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In this paper, we propose a new method to forecast the drift of objects in near coastal ocean on a period of several weeks. The proposed approach consists in estimating the probability of events linked to the drift using Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pierre Ailliot , Emmanuel Frenod , Valerie Monbet

Partitioning ocean flows into regions dynamically distinct from their surroundings based on material transport can assist search-and-rescue planning by reducing the search domain. The spectral clustering method partitions the domain by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-28 Guilherme S. Vieira , Irina I. Rypina , Michael R. Allshouse

The water following characteristics of six different drifter types are investigated using two different operational marine environmental prediction systems: one produced by Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) and the other produced…

A new operational, ensemble-based search and rescue model for the Norwegian Sea and the North Sea is presented. The stochastic trajectory model computes the net motion of a range of search and rescue objects. A new, robust formulation for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-11-07 Øyvind Breivik , Arthur A Allen

Using a probabilistic neural network and Lagrangian observations from the Global Drifter Program, we model the single particle transition probability density function (pdf) of ocean surface drifters. The transition pdf is represented by a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-12 Martin T. Brolly

Floating marine debris represent a threat to marine and coastal ecology. Since the Mediterranean basin is one of the highly impacted regions, both by the coastal pollution as well as from sea traffic, the potential harm of a floating…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-04-20 Elena Shchekinova , Yogesh Kumkar

Drifters designed to mimic floating marine debris and small patches of pelagic \emph{Sargassum} were satellite tracked in four regions across the North Atlantic. Though subjected to the same initial conditions at each site, the tracks of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-28 P. Miron , M. J. Olascoaga , F. J. Beron-Vera , N. F. Putman , J. Trinanes , R. Lumpkin , G. J. Goni

Reconstructions of Lagrangian drift, for example for objects lost at sea, are often uncertain due to unresolved physical phenomena within the data. Uncertainty is usually overcome by introducing stochasticity into the drift, but this…

This paper proposes stochastic models for the analysis of ocean surface trajectories obtained from freely-drifting satellite-tracked instruments. The proposed time series models are used to summarise large multivariate datasets and infer…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Jonathan M. Lilly , Eric Danioux

Accurately predicting the drift (displacement) of leeway objects in maritime environments remains a critical challenge, particularly in time-sensitive scenarios such as search and rescue operations. In this study, we propose a multi-modal…

We analyze characteristics of drifter trajectories from the Adriatic Sea with recently introduced nonlinear dynamics techniques. We discuss how in quasi-enclosed basins, relative dispersion as function of time, a standard analysis tool in…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Guglielmo Lacorata , Erik Aurell , Angelo Vulpiani

Mediterranean cyclones are extreme meteorological events of which much less is known compared to their tropical, oceanic counterparts. The raising interest in such phenomena is due to their impact on a region increasingly more affected by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-28 L. Roveri , L. Fery , L. Cavicchia , F. Grotto

This paper introduces an energy-preserving stochastic model for studying wave effects on currents in the ocean mixing layer. The model is called stochastic forcing by Lie transport (SFLT). The SFLT model is derived here from a stochastic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-21 Darryl D. Holm , Ruiao Hu

Vessel trajectory clustering, a crucial component of the maritime intelligent transportation systems, provides valuable insights for applications such as anomaly detection and trajectory prediction. This paper presents a comprehensive…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-22 Maohan Liang , Ryan Wen Liu , Ruobin Gao , Zhe Xiao , Xiaocai Zhang , Hua Wang

Lagrangian ocean drifters provide highly accurate approximations of ocean surface currents but are sparsely located across the globe. As drifters passively follow ocean currents, there is minimal control on where they will be making…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-01 Nikolas O. Aksamit , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , George Haller

We address Lagrangian drift simulation in geophysical dynamics and explore deep learning approaches to overcome known limitations of state-of-the-art model-based and Markovian approaches in terms of computational complexity and error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Daria Botvynko , Carlos Granero-Belinchon , Simon Van Gennip , Abdesslam Benzinou , Ronan Fablet

Forecasting ocean drift trajectories are important for many applications, including search and rescue operations, oil spill cleanup and iceberg risk mitigation. In an operational setting, forecasts of drift trajectories are produced based…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-26 Håvard Heitlo Holm , Martin Lilleeng Sætra , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

The objective of this paper is to employ machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to obtain from input data (storm features) available in or derived from the HURDAT2 database models capable of simulating important hurricane…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-16 Rikhi Bose , Adam L. Pintar , Emil Simiu

In situ and remotely sensed observations have potential to facilitate data-driven predictive models for oceanography. A suite of machine learning models, including regression, decision tree and deep learning approaches were developed to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Stefan Wolff , Fearghal O'Donncha , Bei Chen

The leeway of 20-foot containers in typical distress conditions is established through field experiments in a Norwegian fjord and in open-ocean conditions off the coast of France with wind speed ranging from calm to 14 m/s. The experimental…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-04-16 Øyvind Breivik , Arthur A. Allen , Christophe Maisondieu , Jens-Christian Roth , Bertrand Forest
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