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Least squares estimation of phylogenies is an established family of methods with good statistical properties. State-of-the-art least squares phylogenetic estimation proceeds by first estimating a distance matrix, which is then used to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-24 Peter B. Chi , Volodymyr M. Minin

We consider the branch-length estimation problem on a bifurcating tree: a character evolves along the edges of a binary tree according to a two-state symmetric Markov process, and we seek to recover the edge transition probabilities from…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-30 David Clancy , Hanbaek Lyu , Sebastien Roch

Reconstructing evolutionary trees from molecular sequence data is a fundamental problem in computational biology. Stochastic models of sequence evolution are closely related to spin systems that have been extensively studied in statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Sebastien Roch , Allan Sly

Phylogenetic networks can represent evolutionary events that cannot be described by phylogenetic trees. These networks are able to incorporate reticulate evolutionary events such as hybridization, introgression, and lateral gene transfer.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-08 Elizabeth Gross , Leo van Iersel , Remie Janssen , Mark Jones , Colby Long , Yukihiro Murakami

Identifiability of phylogenetic models is a necessary condition to ensure that the model parameters can be uniquely determined from data. Mixture models are phylogenetic models where the probability distributions in the model are convex…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-11 Bryson Kagy , Seth Sullivant

We present a mechanistic formalism for the study of evolutionary dynamics models based on the diffusion approximation described by the Kimura Equation. In this formalism, the central component is the fitness potential, from which we obtain…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-23 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Max O. Souza

Measuring the growth rate of large-scale structures (f) as a function of redshift has the potential to break degeneracies between modified gravity and dark energy models, when combined with expansion-rate probes. Direct estimates of…

A phylogenetic variety is an algebraic variety parameterized by a statistical model of the evolution of biological sequences along a tree. Understanding this variety is an important problem in the area of algebraic statistics with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-22 Luis David Garcia Puente , Marina Garrote-López , Elima Shehu

The ratio between two probability density functions is an important component of various tasks, including selection bias correction, novelty detection and classification. Recently, several estimators of this ratio have been proposed. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-30 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Chad M. Schafer

Given a model in algebraic statistics and some data, the likelihood function is a rational function on a projective variety. Algebraic algorithms are presented for computing all critical points of this function, with the aim of identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Serkan Hosten , Amit Khetan , Bernd Sturmfels

The validity of estimation and smoothing parameter selection for the wide class of generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) relies on the correct specification of a likelihood function. Deviations from such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 William H. Aeberhard , Eva Cantoni , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

Phylogenetic inference, the task of reconstructing how related sequences evolved from common ancestors, is a central objective in evolutionary genomics. The current state-of-the-art methods exploit probabilistic models of sequence evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-19 Luc Blassel , Noémie Sauvage , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix , Bastien Boussau , Nicolas Lartillot , Laurent Jacob

We describe here a framework for a certain class of multiscale likelihood factorizations wherein, in analogy to a wavelet decomposition of an L^2 function, a given likelihood function has an alternative representation as a product of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric D. Kolaczyk , Robert D. Nowak

Gene gain-loss-duplication models are commonly based on continuous-time birth-death processes. Employed in a phylogenetic context, such models have been increasingly popular in studies of gene content evolution across multiple genomes.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-27 Miklos Csuros

A calculational framework is proposed for phylogenetics, using nonlocal quantum field theories in hypercubic geometry. Quadratic terms in the Hamiltonian give the underlying Markov dynamics, while higher degree terms represent branching…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 P. D. Jarvis , J. D. Bashford

Modelling the substitution of nucleotides along a phylogenetic tree is usually done by a hidden Markov process. This allows to define a distribution of characters at the leaves of the trees and one might be able to obtain polynomial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-12 Marta Casanellas , Jesús Fernández-Sánchez , Marina Garrote-López

Dynamical models of cognition play an increasingly important role in driving theoretical and experimental research in psychology. Therefore, parameter estimation, model analysis and comparison of dynamical models are of essential…

We propose a novel method for the inference of phylogenetic trees that utilises point configurations on hyperbolic space as its optimisation landscape. Each taxon corresponds to a point of the point configuration, while the evolutionary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Benjamin Wilson

Consider an $s$-dimensional function being evaluated at $n$ points of a low discrepancy sequence (LDS), where the objective is to approximate the one-dimensional functions that result from integrating out $(s-1)$ variables. Here, the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Chaitanya Joshi , Paul T. Brown , Stephen Joe

In this work, we explore the theoretical properties of conditional deep generative models under the statistical framework of distribution regression where the response variable lies in a high-dimensional ambient space but concentrates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Shivam Kumar , Yun Yang , Lizhen Lin
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