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We propose a novel algorithm for efficiently computing a sparse directed adjacency matrix from a group of time series following a causal graph process. Our solution is scalable for both dense and sparse graphs and automatically selects the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Théophile Griveau-Billion , Ben Calderhead

Classical shadow tomography has become a powerful tool in learning about quantum states prepared on a quantum computer. Recent works have used classical shadows to variationally enforce N-representability conditions on the 2-particle…

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular sampling method in applications involving intractable likelihood functions. Without evaluating the likelihood function, ABC approximates the posterior distribution by the set of accepted…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-17 Jin Zhou , Kenji Fukumizu

This paper presents a fast algorithm for estimating hidden states of Bayesian state space models. The algorithm is a variation of amortized simulation-based inference algorithms, where a large number of artificial datasets are generated at…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-14 Ramis Khabibullin , Sergei Seleznev

In recent years dynamical modelling has been provided with a range of breakthrough methods to perform exact Bayesian inference. However it is often computationally unfeasible to apply exact statistical methodologies in the context of large…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-24 Umberto Picchini , Julie Lyng Forman

In this work we introduce a statistical framework in order to analyze the spatial redundancy in natural images. This notion of spatial redundancy must be defined locally and thus we give some examples of functions (auto-similarity and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-16 De Bortoli Valentin , Desolneux Agnès , Galerne Bruno , Leclaire Arthur

The ABCD method is one of the most widely used data-driven background estimation techniques in high energy physics. Cuts on two statistically-independent classifiers separate signal and background into four regions, so that background in…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-03-03 Gregor Kasieczka , Benjamin Nachman , Matthew D. Schwartz , David Shih

We develop a spatio-temporal model to forecast sensor output at five locations in North East England. The signal is described using coupled dynamic linear models, with spatial effects specified by a Gaussian process. Data streams are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Yingying Lai , Andrew Golightly , Richard Boys

We study the sample complexity of the classical shadows task: what is the fewest number of copies of an unknown state you need to measure to predict expected values with respect to some class of observables? Large joint measurements are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-05-16 Daniel Grier , Sihan Liu , Gaurav Mahajan

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

Local structures of shadow boundaries as well as complex interactions of image regions remain largely unexploited by previous shadow detection approaches. In this paper, we present a novel learning-based framework for shadow region recovery…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-05-11 Li Shen , Teck Wee Chua , Karianto Leman

We present a hybrid constraint-based/Bayesian algorithm for learning causal networks in the presence of sparse data. The algorithm searches the space of equivalence classes of models (essential graphs) using a heuristic based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Denver Dash , Marek J. Druzdzel

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

The ability to obtain reliable point estimates of model parameters is of crucial importance in many fields of physics. This is often a difficult task given that the observed data can have a very high number of dimensions. In order to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Janis Fluri , Aurelien Lucchi , Tomasz Kacprzak , Alexandre Refregier , Thomas Hofmann

To find New Physics or to refine our knowledge of the Standard Model at the LHC is an enterprise that involves many factors. We focus on taking advantage of available information and pour our effort in re-thinking the usual data-driven ABCD…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-09-26 Ezequiel Alvarez , Leandro Da Rold , Manuel Szewc , Alejandro Szynkman , Santiago A. Tanco , Tatiana Tarutina

Within the framework of the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (MSSM), we explore a decoupling of the parameters into separate sectors that determine consistency with collider data, the abundance of dark matter, and potential signatures…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2016-07-27 Pearl Sandick

Theorems relating permutations with objects in other fields of mathematics are often stated in terms of avoided patterns. Examples include various classes of Schubert varieties from algebraic geometry (Billey and Abe 2013), commuting…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Henning Ulfarsson

Undirected graphical models are widely used in statistics, physics and machine vision. However Bayesian parameter estimation for undirected models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior typically involves the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-03-19 Richard G. Everitt

Predicting properties of complex, large-scale quantum systems is essential for developing quantum technologies. We present an efficient method for constructing an approximate classical description of a quantum state using very few…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-04-20 Hsin-Yuan Huang , Richard Kueng , John Preskill

Shadow estimation provides an efficient framework for estimating observable expectation values using randomized measurements. While originally developed for discrete-variable systems, its recent extensions to continuous-variable (CV)…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-16 Ruyu Yang , Xiaoming Sun , Hongyi Zhou
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