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While calibration of probabilistic predictions has been widely studied, this paper rather addresses calibration of likelihood functions. This has been discussed, especially in biometrics, in cases with only two exhaustive and mutually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Paul-Gauthier Noé , Andreas Nautsch , Driss Matrouf , Pierre-Michel Bousquet , Jean-François Bonastre

Complex models in physics, biology, economics, and engineering are often sloppy, meaning that the model parameters are not well determined by the model predictions for collective behavior. Many parameter combinations can vary over decades…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-26 Katherine N. Quinn , Michael C. Abbott , Mark K. Transtrum , Benjamin B. Machta , James P. Sethna

We study approximation and statistical learning properties of deep ReLU networks under structural assumptions that mitigate the curse of dimensionality. We prove minimax-optimal uniform approximation rates for $s$-H\"older smooth functions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Thomas Nagler , Sophie Langer

By universal formulas we understand parameterized analytic expressions that have a fixed complexity, but nevertheless can approximate any continuous function on a compact set. There exist various examples of such formulas, including some in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Dmitry Yarotsky

The parameter space for any fixed architecture of feedforward ReLU neural networks serves as a proxy during training for the associated class of functions - but how faithful is this representation? It is known that many different parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 J. Elisenda Grigsby , Kathryn Lindsey , David Rolnick

In some areas of knowledge there are data representing directions restricted to a specific range of values. Consequently, it is useful to have models for describing variables defined in subsets of the k-dimensional unit sphere. This need…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Joel Montesinos-Vazquez , Gabriel Núñez-Antonio

It is now practically the norm for data to be very high dimensional in areas such as genetics, machine vision, image analysis and many others. When analyzing such data, parametric models are often too inflexible while nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-31 Abhishek Bhattacharya , Garritt Page , David Dunson

Measuring the F\"{o}rster resonance energy transfer (FRET) efficiency of freely diffusing single molecules provides information about the sampled conformational states of the molecules. Under equilibrium conditions, the distribution of the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-08-28 Marijn de Boer

Inference is typically intractable in high-treewidth undirected graphical models, making maximum likelihood learning a challenge. One way to overcome this is to restrict parameters to a tractable set, most typically the set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-02 Justin Domke

We study the ChorHendySnir2006 evolutionary model, which consists of a rooted phylogenetic tree with three leaves, subject to the Jukes--Cantor (JC69) molecular evolutionary model and molecular clock. We show that the likelihood function…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-23 Maria Emilíia Alonso , Ernesto Álvarez

We propose a new inferential framework for constructing confidence regions and testing hypotheses in statistical models specified by a system of high dimensional estimating equations. We construct an influence function by projecting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Matey Neykov , Yang Ning , Jun S. Liu , Han Liu

We introduce a nonparametric way to estimate the global probability density function for a random persistence diagram. Precisely, a kernel density function centered at a given persistence diagram and a given bandwidth is constructed. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Joshua Lee Mike , Vasileios Maroulas

The controlled branching process is a generalization of the classical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson branching process. It is a useful model for describing the evolution of populations in which the population size at each generation needs to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-09 M. Gonzalez , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto

Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Michael Levine , Matthieu Marbac

It is common in phylogenetics to have some, perhaps partial, information about the overall evolutionary tree of a group of organisms and wish to find an evolutionary tree of a specific gene for those organisms. There may not be enough…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-09 Vu Dinh , Lam Si Tung Ho , Marc A. Suchard , Frederick A. Matsen

Accurate characterization of filamentary structures in star-forming clouds is essential for understanding star formation. Traditional methods fit observed surface density profiles $\Sigma(r)$ with slope $\gamma$ and width $H$ using the…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2026-05-15 Alexander Men'shchikov , Guo-Yin Zhang

Parameter estimation in Coxian phase-type models can be challenging due to their non-unique representation leading to a multi-modal likelihood. Since each representation corresponds to a different underlying data-generating mechanism, it is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Jean Rizk , Kevin Burke , Cathal Walsh

Parameterized optimization and parameter estimation is of great importance in almost every branch of modern science, technology and engineering. A practical issue in the problem is that when the parameter space is large and the available…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-02-26 Yan Wang

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

Phylogenetic networks are directed acyclic graphs that depict the genomic evolution of related taxa. Reticulation nodes in such networks (nodes with more than one parent) represent reticulate evolutionary events, such as recombination,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-21 Alexey Markin , Sriram Vijendran , Oliver Eulenstein