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We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

In this paper, we obtain sharp asymptotic formulas with error estimates for the Mellin convolution of functions, and use these formulas to characterize the asymptotic behavior of marginal distribution densities of stock price processes in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-24 Archil Gulisashvili , Josep Vives

We provide a short-time large deviation principle (LDP) for stochastic volatility models, where the volatility is expressed as a function of a Volterra process. This LDP does not require strict self-similarity assumptions on the Volterra…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Giacomo Giorgio , Barbara Pacchiarotti , Paolo Pigato

We provide a general probabilistic framework within which we establish scaling limits for a class of continuous-time stochastic volatility models with self-exciting jump dynamics. In the scaling limit, the joint dynamics of asset returns…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-02 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu

In this short note we study the asymptotic behaviour of the minima over compact intervals of Gaussian processes, whose paths are not necessarily smooth. We show that, beyond the logarithmic large deviation Gaussian estimates, this problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Zhixin Wu , Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Financial time series exhibit a number of interesting properties that are difficult to explain with simple models. These properties include fat-tails in the distribution of price fluctuations (or returns) that are slowly removed at longer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Raoul Golan , Austin Gerig

We develop at-the-money call-price and implied volatility asymptotic expansions in time to maturity for a class of asset-price models whose log returns follow a L\'evy process. Under mild assumptions placing the driving L\'evy process in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-25 Allen Hoffmeyer , Christian Houdré

In this paper we study the short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility for arithmetic Asian options with fixed strike price. The asset price is assumed to follow the Black-Scholes model with a general stochastic volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Elisa Alòs , Eulalia Nualart , Makar Pravosud

This paper presents estimates for the distribution of the exit time from balls and short time asymptotics for measure metric Dirichlet spaces. The estimates cover the classical Gaussian case, the sub-diffusive case which can be observed on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andras Telcs

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We consider the at-the-money strike derivative of implied volatility as the maturity tends to zero. Our main results quantify the behavior of the slope for infinite activity exponential L\'evy models including a Brownian component. As…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Stefan Gerhold , I. Cetin Gülüm , Arpad Pinter

The estimation of the covariance structure from a discretely observed multivariate Gaussian process under asynchronicity and noise is analysed under high-frequency asymptotics. Asymptotic lower and upper bounds are established for a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Sebastian Holtz

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

Stochastic volatility models based on Gaussian processes, like fractional Brownian motion, are able to reproduce important stylized facts of financial markets such as rich autocorrelation structures, persistence and roughness of sample…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Eduardo Abi Jaber

We compute a sharp small-time estimate for implied volatility under a general uncorrelated local-stochastic volatility model. For this we use the Bellaiche \cite{Bel81} heat kernel expansion combined with Laplace's method to integrate over…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-07 John Armstrong , Martin Forde , Matthew Lorig , Hongzhong Zhang

We consider stochastic control systems affected by a fast mean reverting volatility $Y(t)$ driven by a pure jump L\'evy process. Motivated by a large literature on financial models, we assume that $Y(t)$ evolves at a faster time scale…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Martino Bardi , Annalisa Cesaroni , Andrea Scotti

We study the dependence of volatility on the stock price in the stochastic volatility framework on the example of the Heston model. To be more specific, we consider the conditional expectation of variance (square of volatility) under fixed…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-29 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

We characterize the behaviour of the Rough Heston model introduced by Jaisson\&Rosenbaum \cite{JR16} in the small-time, large-time and $\alpha \to 1/2$ (i.e. $H\to 0$) limits. We show that the short-maturity smile scales in qualitatively…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-05 Martin Forde , Stefan Gerhold , Benjamin Smith

The main goal of this article is to study the effect of small, highly nonlinear, unbounded drifts (small time large deviation principle (LDP) based on exponential equivalence arguments) for a class of stochastic partial differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Ankit Kumar , Manil T. Mohan

We propose a novel time discretization for the log-normal SABR model which is a popular stochastic volatility model that is widely used in financial practice. Our time discretization is a variant of the Euler-Maruyama scheme. We study its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-18 Dan Pirjol , Lingjiong Zhu