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Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

This paper characterizes the equilibrium in a continuous time financial market populated by heterogeneous agents who differ in their rate of relative risk aversion and face convex portfolio constraints. The model is studied in an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Tyler Abbot

We propose a new measure of systemic risk to analyze the impact of the major financial market turmoils in the stock markets from 2000 to 2023 in the USA, Europe, Brazil, and Japan. Our Implied Volatility Realized Volatility Systemic Risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-13 Paweł Sakowski , Rafał Sieradzki , Robert Ślepaczuk

We investigate quantitatively the so-called leverage effect, which corresponds to a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility. For individual stocks, this correlation is moderate and decays exponentially over 50 days,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Andrew Matacz , Marc Potters

We investigate the stability of the Epstein-Zin problem with respect to small distortions in the dynamics of the traded securities. We work in incomplete market model settings, where our parametrization of perturbations allows for joint…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Michael Monoyios , Oleksii Mostovyi

Strategies aimed at reducing the negative effects of long-term uncertainty and risk are common in biology, game theory, and finance, even if they entail a cost in terms of mean benefit. Here, we focus on the single mutant's invasion of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-25 Rubén Calvo Ibáñez , Miguel Ángel Muñoz , Tobias Galla

We present an adaptive approach for valuing the European call option on assets with stochastic volatility. The essential feature of the method is a reduction of uncertainty in latent volatility due to a Bayesian learning procedure. Starting…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

This paper empirically analyses risk in the Euro relative to other currencies. Comparisons are made between a sub period encompassing the final transitional stage to full monetary union with a sub period prior to this. Stability in the face…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-29 John Cotter

The prevention of rapidly and steeply falling market prices is vital to avoid financial crisis. To this end, some stock exchanges implement a price limit or a circuit breaker, and there has been intensive investigation into which regulation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-20 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi

We study the relation between the trading behavior of agents and volatility in toy markets of adaptive inductively rational agents. We show that excess volatility, in such simplified markets, arises as a consequence of {\em i)} the neglect…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Marsili , D. Challet

Different models to study the wealth distribution in an artificial society have considered a transactional dynamics as the driving force. Those models include a risk aversion factor, but also a finite probability of favoring the poorer…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 M. A. Fuentes , M. N. Kuperman , J. R. Iglesias

We develop a new stock market index that captures the chaos existing in the market by measuring the mutual changes of asset prices. This new index relies on a tensor-based embedding of the stock market information, which in turn frees it…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-09 Masoud Ataei , Shengyuan Chen , Zijiang Yang , M. Reza Peyghami

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

This paper investigates the structural dynamics of stock market volatility through the Financial Chaos Index, a tensor- and eigenvalue-based measure designed to capture realized volatility via mutual fluctuations among asset prices.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-29 Masoud Ataei

We use Fourier analysis to access risk in financial products. With it we analyze price changes of e.g. stocks. Via Fourier analysis we scrutinize quantitatively whether the frequency of change is higher than a change in (conserved) company…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-21 Michael Grabinski , Galiya Klinkova

Realization of uncertainty of prices is captured by volatility, that is the tendency of prices to vary along a period of time. This is generally measured as standard deviation of daily returns. In this paper we propose and investigate the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-04 Luigi Troiano , Elena Mejuto Villa , Pravesh Kriplani

Maximum likelihood estimation applied to high-frequency data allows us to quantify intermittency in the fluctu- ations of asset prices. From time records as short as one month these methods permit extraction of a meaningful intermittency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Martin Rypdal , Espen Sirnes , Ola Løvsletten , Kristoffer Rypdal

We introduce a simple stochastic volatility model, whose novelty consists in taking into account hitting times of the asset price, and study the optimal stopping problem corresponding to a put option whose time horizon (after the asset…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-29 Sigurd Assing , Yufan Zhao

Employee stock options (ESOs) are American-style call options that can be terminated early due to employment shock. This paper studies an ESO valuation framework that accounts for job termination risk and jumps in the company stock price.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-01 Tim Leung , Haohua Wan

This paper focuses on a dynamic multi-asset mean-variance portfolio selection problem under model uncertainty. We develop a continuous time framework for taking into account ambiguity aversion about both expected return rates and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Huyen Pham , Xiaoli Wei , Chao Zhou