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Predicting species distributions using occupancy models accounting for imperfect detection is now commonplace in ecology. Recently, modelling spatial and temporal autocorrelation was proposed to alleviate the lack of replication in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-10 André Luís Luza , Didier Alard , Frédéric Barraquand

Recently we have introduced a simplified model of ecosystem assembly (Capitan et al., 2009) for which we are able to map out all assembly pathways generated by external invasions in an exact manner. In this paper we provide a deeper…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-18 Jose A. Capitan , Jose A. Cuesta

Pathogen genome data offers valuable structure for spatial models, but its utility is limited by incomplete sequencing coverage. We propose a probabilistic framework for inferring genetic distances between unsequenced cases and known…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-10 Haley Stone , Jing Du , Hao Xue , Matthew Scotch , David Heslop , Andreas Züfle , Chandini Raina MacIntyre , Flora Salim

We introduce a generalized version of the frog model to describe the invasion of a parasite population in a spatially structured immobile host population with host immunity on the integer line. Parasites move according to simple symmetric…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Sascha Franck , Cornelia Pokalyuk

This paper is concerned with a nonlocal diffusion Lotka-Volterra type competition model that consisting of a native species and an invasive species in a one-dimensional habitat with free boundaries. We prove the well-posedness of the system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Jia-Feng Cao , Wan-Tong Li , Jie Wang

Models of the spatial distribution of animals provide useful tools to help ecologists quantify species-environment relationships, and they are increasingly being used to help determine the impacts of climate and habitat changes on species.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-04 Joe Watson , Ruth Joy , Dominic Tollit , Sheila J Thornton , Marie Auger-Méthé

Stochastic process models for spatiotemporal data underlying random fields find substantial utility in a range of scientific disciplines. Subsequent to predictive inference on the values of the random field (or spatial surface indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Aritra Halder , Didong Li , Sudipto Banerjee

Distance sampling is a widely used method for estimating wildlife population abundance. The fact that conventional distance sampling methods are partly design-based constrains the spatial resolution at which animal density can be estimated…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-23 Y. Yuan , F. E. Bachl , F. Lindgren , D. L. Brochers , J. B. Illian , S. T. Buckland , H. Rue , T. Gerrodette

This article introduces a computational method, called "Recapture of Diffusive Agents & Particle Swarm Optimization" (RDA-PSO), designed to estimate the dispersal parameter of diffusive insects in mark-release-recapture (MRR) field…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Lidia Mrad , Joceline Lega

When an infection spreads in a community, an individual's probability of becoming infected depends on both her susceptibility and exposure to the contagion through contact with others. While one often has knowledge regarding an individual's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Maggie Makar , John Guttag , Jenna Wiens

In this paper, we study the propagation dynamics for a class of integrodifference competition models in a periodic habitat. An interesting feature of such a system is that multiple spreading speeds can be observed, which biologically means…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Ruiwen Wu , Xiao-Qiang Zhao

As impacts of introduced species cascade through trophic levels, they can cause indirect and counter-intuitive effects. To investigate the impact of invasive species at the network scale, we use a generalized food web model, capable of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-23 Anna Doizy , Edmund Barter , Jane Memmott , Karen Varnham , Thilo Gross

We derive rigorous estimates on the speed of invasion of an advantageous trait in a spatially advancing population in the context of a system of one-dimensional F-KPP equations. The model was introduced and studied heuristically and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-25 Anton Bovier , Lisa Hartung

In this work, we consider the spatial-temporal multi-species competition model. A mathematical model is described by a coupled system of nonlinear diffusion-reaction equations. We use a finite volume approximation with semi-implicit time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Maria Vasilyeva , Youwen Wang , Sergei Stepanov , Alexey Sadovski

Populations experience a complex interplay of continuous and discrete processes: continuous growth and interactions are punctuated by discrete reproduction events, dispersal, and external disturbances. These dynamics can be modeled by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Sebastian J. Schreiber

Our recent experience with the COVID-19 pandemic amply shows that spatial effects like the mobility of agents and average interpersonal distance, together with the adaptation of agents, are very important in deciding the outcome of epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-13 Akhil Panicker , V Sasidevan

Rare long distance dispersal events are thought to have a disproportionate impact on the spread of invasive species. Modelling using integrodifference equations suggests that, when long distance contacts are represented by a fat-tailed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-01 Guy S. Jacobs , Tim J. Sluckin

We propose two modeling approaches to describe the dynamics of ant battles, starting from laboratory experiments on the behavior of two ant species, the invasive Lasius neglectus and the authocthonus Lasius paralienus. This work is mainly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-23 Gianluca Martelloni , Alisa Santarlasci , Franco Bagnoli , Giacomo Santini

Many ant species employ distributed population density estimation in applications ranging from quorum sensing [Pra05], to task allocation [Gor99], to appraisal of enemy colony strength [Ada90]. It has been shown that ants estimate density…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Cameron Musco , Hsin-Hao Su , Nancy Lynch

We study the spreading of families in two-dimensional multispecies predator-prey systems, in which species cyclically dominate each other. In each time step randomly chosen individuals invade one of the nearest sites of the square lattice…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Maria Ravasz , Gyorgy Szabo , Attila Szolnoki