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In this paper, we are concerned with obtaining distribution-free concentration inequalities for mixture of independent Bernoulli variables that incorporate a notion of variance. Missing mass is the total probability mass associated to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-05 Bahman Yari Saeed Khanloo

The aim of this paper is to generalize the PAC-Bayesian theorems proved by Catoni in the classification setting to more general problems of statistical inference. We show how to control the deviations of the risk of randomized estimators. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-01-09 Pierre Alquier

PAC-Bayesian bounds are known to be tight and informative when studying the generalization ability of randomized classifiers. However, they require a loose and costly derandomization step when applied to some families of deterministic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-19 Paul Viallard , Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , Emilie Morvant

We prove Bernstein-type matrix concentration inequalities for linear combinations with matrix coefficients of binary random variables satisfying certain $\ell_\infty$-independence assumptions, complementing recent results by Kaufman, Kyng…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Radosław Adamczak , Ioannis Kavvadias

We study the self-normalized concentration of vector-valued stochastic processes. We focus on bounds for "sub-$\psi$" processes, a well-known and quite general class of process that encompasses a wide variety of well-known tail conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas

The topics dicussed in this paper take their origin inthe estimation of the Gram matrix of a random vector from a sample made of n independent copies. They comprise the estimation of the covariance matrix and the study of least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-17 Olivier Catoni

The posterior distribution of the number of components k in a finite mixture satisfies a set of inequality constraints. The result holds irrespective of the parametric form of the mixture components and under assumptions on the prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Agostino Nobile

Consider a discrete-time martingale, and let $V^2$ be its normalized quadratic variation. As $V^2$ approaches 1, and provided that some Lindeberg condition is satisfied, the distribution of the rescaled martingale approaches the Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-22 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

We derive PAC-Bayesian learning guarantees for heavy-tailed losses, and obtain a novel optimal Gibbs posterior which enjoys finite-sample excess risk bounds at logarithmic confidence. Our core technique itself makes use of PAC-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-19 Matthew J. Holland

PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds are derived via change-of-measure inequalities that transfer concentration properties from a reference measure to all posterior measures. The specific choice of change of measure determines the assumptions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Antoine Picard-Weibel , Benjamin Guedj

A central challenge in understanding generalization is to obtain non-vacuous guarantees that go beyond worst-case complexity over data or weight space. Among existing approaches, PAC-Bayes bounds stand out as they can provide tight,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Damien Rouchouse , Antoine Gonon , Rémi Gribonval , Benjamin Guedj

Bayesian diversity estimators are martingales converging almost surely and in mean with common limit and local behavior with plug in estimators.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Servet Martinez

Baez-Duarte (1971) and Gilat (1972) gave examples of martingales that converge in probability (and hence in distribution) but not almost surely. Here such a martingale is constructed with uniformly bounded increments, and a construction is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Jim Pitman

This paper generalizes an important result from the PAC-Bayesian literature for binary classification to the case of ensemble methods for structured outputs. We prove a generic version of the \Cbound, an upper bound over the risk of models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-16 François Laviolette , Emilie Morvant , Liva Ralaivola , Jean-Francis Roy

A general device is proposed, which provides for extension of exponential inequalities for sums of independent real-valued random variables to those for martingales in the 2-smooth Banach spaces. This is used to obtain optimum bounds of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Iosif Pinelis

We present a generalization bound for feedforward neural networks in terms of the product of the spectral norm of the layers and the Frobenius norm of the weights. The generalization bound is derived using a PAC-Bayes analysis.

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Behnam Neyshabur , Srinadh Bhojanapalli , Nathan Srebro

We obtain a Bernstein type Gaussian concentration inequality for martingales. Our inequality improves the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality for moderate deviations $x$. Following the work of McDiarmid (1989), Talagrand (1996) and Boucheron, Lugosi…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Xiequan Fan

We study the problem of aggregation under the squared loss in the model of regression with deterministic design. We obtain sharp PAC-Bayesian risk bounds for aggregates defined via exponential weights, under general assumptions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-25 Arnak Dalalyan , Alexandre Tsybakov

We introduce finite mixtures of Ising models as a novel approach to study multivariate patterns of associations of binary variables. Our proposed models combine the strengths of Ising models and multivariate Bernoulli mixture models. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-02 Zhen Miao , Yen-Chi Chen , Adrian Dobra

In many, if not most, machine learning applications the training data is naturally heterogeneous (e.g. federated learning, adversarial attacks and domain adaptation in neural net training). Data heterogeneity is identified as one of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-30 Harsh Vardhan , Avishek Ghosh , Arya Mazumdar
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