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This paper aims to improve existing results about using averaging method for analysis of dynamic systems on time scales. We obtain a more accurate estimate for proximity between solutions of original and averaged systems regarding…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-07 Aleksey Ogulenko

This paper reports on the application to field measurements of time series methods developed on the basis of the theory of deterministic chaos. The major difficulties are pointed out that arise when the data cannot be assumed to be purely…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Thomas Schreiber

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

This paper examines the problem of testing whether a discrete time-series vector contains a periodic signal or is merely noise. To do this we examine the stochastic behaviour of the maximum intensity of the observed time-series vector and…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-14 Ben O'Neill

The identification of complex periodic windows in the two-dimensional parameter space of certain dynamical systems has recently attracted considerable interest. While for discrete systems, a discrimination between periodic and chaotic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-03-03 Yong Zou , Reik V. Donner , Jonathan F. Donges , Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

Time series are difficult to monitor, summarize and predict. Segmentation organizes time series into few intervals having uniform characteristics (flatness, linearity, modality, monotonicity and so on). For scalability, we require fast…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniel Lemire

A method is proposed to generate an optimal fit of a number of connected linear trend segments onto time-series data. To be able to efficiently handle many lines, the method employs a stochastic search procedure to determine optimal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-11 Myrl G. Marmarelis

A class of methods for measuring time delays between astronomical time series is introduced in the context of quasar reverberation mapping, which is based on measures of randomness or complexity of the data. Several distinct statistical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-16 Doron Chelouche , Francisco Pozo Nuñez , Shay Zucker

We give conditions to prove the existence of an Extremal Index for general stationary stochastic processes by detecting the presence of one or more underlying periodic phenomena. This theory, besides giving general useful tools to identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

Describing a time series parsimoniously is the first step to study the underlying dynamics. For a time-discrete system, a generating partition provides a compact description such that a time series and a symbolic sequence are one-to-one.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-09 Yoshito Hirata , Thomas Stemler , Deniz Eroglu , Norbert Marwan

Periodicity detection is an important task in time series analysis, but still a challenging problem due to the diverse characteristics of time series data like abrupt trend change, outlier, noise, and especially block missing data. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Qingsong Wen , Linxiao Yang , Liang Sun

The paper introduces a new numerical characteristic of one dimensional stochastic systems. This quantity is a measure of minimal periodicity, can be detected in the process deep differential structure. The claim is that this new measure of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-07 A. Yu. Shahverdian , A. V. Apkarian

We introduce circulance, a scalar measure for classifying time series of dynamical systems. Circulance captures the extent of temporal regularity or irregularity that is encoded in the topology of a directed ordinal pattern transition…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-05 Max Potratzki , Manuel Adams , Timo Bröhl , Klaus Lehnertz

In many dynamical systems there is a large separation of time scales between typical events and "rare" events which can be the cases of interest. Rare-event rates are quite difficult to compute numerically, but they are of considerable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 David A. Adams , Leonard M. Sander , Robert M. Ziff

Causal phenomena associated with rare events occur across a wide range of engineering problems, such as risk-sensitive safety analysis, accident analysis and prevention, and extreme value theory. However, current methods for causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-19 Chih-Yuan Chiu , Kshitij Kulkarni , Shankar Sastry

Scaling analysis exploiting timescale separation has been one of the most important techniques in the quantitative analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems in mathematical and theoretical biology. In the case of enzyme catalyzed reactions,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-21 Justin Eilertsen , Wylie Stroberg , Santiago Schnell

The concept of nonlinear modes is useful for the dynamical characterization of nonlinear mechanical systems. While efficient and broadly applicable methods are now available for the computation of nonlinear modes, nonlinear modal testing is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-18 Maren Scheel , Simon Peter , Remco I. Leine , Malte Krack

Given independent random variables $Y_1, \ldots, Y_n$ with $Y_i \in \{0,1\}$ we test the hypothesis whether the underlying success probabilities $p_i$ are constant or whether they are periodic with an unspecified period length of $r \ge 2$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Finn Schmidtke , Mathias Vetter

This work is devoted to a comprehensive analysis of topological data analysis fortime series classification. Previous works have significant shortcomings, such aslack of large-scale benchmarking or missing state-of-the-art methods. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Polina Pilyugina , Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Eugeny Burnaev

While anomaly detection in time series has been an active area of research for several years, most recent approaches employ an inadequate evaluation criterion leading to an inflated F1 score. We show that a rudimentary Random Guess method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Keval Doshi , Shatha Abudalou , Yasin Yilmaz