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Information diffusion, spreading of infectious diseases, and spreading of rumors are fundamental processes occurring in real-life networks. In many practical cases, one can observe when nodes become infected, but the underlying network,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Alexey Tikhonov , Nelly Litvak

The ability to understand and eventually predict the emergence of information and activation cascades in social networks is core to complex socio-technical systems research. However, the complexity of social interactions makes this a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Pablo Piedrahíta , Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Yamir Moreno , Alex Arenas

Message-passing methods provide a powerful approach for calculating the expected size of cascades either on random networks (e.g., drawn from a configuration-model ensemble or its generalizations) asymptotically as the number $N$ of nodes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-31 James P. Gleeson , Mason A. Porter

Accessing the network through which a propagation dynamics diffuse is essential for understanding and controlling it. In a few cases, such information is available through direct experiments or thanks to the very nature of propagation data.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-15 Alfredo Braunstein , Alessandro Ingrosso , Anna Paola Muntoni

We consider the problem of estimating the latent structure of a social network based on the observed information diffusion events, or cascades, where the observations for a given cascade consist of only the timestamps of infection for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-27 Ming Yu , Varun Gupta , Mladen Kolar

We characterize the distributions of size and duration of avalanches propagating in complex networks. By an avalanche we mean the sequence of events initiated by the externally stimulated `excitation' of a network node, which may, with some…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-10-22 Daniel B. Larremore , Marshall Y. Carpenter , Edward Ott , Juan G. Restrepo

A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-20 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

Diffusion reach probability between two nodes on a network is defined as the probability of a cascade originating from one node reaching to another node. An infinite number of cascades would enable calculation of true diffusion reach…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Furkan Gursoy , Ahmet Onur Durahim

We study the coevolutionary dynamics of network topology and social complex contagion using a threshold cascade model. Our coevolving threshold model incorporates two mechanisms: the threshold mechanism for the spreading of a minority state…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-16 Byungjoon Min , Maxi San Miguel

In social networks, the collective behavior of large populations can be shaped by a small set of influencers through a cascading process induced by "peer pressure". For large-scale networks, efficient identification of multiple influential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-16 Sen Pei , Xian Teng , Jeffrey Shaman , Flaviano Morone , Hernán A. Makse

Information spreads across social and technological networks, but often the network structures are hidden from us and we only observe the traces left by the diffusion processes, called cascades. Can we recover the hidden network structures…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-14 Hadi Daneshmand , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez , Le Song , Bernhard Schoelkopf

It is common in the study of networks to investigate meso-scale features to try to gain an understanding of network structure and function. For example, numerous algorithms have been developed to try to identify "communities," which are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Lucas G. S. Jeub , Prakash Balachandran , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha , Michael W. Mahoney

Complex contagion models have been developed to understand a wide range of social phenomena such as adoption of cultural fads, the diffusion of belief, norms, and innovations in social networks, and the rise of collective action to join a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-04 Yong Zhuang , Osman Yağan

The rapid development of social networks has a wide range of social effects, which facilitates the study of social issues. Accurately forecasting the information propagation process within social networks is crucial for promptly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Xinyu Li , Yutong Guo , Jixuan He , Jiacheng Zhao , Chenwei Wang

Threshold cascade models have been used to describe spread of behavior in social networks and cascades of default in financial networks. In some cases, these networks may have multiple kinds of interactions, such as distinct types of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-05 Kyu-Min Lee , Charles D. Brummitt , K. -I. Goh

Disentangling the mechanisms underlying the social network evolution is one of social science's unsolved puzzles. Preferential attachment is a powerful mechanism explaining social network dynamics, yet not able to explain all scaling-laws…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-09-19 Yang Yang , Yuxiao Dong , Nitesh V. Chawla

Threshold rules of spreading in binary-state networks lead to cascades. We study persistent cascade-recovery dynamics on quasi-robust networks, i.e., networks which are robust against small trigger but may collapse for larger one. It is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-22 Nanxin Wei , Bo Fan

Predicting the flow of information in dynamic social environments is relevant to many areas of the contemporary society, from disseminating health care messages to meme tracking. While predicting the growth of information cascades has been…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Sameera Horawalavithana , John Skvoretz , Adriana Iamnitchi

In an adaptive population which models financial markets and distributed control, we consider how the dynamics depends on the diversity of the agents' initial preferences of strategies. When the diversity decreases, more agents tend to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 H. M. Yang , Y. S. Ting , K. Y. Michael Wong

The spreading dynamics in social networks are often studied under the assumption that individuals' statuses, whether informed or infected, are fully observable. However, in many real-world situations, such statuses remain unobservable,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Derrick Gilchrist Edward Manoharan , Anubha Goel , Alexandros Iosifidis , Henri Hansen , Juho Kanniainen