), the first deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Anna Beer , Pascal Weber , Lukas Miklautz , Collin Leiber , Walid Durani , Christian Böhm , Claudia Plant

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods perform inference on model-specific parameters of mechanistically motivated parametric statistical models when evaluating likelihoods is difficult. Central to the success of ABC methods is…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-29 Erkan O. Buzbas , Noah A. Rosenberg

Additive spatial statistical models with weakly stationary process assumptions have become standard in spatial statistics. However, one disadvantage of such models is the computation time, which rapidly increases with the number of data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Sudipto Saha , Jonathan R. Bradley

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-14 Georgios Papageorgiou

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo has emerged as a standard tool for posterior computation. In this article, we present an extension that can efficiently explore target distributions with discontinuous densities. Our extension in particular enables…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-09 Akihiko Nishimura , David Dunson , Jianfeng Lu

Posterior sampling with the spike-and-slab prior [MB88], a popular multimodal distribution used to model uncertainty in variable selection, is considered the theoretical gold standard method for Bayesian sparse linear regression [CPS09,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-05 Syamantak Kumar , Purnamrita Sarkar , Kevin Tian , Yusong Zhu

Bayes linear analysis and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are techniques commonly used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models. In this article we connect these ideas by demonstrating that regression-adjustment ABC algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-10 D. J. Nott , Y. Fan , L. Marshall , S. A. Sisson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) refers to a family of inference methods used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models where evaluation of the likelihood is difficult. Conventional ABC methods often suffer from the curse of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-08 Jingjing Li , David J. Nott , Yanan Fan , Scott A. Sisson

In this article we focus on Maximum Likelihood estimation (MLE) for the static parameters of hidden Markov models (HMMs). We will consider the case where one cannot or does not want to compute the conditional likelihood density of the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-18 Elena Ehrlich , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

Rough set is one of the important methods for rule acquisition and attribute reduction. The current goal of rough set attribute reduction focuses more on minimizing the number of reduced attributes, but ignores the spatial similarity…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Xuchang Guo , Houbiao Li

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a useful class of methods for Bayesian inference when the likelihood function is computationally intractable. In practice, the basic ABC algorithm may be inefficient in the presence of discrepancy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Stefano Cabras , Maria Eugenia Castellanos Nueda , Erlis Ruli