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Uncertainty measures: The big picture

Statistics Theory 2021-04-15 v1 Artificial Intelligence Probability Statistics Theory

Abstract

Probability theory is far from being the most general mathematical theory of uncertainty. A number of arguments point at its inability to describe second-order ('Knightian') uncertainty. In response, a wide array of theories of uncertainty have been proposed, many of them generalisations of classical probability. As we show here, such frameworks can be organised into clusters sharing a common rationale, exhibit complex links, and are characterised by different levels of generality. Our goal is a critical appraisal of the current landscape in uncertainty theory.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2104.06839,
  title  = {Uncertainty measures: The big picture},
  author = {Fabio Cuzzolin},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2104.06839},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

18 pages, 1 table, 1 figure

R2 v1 2026-06-24T01:09:43.492Z