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The forecast of Indian monsoon droughts has been predicated on the notion of a season-long rainfall deficit linked to warm anomalies in the equatorial Pacific. Here, we show that in fact nearly half of all droughts over the past century…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-11-25 Pritam Borah , V. Venugopal , Jai Sukhatme , Pranesh Muddebihal , B. N. Goswami

Changes in the atmospheric composition alter the magnitude and partitioning between the downward propagating solar and atmospheric longwave radiative fluxes heating the Earth's surface. These changes are computed by radiative transfer codes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-30 Chirag Dhara

This paper explores a possible linkage between solar motion about the solar system center of mass and the quasi-periodicity evident in the pressure and temperature of planet atmospheres. We establish that dominant mid frequency range…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-25 Ian R. Edmonds

It is shown that global climate exhibits chaotic response to solar forcing variability in a vast range of timescales: from annual to multi-millennium. Unlike linear systems, where periodic forcing leads to periodic response, nonlinear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-01-05 A. Bershadskii

The study of Planktonic Foraminifera abundances permits to obtain climatic curves on the basis of percentage ratio between tropical and temperate/polar forms. Climatic changes were controlled by several phenomena as: (i) Milankovitch's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 A. Caruso , M. E. Gargano , D. Valenti , A. Fiasconaro , B. Spagnolo

1) The annual cycle of atmospheric methane in southern high latitudes is extremely highly correlated with Antarctic sea ice extent. 2) The annual cycle of atmospheric methane in the Arctic is highly correlated with Antarctic or Arctic plus…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-03 Clive Hambler , Peter A. Henderson

Detecting recurrent weather patterns and understanding the transitions between such regimes are key to advancing our knowledge on the low-frequency variability of the atmosphere and have important implications in terms of weather and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Sebastian Springer , Vera Melinda Galfi , Alessandro Laio , Valerio Lucarini

AIM: To study the variation of the angular momentum and the rotational kinetic energy of the Sun, and associated variations in the gravitational multipole moments, on a timescale of the solar cycle. METHOD: Inverting helioseismic rotational…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 H. M. Antia , S. M. Chitre , D. O. Gough

We use reanalysis data to investigate the daily co-variability of wind and solar irradiance in Britain, and its implications for renewable energy supply balancing. The joint distribution of daily-mean wind speeds and irradiances shows that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-10-20 Philip E. Bett , Hazel E. Thornton

The Arctic sea ice represents an important energy reservoir for the climate of the northern hemisphere. The shrinking of the polar ice in the past decades decreases the stored energy and raises serious concerns about future climate…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-12-09 A. Laubereau , H. Iglev

The energy balance for an atmospheric layer near the soil is evaluated. By integrating it over the whole day period a linear relationship between the global daily solar radiation incident on a horizontal surface and the product of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-01-31 Antonio Dumas , Andrea Andrisani , Maurizio Bonnici , Mauro Madonia , Michele Trancossi

A theory is described based on resonant thermal diffusion waves in the sun that appears to explain many details of the paleotemperature record for the last 5.3 million years. These include the observed periodicities, the relative strengths…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-05-19 Robert Ehrlich

It is shown that, the wavelet regression detrended fluctuations of the reconstructed temperature for the past 400,000 years (Antarctic ice cores data) are completely dominated by one-third subharmonic resonance, presumably related to Earth…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-06-24 A. Bershadskii

Tropical cyclones are affected by a large number of climatic factors, which translates into complex patterns of occurrence. The variability of annual metrics of tropical-cyclone activity has been intensively studied, in particular since the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Alvaro Corral , Antonio Turiel

In recent years, numerical weather prediction models have begun to show notable levels of skill at predicting the average winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) when initialised one month ahead. At the same time, these model predictions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Kristian Strommen

Tropical cyclones (TCs), driven by heat exchange between the air and sea, pose a substantial risk to many communities around the world. Accurate characterization of the subsurface ocean thermal response to TC passage is crucial for accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-18 Addison J. Hu , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee , Donata Giglio , Kimberly M. Wood

A long-term variation is detected in the north-south differences of the solar activity, the phase difference of hemispheric cycles alternates by four Schwabe cycles. This variability is demonstrated by two different methods. It can be the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-01-10 J. Muraközy , A. Ludmány

Existing methods for diagnosing predictability in climate indices often make a number of unjustified assumptions about the climate system that can lead to misleading conclusions. We present a flexible family of state-space models capable of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-10 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Daniel B. Williamson

This paper reveals a large and all-season ozone hole in the lower stratosphere over the tropics (30degN-30degS) since the 1980s, where an O3 hole is defined as an area of O3 loss larger than 25% compared with the undisturbed atmosphere. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-19 Qing-Bin Lu

Using Greenwich and SOON sunspot group data during the period 1874 -- 2005, we find that the sums of the areas of the sunspot groups in $0^\circ$ -- $10^\circ$ latitude-interval of the Sun's northern hemisphere and in the time-interval,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 J. Javaraiah
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