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Uncertainty may be taken to characterize inferences, their conclusions, their premises or all three. Under some treatments of uncertainty, the inferences itself is never characterized by uncertainty. We explore both the significance of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Henry E. Kyburg

We give a principled method for decomposing the predictive uncertainty of a model into aleatoric and epistemic components with explicit semantics relating them to the real-world data distribution. While many works in the literature have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Gustaf Ahdritz , Aravind Gollakota , Parikshit Gopalan , Charlotte Peale , Udi Wieder

If Nature allowed nonlocal correlations other than those predicted by quantum mechanics, would that contradict some physical principle? Various approaches have been put forward in the past two decades in an attempt to single out quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-04-19 Avishy Carmi , Eliahu Cohen

We examine a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures, where a plausibility measure just associates with an event its plausibility, an element is some partially ordered set. This approach is easily seen to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Nir Friedman , Joseph Y. Halpern

Information and uncertainty are closely related and extensively studied concepts in a number of scientific disciplines such as communication theory, probability theory, and statistics. Increasing the information arguably reduces the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-09 Jiahua Chen

An agent often has a number of hypotheses, and must choose among them based on observations, or outcomes of experiments. Each of these observations can be viewed as providing evidence for or against various hypotheses. All the attempts to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

Probability theory is far from being the most general mathematical theory of uncertainty. A number of arguments point at its inability to describe second-order ('Knightian') uncertainty. In response, a wide array of theories of uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-15 Fabio Cuzzolin

A universal formulation of uncertainty relations for quantum measurements is presented with additional focus on the representability of quantum observables by classical observables over a given state. Owing to the simplicity and operational…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-01 Jaeha Lee

Among the various forms of reasoning studied in the context of artificial intelligence, qualitative reasoning makes it possible to infer new knowledge in the context of imprecise, incomplete information without numerical values. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Quentin Cohen-Solal , Alexandre Niveau , Maroua Bouzid

The conditionality principle $C$ plays a key role in attempts to characterize the concept of statistical evidence. The standard version of $C$ considers a model and a derived conditional model, formed by conditioning on an ancillary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Michael Evans , Constantine Frangakis

The research on conditional planning rejects the assumptions that there is no uncertainty or incompleteness of knowledge with respect to the state and changes of the system the plans operate on. Without these assumptions the sequences of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-30 J. Rintanen

Specially customised Entropies are widely applied in measuring the degree of uncertainties existing in the frame of discernment. However, all of these entropies regard the frame as a whole that has already been determined which dose not…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Yuanpeng He

There are two reasons why uncertainty may not be adequately described by Probability Theory. The first one is due to unique or nearly-unique events, that either never realized or occurred too seldom for frequencies to be reliably measured.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Florian Ellsaesser , Guido Fioretti , Gail E. James

Inferring from inconsistency and making decisions are two problems which have always been treated separately by researchers in Artificial Intelligence. Consequently, different models have been proposed for each category. Different…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Leila Amgoud

Unsolved controversies about uncertainty relations and quantum measurements still persists nowadays. They originate around the shortcomings regarding the conventional interpretation of uncertainty relations. Here we show that the respective…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Dumitru

We analyze entropic uncertainty relations in a finite dimensional Hilbert space and derive several strong bounds for the sum of two entropies obtained in projective measurements with respect to any two orthogonal bases. We improve the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-30 Łukasz Rudnicki , Zbigniew Puchała , Karol Życzkowski

The uncertainty of measurement on a quantum system can be reduced in presence of quantum memory [M. Berta et. al. Nature Phys. {\bf 6}, 659 (2010)]. By measurement on quantum memory, some information (non-classical information) is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-04-23 T. Pramanik , S. Mal

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

This paper is a brief overview of the concepts involved in measuring the degree of contextuality and detecting contextuality in systems of binary measurements of a finite number of objects. We discuss and clarify the main concepts and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-01-21 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala , Victor H. Cervantes

The causal Markov condition (CMC) is a postulate that links observations to causality. It describes the conditional independences among the observations that are entailed by a causal hypothesis in terms of a directed acyclic graph. In the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-02-23 Bastian Steudel , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schoelkopf
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