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Studies of ocean surface transport often invoke the "Eulerian-mean hypothesis": that wave-agnostic general circulation models neglecting explicit surface waves effects simulate the Eulerian-mean ocean velocity time-averaged over surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-02 Gregory LeClaire Wagner , Navid C. Constantinou , Brandon G. Reichl

The study explores Hurricane Michael's impact on Hurricane Leslie's trajectory predictability using ECMWF and NCEP ensemble systems. A clustering method focused on tropical cyclones is used to identify potential paths for Leslie: Cluster 1…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-24 Mauricio López-Reyes , J. J. González-Alemán , C. Calvo-Sancho , P. Bolgiani , M. Sastre , M. L. Martín

The challenge of traversability estimation is a crucial aspect of autonomous navigation in unstructured outdoor environments such as forests. It involves determining whether certain areas are passable or risky for robots, taking into…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Fetullah Atas , Grzegorz Cielniak , Lars Grimstad

Accurate information on waves and storm surges is essential to understand coastal hazards that are expected to increase in view of global warming and rising sea levels. Despite the recent advancement in development and application of…

This paper introduces a drift optimization model of stochastic optimization problems driven by regulated stochastic processes. A broad range of problems across operations research, machine learning, and statistics can be viewed as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Zihe Zhou , Harsha Honnappa , Raghu Pasupathy

Accurate traffic prediction is vital for effective traffic management during hurricane evacuation. This paper proposes a predictive modeling system that integrates Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Qinhua Jiang , Brian Yueshuai He , Changju Lee , Jiaqi Ma

Data-driven weather prediction models implicitly assume that the statistical relationship between predictors and targets is stationary. Under anthropogenic climate change, this assumption is violated, yet the structure of the resulting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-26 Haokun Zhou

A flexible spatio-temporal model is implemented to analyse extreme extra-tropical cyclones objectively identified over the Atlantic and Europe in 6-hourly re-analyses from 1979-2009. Spatial variation in the extremal properties of the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Theodoros Economou , David B. Stephenson , Christopher A. T. Ferro

Real-time motion prediction of a vessel or a floating platform can help to improve the performance of motion compensation systems. It can also provide useful early-warning information for offshore operations that are critical with regard to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Xiaoxian Guo , Xiantao Zhang , Xinliang Tian , Xin Li , Wenyue Lu

We use Lagrangian diagnostics (the leaking and the exchange methods) to characterize surface transport out of and between selected regions in the Western Mediterranean. Velocity fields are obtained from a numerical model. Residence times of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Judit Schneider , Vicente Fernandez , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia

A stochastic approach is implemented to address the problem of a marine structure exposed to water wave impacts. The focus is on (i) the average frequency of wave impacts, and (ii) the related probability distribution of impact kinematic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-24 Romain Hascoët , Marc Prevosto , Nicolas Raillard , Nicolas Jacques , Alan Tassin

Drift analysis is a powerful tool for analyzing the time complexity of evolutionary algorithms. However, it requires manual construction of drift functions to bound hitting time for each specific algorithm and problem. To address this…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Jun He , Siang Yew Chong , Xin Yao

We report on the retrieval of directional sea surface roughness, in terms of its full directional mean square slope (including direction and isotropy), from Global Navigation Satellite System Reflections (GNSS-R) Delay-Doppler-Map (DDM)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 O. Germain , G. Ruffini , F. Soulat , M. Caparrini , B. Chapron , P. Silvestrin

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is essential for collision avoidance in autonomous driving and robot navigation. However, predicting a pedestrian's trajectory in crowded environments is non-trivial as it is influenced by other pedestrians'…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Sirin Haddad , Meiqing Wu , He Wei , Siew Kei Lam

We present a general mathematical framework for trajectory stratification for simulating rare events. Trajectory stratification involves decomposing trajectories of the underlying process into fragments limited to restricted regions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-15 Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Jeremy O. B. Tempkin , Brian Van Koten , Jonathan Weare

Lifelong machine learning or continual learning models attempt to learn incrementally by accumulating knowledge across a sequence of tasks. Therefore, these models learn better and faster. They are used in various intelligent systems that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Khouloud Saadi , Muhammad Taimoor Khan

Machine Learning has become a pervasive tool in climate science applications. However, current models fail to address nonstationarity induced by anthropogenic alterations in greenhouse emissions and do not routinely quantify the uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Simon Dräger , Maike Sonnewald

The implementation of road user models that realistically reproduce a credible behavior in a multi-agentsimulation is still an open problem. A data-driven approach consists on to deduce behaviors that may exist in real situation to obtain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Nelson de Moura , Augustin Gervreau-Mercier , Fernando Garrido , Fawzi Nashashibi

Machine learning emulators have shown extraordinary skill in forecasting atmospheric states, and their application to global ocean dynamics offers similar promise. Here, we adapt the GraphCast architecture into a dedicated ocean-only…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Niraj Agarwal , Timothy A. Smith , Sergey Frolov , Laura C. Slivinski

Inspired by spatiotemporal observations from satellites of the trajectories of objects drifting near the surface of the ocean in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's `Global Drifter Program', this paper develops data-driven…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-19 François Gay-Balmaz , Darryl D. Holm