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Related papers: Long-memory process and aggregation of AR(1) stoch…

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It is well-known that the aggregated time series might have very different properties from those of the individual series, in particular, long memory. At the present time, aggregation has become one of the main tools for modelling of long…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-17 Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Donata Puplinskaite , Donatas Surgailis

We study the aggregation/disaggregation problem of random parameter AR(1) processes and its relation to the long memory phenomenon. We give a characterization of a subclass of aggregated processes which can be obtained from simpler,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-20 Dmitrij Celov , Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe

We study the aggregation of AR processes and generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes. Mixture of spectral densities with random poles are the main tool. In this context, we apply our results for the aggregation of doubly stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-13 Didier Dacunha-Castelle , Lisandro J. Fermín

Identifying and quantifying memory are often critical steps in developing a mechanistic understanding of stochastic processes. These are particularly challenging and necessary when exploring processes that exhibit long-range correlations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-20 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

It is well-known that random-coefficient AR(1) process can have long memory depending on the index $\beta$ of the tail distribution function of the random coefficient, if it is a regularly varying function at unity. We discuss estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-23 Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Vytaute Pilipauskaite , Donatas Surgailis

We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of random-coefficient AR(1) process driven by i.i.d. innovations in the domain of normal attraction of an $\alpha$-stable distribution, $0< \alpha \le 2$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Viktor Skorniakov , Donatas Surgailis

The stochastic processes of finite length defined by recurrence relations request additional relations specifying the first terms of the process analogously to the initial conditions for the differential equations. As a general rule, in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-10-05 Calin Vamos , Stefan M. Soltuz , Maria Craciun

When considering the problem of forecasting a continuous-time stochastic process over an entire time-interval in terms of its recent past, the notion of Autoregressive Hilbert space processes (ARH) arises. This model can be seen as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-15 Jairo Cugliari

The ARCH process (R. F. Engle, 1982) constitutes a paradigmatic generator of stochastic time series with time-dependent variance like it appears on a wide broad of systems besides economics in which ARCH was born. Although the ARCH process…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of AR(1) process with random-coefficient $a \in [0,1)$ when $N$ and time scale $n$ increase at different rate. Assuming that $a$ has a density, regularly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-23 Vytaute Pilipauskaite , Donatas Surgailis

We propose a first-order autoregressive (i.e. AR(1)) model for dynamic network processes in which edges change over time while nodes remain unchanged. The model depicts the dynamic changes explicitly. It also facilitates simple and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Binyan Jiang , Jailing Li , Qiwei Yao

Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-27 Eric C. Hall , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

This note constitutes a corrigendum to the article of Azomahou, JSPI, 139:2581-2597. The aggregation of isotropic four nearest neighbors autoregressive models on the lattice, with random coefficient, is investigated. The spectral density of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Frédéric Lavancier

Many relevant statistical and econometric models for the analysis of longitudinal data include a latent process to account for the unobserved heterogeneity between subjects in a dynamic fashion. Such a process may be continuous (typically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-09 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Bacci , Fulvia Pennoni

Both Hawkes processes and autoregressive processes rely on linear functionals of their past, while modeling different types of data. Since datasets arising from observations of the same phenomenon may be heterogeneous and sampled at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Théo Leblanc

In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

In this article, we aim to further clarify certain subtle aspects of processes that exhibit long memory in the second-order sense. We construct a long-memory stochastic sequence, in the sense that the series of absolute autocovariances…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Valentin Vidril

We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of strictly stationary AR(1) and INteger-valued AutoRegressive processes of order 1 (INAR(1)) with random coefficient $\alpha \in (0, 1)$ and idiosyncratic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Fanni Nedényi , Gyula Pap

A family of continuous-time generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic processes, generalizing the $\operatorname {COGARCH}(1,1)$ process of Kl\"{u}ppelberg, Lindner and Maller [J. Appl. Probab. 41 (2004) 601--622], is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Brockwell , Erdenebaatar Chadraa , Alexander Lindner

Motivated by a variety of applications, high-dimensional time series have become an active topic of research. In particular, several methods and finite-sample theories for individual stable autoregressive processes with known lag have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-06 Somnath Chakraborty , Johannes Lederer , Rainer von Sachs
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