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The use of stochastic models, in effect piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP), has become increasingly popular especially for the modeling of chemical reactions and cell biophysics. Yet, exact simulation methods, for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Romain Veltz

There exist several methods for simulating biological and physical systems as represented by chemical reaction networks. Systems with low numbers of particles are frequently modelled as discrete-state Markov jump processes and are typically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-24 Joshua C. Kynaston , Christian A Yates , Anna Hekkink , Chris Guiver

In this paper, we explore the class of the Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM), a flexible extension of the popular Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that allows the underlying stochastic process to be a semi-Markov chain. HSMMs are typically used less…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-26 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

An intrinsic problem of classifiers based on machine learning (ML) methods is that their learning time grows as the size and complexity of the training dataset increases. For this reason, it is important to have efficient computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-16 Khadoudja Ghanem

We introduce an alternative formulation of the exact stochastic simulation algorithm (SSA) for sampling trajectories of the chemical master equation for a well-stirred system of coupled chemical reactions. Our formulation is based on…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Rajesh Ramaswamy , Nélido González-Segredo , Ivo F. Sbalzarini

This study considers using Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for stochastic simulation of chemical reactions. The proposed method uses SSA (Stochastic Simulation Algorithm) distribution which is a standard method for solving well-stirred…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2014-10-31 Azam S. Zavar Moosavi , Paul Tranquilli , Adrian Sandu

At the cellular scale, biochemical processes are governed by random interactions between reactant molecules with small copy counts, leading to behavior that is inherently stochastic. Such systems are often modeled as continuous-time Markov…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-09-02 Kevin R. Sanft , Hans G. Othmer

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are popular models to identify a finite number of latent states from sequential data. However, fitting them to large data sets can be computationally demanding because most likelihood maximization techniques…

We consider the problem of efficiently performing simulation and inference for stochastic kinetic models. Whilst it is possible to work directly with the resulting Markov jump process, computational cost can be prohibitive for networks of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-18 Chris Sherlock , Andrew Golightly , Colin Gillespie

A new algorithm, "HiER-leap", is derived which improves on the computational properties of the ER-leap algorithm for exact accelerated simulation of stochastic chemical kinetics. Unlike ER-leap, HiER-leap utilizes a hierarchical or…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-18 David Orendorff , Eric Mjolsness

In this paper, we are interested in the exact simulation of a class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMP). We show how to perform efficient thinning algorithms depending on the jump rate bound. For different types of jump rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

This work attempts to approximate a linear Gaussian system with a finite-state hidden Markov model (HMM), which is found useful in solving sophisticated event-based state estimation problems. An indirect modeling approach is developed,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-10 Kaikai Zheng , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

Bisimulation metrics are powerful tools for measuring similarities between stochastic processes, and specifically Markov chains. Recent advances have uncovered that bisimulation metrics are, in fact, optimal-transport distances, which has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Sergio Calo , Anders Jonsson , Gergely Neu , Ludovic Schwartz , Javier Segovia-Aguas

Tau leaping is a popular method for performing fast approximate simulation of certain continuous time Markov chain models typically found in chemistry and biochemistry. This method is known to perform well when the transition rates satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Ross McVinish , Liam Hodgkinson

We study the efficiency of algorithms simulating a system evolving with Hamiltonian $H=\sum_{j=1}^m H_j$. We consider high order splitting methods that play a key role in quantum Hamiltonian simulation. We obtain upper bounds on the number…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-10-12 Anargyros Papageorgiou , Chi Zhang

We introduce a new class of algorithms, Stochastic Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM), for estimation and inference on (overidentified) moment restriction models. Our SGMM is a novel stochastic approximation alternative to the popular…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-01 Xiaohong Chen , Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin , Myunghyun Song

Hidden semi-Markov models (HSMMs) are latent variable models which allow latent state persistence and can be viewed as a generalization of the popular hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this paper, we introduce a novel spectral algorithm to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

The lifted Heston model is a stochastic volatility model emerging as a Markovian lift of the rough Heston model and the class of rough volatility processes. The model encodes the path dependency of volatility on a set of N square-root state…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Nicola F. Zaugg , Lech A. Grzelak

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

How heterogeneous multiscale methods (HMM) handle fluctuations acting on the slow variables in fast-slow systems is investigated. In particular, it is shown via analysis of central limit theorems (CLT) and large deviation principles (LDP)…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-12 David Kelly , Eric Vanden-Eijnden
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