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Existing deterministic variational inference approaches for diffusion processes use simple proposals and target the marginal density of the posterior. We construct the variational process as a controlled version of the prior process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Matthias Grossglauser

The paper considers parabolic equations in non-divergent form with discontinuous coefficients at higher derivatives. Their investigation is most complicated because, in general, in the case of discontinuous coefficients, the uniqueness of a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2008-04-30 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

A Monte Carlo method for simulating a multi-dimensional diffusion process conditioned on hitting a fixed point at a fixed future time is developed. Proposals for such diffusion bridges are obtained by superimposing an additional guiding…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Moritz Schauer , Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten

We present in this paper a rigorous method to derive the nonlinear Fokker-Planck (FP) equation of anomalous diffusion directly from a generalization of the principle of least action of Maupertuis proposed by Wang for smooth or quasi-smooth…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Wei Li , Alexandre Wang , Alain Le Mehaute

The friction coefficient of a particle can depend on its position as it does when the particle is near a wall. We formulate the dynamics of particles with such state-dependent friction coefficients in terms of a general Langevin equation…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-13 A. W. C. Lau , T. C. Lubensky

We provide some on-off type criteria for recurrence and transience of regime-switching diffusion processes using the theory of M-matrix and the Perron-Frobenius theorem. State-independent and state-dependent regime-switching diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-09 Jinghai Shao

We develop exact Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for discretely-sampled, directly and indirectly observed diffusions. The qualification "exact" refers to the fact that the invariant and limiting distribution of the Markov chains is the…

Understanding the transport behavior of quantum many-body systems constitutes an important physical endeavor, both experimentally and theoretically. While a reliable classification into normal and anomalous dynamics is known to be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-11 Jiaozi Wang , Mats H. Lamann , Robin Steinigeweg , Jochen Gemmer

This paper presents a numerical method to implement the parameter estimation method using response statistics that was recently formulated by the authors. The proposed approach formulates the parameter estimation problem of It\^o drift…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-05 He Zhang , Xiantao Li , John Harlim

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

In practice, observations are often contaminated by noise, making the resulting sample covariance matrix to be an information-plus-noise-type covariance matrix. Aiming to make inferences about the spectra of the underlying true covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Ningning Xia , Xinghua Zheng

Imputation methods play a critical role in enhancing the quality of practical time-series data, which often suffer from pervasive missing values. Recently, diffusion-based generative imputation methods have demonstrated remarkable success…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Zeqi Ye , Minshuo Chen

Event-driven systems in fields such as neuroscience, social networks, and finance often exhibit dynamics influenced by continuously evolving external covariates. Motivated by these applications, we introduce a new class of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Maya Sadeler Perrin , Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Adeline Samson

We investigate robust parameter estimation and testing procedure for multivariate diffusion processes observed at high frequency via the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). Within a general diffusion framework and under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Sourojyoti Barick

The article considers parameter estimation constructing such as quasi-maximum likelyhood estimation and one step estimation in statistical models generated by solution of stochastic differential equation. It has been developed a software…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Dmytro Ivanenko , Rostyslav Pogorielov

We implement a well-established concept to consider dispersion effects within a Poisson-Boltzmann approach of continuum solvation of proteins. The theoretical framework is particularly suited for boundary element methods. Free parameters…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-11-28 Parimal Kar , Max Seel , Ulrich H. E. Hansmann , Siegfried Hoefinger

We propose a change detection method for the famous Cox--Ingersoll--Ross model. This model is widely used in financial mathematics and therefore detecting a change in its parameters is of crucial importance. We develop one- and two-sided…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-26 Gyula Pap , Tamás T. Szabó

The diffusion of a bulk absorbed gas species out of spherical pebbles is studied analytically, stressing the usefulness of the time integral of the diffusion coefficient for analysis of arbitrary temperature schedule experiments. Highly…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-13 Ricardo E. Avila