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Related papers: A highly specific test for periodicity

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Several techniques for multivariate time series anomaly detection have been proposed recently, but a systematic comparison on a common set of datasets and metrics is lacking. This paper presents a systematic and comprehensive evaluation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Astha Garg , Wenyu Zhang , Jules Samaran , Savitha Ramasamy , Chuan-Sheng Foo

This paper is concerned with the study of the stability of dynamical systems evolving on time scales. We first {formalize the notion of matrix measures on time scales, prove some of their key properties and make use of this notion to study…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-10 Giovanni Russo , Fabian Wirth

An empirical algorithm is used here to study the stochastic and multifractal nature of nonlinear time series. A parameter can be defined to quantitatively measure the deviation of the time series from a Wiener process so that the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-08 Chih-Hao Lin , Chia-Seng Chang , Sai-Ping Li

Many multi-variate time series obtained in the natural sciences and engineering possess a repetitive behavior, as for instance state-space trajectories of industrial machines in discrete automation. Recovering the times of recurrence from…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Simon Schindler , Elias Steffen Reich , Saverio Messineo , Simon Hoher , Stefan Huber

We consider the problem of sequentially testing for changes in the mean parameter of a time series, compared to a benchmark period. Most tests in the literature focus on the null hypothesis of a constant mean versus the alternative of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Patrick Bastian , Tim Kutta , Rupsa Basu , Holger Dette

Comparing paleoclimate time series is complicated by a variety of typical features, including irregular sampling, age model uncertainty (e.g., errors due to interpolation between radiocarbon sampling points) and time uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-29 Jasper G. Franke , Reik V. Donner

We introduce a simple method to estimate the system parameters in continuous dynamical systems from the time series. In this method, we construct a modified system by introducing some constants (controlling constants) into the given…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

Time irreversibility, defined as the lack of invariance of the statistical properties of a system or time series under the operation of time reversal, has received an increasing attention during the last decades, thanks to the information…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-03 Massimiliano Zanin

An approach is presented for making predictions about functional time series. The method is applied to data coming from periodically correlated processes and electricity demand, obtaining accurate point forecasts and narrow prediction bands…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez

A highly comparative, feature-based approach to time series classification is introduced that uses an extensive database of algorithms to extract thousands of interpretable features from time series. These features are derived from across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Ben D. Fulcher , Nick S. Jones

This short note suggests a heuristic method for detecting the dependence of random time series that can be used in the case when this dependence is relatively weak and such that the traditional methods are not effective. The method requires…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-03 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We show that the probability distribution function that best fits the distribution of return times between two consecutive visits of a chaotic trajectory to finite size regions in phase space deviates from the exponential statistics by a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Murilo S. Baptista , Dariel M. Maranhao , Jose C. Sartorelli

We present a new method to discriminate periodic from non-periodic irregularly sampled lightcurves. We introduce a periodic kernel and maximize a similarity measure derived from information theory to estimate the periods and a discriminator…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-24 Pavlos Protopapas , Pablo Huijse , Pablo A. Estevez , Pablo Zegers , Jose C. Principe

Classical anomaly detection is principally concerned with point-based anomalies, those anomalies that occur at a single point in time. Yet, many real-world anomalies are range-based, meaning they occur over a period of time. Motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-04 Nesime Tatbul , Tae Jun Lee , Stan Zdonik , Mejbah Alam , Justin Gottschlich

In this paper, we first propose a single-species system with impulsive effects on time scales and by establishing some new comparison theorems of impulsive dynamic equations on time scales, we obtain sufficient conditions to guarantee the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-11-17 Yongkun Li , Pan Wang , Bing Li

A general input-output modelling technique for aperiodic-sampling linear systems has been developed. The procedure describes the dynamics of the system and includes the sequence of sampling periods among the variables to be handled. Some…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-08-14 Amparo Fúster-Sabater , J. M. Guillén

We use Kuiper's test to detect periodicities in X-ray and gamma-ray observations. Like Rayleigh's test, it uses the individual photon arrival times, and is therefore well suited to the analysis of faint sources. Our method makes it possible…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 S. Paltani

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Most of the time series in nature are a mixture of signals with deterministic and random dynamics. Thus the distinction between these two characteristics becomes important. Distinguishing between chaotic and aleatory signals is difficult…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-09-13 D. M. Mateos , L. Riveaud , P. W. Lamberti

We present a notion of almost periodicity wich can be applied to random dynamical systems as well as almost periodic stochastic differential equations in Hilbert spaces (abstract stochastic partial differential equations). This concept…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Paul Raynaud de Fitte