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This paper describes some of the astronomical effects that could be important for understanding the ice ages, historic climate changes and the recent temperature increase. These include changes in the sun's luminosity, periodic changes in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-02-03 Donald C. Morton

The solar cycle and its associated magnetic activity are the main drivers behind changes in the interplanetary environment and Earth's upper atmosphere (commonly referred to as space weather and climate). In recent years there has been an…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-10-08 Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Laura A. Balmaceda , Edward E. DeLuca

This study assesses the ability of six European seasonal forecast models to simulate the observed teleconnection between ENSO and tropical cyclones (TCs) over the North Atlantic. While the models generally capture the basin-wide observed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-23 Robert Doane-Solomon , Daniel Befort , Joanne Camp , Kevin Hodges , Antje Weisheimer

The influence of solar variability on climate is currently uncertain. Recent observations have indicated a possible mechanism via the influence of solar modulated cosmic rays on global cloud cover. Surprisingly the influence of solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-09-06 Nigel D Marsh , Henrik Svensmark

The North-South asymmetry of solar activity has been recognized for different solar phenomena. Following Waldmeier, it is now assumed that solar activity dominates in the Northern solar hemisphere during the ascending part of the secular…

Space Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 K. Georgieva , B. Kirov

We investigate the response of space weather events on Earth's upper atmosphere over the polar regions by studying their effect on the drag of the CHAMP and GRACE satellites. Increasing solar activity that results in heating and the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-24 M. Scherf , S. Krauss , G. Tsurikov , A. Strasser , V. Shematovich , D. Bisikalo , H. Lammer , M. Güdel , C. Möstl

Extreme precipitation shows non-stationary behavior over time, but also with respect to other large-scale variables. While this effect is often neglected, we propose a model including the influence of North Atlantic Oscillation, time,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Felix S. Fauer , Henning W. Rust

The extent of anthropogenic influence on the Earths climate warrants studies of the ocean as a major player. The ocean circulation is important for transporting properties like heat, carbon and nutrients. A supposed major conduit is the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-14 Hans van Haren

The solar activity provides an important impact not only on the intensity of cosmic rays but also on the earth environment. In this paper, a coupled oscillator model is proposed to explain the solar activity. By this model the 89 year…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-26 Yasushi Muraki

The aim of this paper is to extend our previous study of the solar-cycle variations of the meridional flows and to investigate their latitudinal and longitudinal structure in the subphotospheric layer, especially their variations in…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Michal Svanda , Alexander G. Kosovichev , Junwei Zhao

Annual North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) counts are frequently modeled as a Poisson process with a state-dependent rate. We provide a lower bound on the forecasting error of this class of models. Remarkably we find that this bound is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-10 Daniel Wesley , Michael E. Mann , Bhuvnesh Jain , Colin R. Twomey , Shannon Christiansen

Errors in applying regression models and wavelet filters used to analyze geophysical signals are discussed: (1) multidecadal natural oscillations (e.g. the quasi 60-year Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), North Atlantic Oscillation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-05-14 Nicola Scafetta

Context. Solar activity cycles vary in amplitude and duration. The variations can be at least partly explained by fluctuations in dynamo parameters. Aims. We want to restrict uncertainty in fluctuating dynamo parameters and find out which…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-18 L. L. Kitchatinov , A. V. Mordvinov , A. A. Nepomnyashchikh

The sunspot number data during the past 400 years indicates that both the profile and the amplitude of the solar cycle have large variations. Some precursors of the solar cycle were identified aiming to predict the solar cycle. The polar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Jie Jiang

The brightness of the Sun varies on all time scales on which it has been observed, and there is increasing evidence that it has an influence on climate. The amplitudes of such variations depend on the wavelength and possibly on the time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-06-13 S. K. Solanki , N. A. Krivova , J. D. Haigh

Projections from global climate models reveal a significant inter-model spread in future rainfall changes in the tropical Atlantic by the end of the 21st century, including alterations to the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-02 Giada Cerato , Katinka Bellomo , Roberta D Agostino , Jost von Hardenberg

This thesis assesses the influence of astronomical phenomena on the Earth's biosphere and climate. I examine in particular the relevance of both the path of the Sun through the Galaxy and the evolution of the Earth's orbital parameters in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-01 Fabo Feng

This study investigates climate change impacts on Moroccan Atlantic coastal upwelling (21$^{\circ}$--35$^{\circ}$N), analyzing interrelationships among the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Coastal Upwelling Index (CUI), and Sea Surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-18 Mohammed El Abdioui

Surface neutron counter data are often used as a proxy for atmospheric ionisation from cosmic rays in studies of extraterrestrial effects on climate. Neutron counter instrumentation was developed in the 1950s and relationships between…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 K. L. Aplin , R. G. Harrison , A. J. Bennett

The Sun provides the energy required to sustain life on Earth and drive our planet's atmospheric circulation. However, establishing a solid physical connection between solar and tropospheric variability has posed a considerable challenge…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-06 Robert J Leamon , Scott W. McIntosh , Daniel R. Marsh