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The phylogenetic effective sample size is a parameter that has as its goal the quantification of the amount of independent signal in a phylogenetically correlated sample. It was studied for Brownian motion and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-19 Krzysztof Bartoszek

How the neutral diversity is affected by selection and adaptation is investigated in an eco-evolutionary framework. In our model, we study a finite population in continuous time, where each individual is characterized by a trait under…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Sylvain Billiard , Regis Ferriere , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

A variety of genome transformations can occur as a microbial population adapts to a large environmental change. In particular, genomic surveys indicate that, following the transition to an obligate, host-dependent symbiont, the density of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Nicholas Chia , Nigel Goldenfeld

The time evolution of a bounded quantum system is considered in the framework of the orthogonal, unitary and symplectic circular ensembles of random matrix theory. For an $N$ dimensional Hilbert space we prove that in the large $N$ limit…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 P. Leboeuf , G. Iacomelli

We study a general setting of neutral evolution in which the population is of finite, constant size and can have spatial structure. Mutation leads to different genetic types ("traits"), which can be discrete or continuous. Under minimal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-02 Alex McAvoy , Ben Adlam , Benjamin Allen , Martin A. Nowak

We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

A simple model of language evolution, proposed in \cite{K_N}, is characterized by a pay-off in communicative function, and by an error in learning, that measures the accuracy in language acquisition. In the mean field approximation, this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-12-28 J M Tavares , M M Telo da Gama , A Nunes

We consider the hypothesis that Evolution promotes population-wide genome patterns that, under randomization, ensures the External Validity of adaptations across population members. An adaptation is Externally Valid (EV) if its effect holds…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-17 Andre F. Ribeiro

Population dynamics of a competitive two-species system under the influence of random events are analyzed and expressions for the steady-state population mean, fluctuations, and cross-correlation of the two species are presented. It is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-19 M. M. Tehrani , S. Soltanieh

We derive an expression for the variation between parallel trajectories in phenotypic evolution, extending the well known result that predicts the mean evolutionary path in adaptive dynamics or quantitative genetics. We show how this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-27 Carl Boettiger , Jonathan Dushoff , Joshua S. Weitz

The dynamics of adaptation is difficult to predict because it is highly stochastic even in large populations. The uncertainty emerges from number fluctuations, called genetic drift, arising in the small number of particularly fit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Oskar Hallatschek , Lukas Geyrhofer

Cells generally change their internal state to adapt to an environmental change, and accordingly evolve in response to the new conditions. This process involves phenotypic changes that occur over several different time scales, ranging from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-03 Chikara Furusawa , Kunihiko Kaneko

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

The concept of fitness is central to evolution, but it quantifies only the expected number of offspring an individual will produce. The actual number of offspring is also subject to noise, arising from environmental or demographic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Guocheng Wang , Qi Su , Long Wang , Joshua B. Plotkin

In classical statistics, the bias-variance trade-off describes how varying a model's complexity (e.g., number of fit parameters) affects its ability to make accurate predictions. According to this trade-off, optimal performance is achieved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-05 Jason W. Rocks , Pankaj Mehta

Genomic evolution can be viewed as string-editing processes driven by mutations. An understanding of the statistical properties resulting from these mutation processes is of value in a variety of tasks related to biological sequence data,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Hao Lou , Farzad Farnoud , Moshe Schwartz , Jehoshua Bruck

We pursue the task of developing a finite population counterpart to Eigen's model. We consider the classical Wright-Fisher model describing the evolution of a population of size $m$ of chromosomes of length $\ell$ over an alphabet of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Raphaël Cerf

Phase transitions generically occur in random matrix models as the parameters in the joint probability distribution of the random variables are varied. They affect all main features of the theory and the interpretation of statistical models…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. M. Cicuta

The problem of estimation error in portfolio optimization is discussed, in the limit where the portfolio size N and the sample size T go to infinity such that their ratio is fixed. The estimation error strongly depends on the ratio N/T and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits

This paper studies the threshold estimation of a TAR model when the underlying threshold parameter is a random variable. It is shown that the Bayesian estimator is consistent and its limit distribution is expressed in terms of a limit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-22 Ngai Hang Chan , Yury A. Kutoyants
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