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Single-index models or time-to-event models are frequently applied in empirical research. These models are non-identifiable in presence of unknown (dependent) censoring or competing risks and do not give informative results in empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Jia-Han Shih , Simon M. S. Lo , Ralf A. Wilke

The paper develops no arbitrage results for trajectory based models by imposing general constraints on the trading portfolios. The main condition imposed, in order to avoid arbitrage opportunities, is a local continuity requirement on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Alexander Alvarez , Sebastian Ferrando

This paper gives an arbitrage-free prediction for future prices of an arbitrary co-terminal set of options with a given maturity, based on the observed time series of these option prices. The statistical analysis of such a multi-dimensional…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-22 Petros Dellaportas , Aleksandar Mijatović

This paper presents a central limit theorem for a pre-averaged version of the realized covariance estimator for the quadratic covariation of a discretely observed semimartingale with noise. The semimartingale possibly has jumps, while the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Yuta Koike

In this study, we investigate asset price bubbles in a discrete-time, discrete-state market under model uncertainty and short sales prohibitions. Building on a new fundamental theorem of asset pricing and a superhedging duality in this…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-25 Wenqing Zhang

We extend the information-based asset-pricing framework by Brody, Hughston \& Macrina to incorporate a stochastic bankruptcy time for the writer of the asset. Our model introduces a non-defaultable cash flow $Z_T$ to be made at time $T$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Mohammed Louriki

No-arbitrage asset pricing characterizes valuation through the existence of equivalent martingale measures relative to a filtration and a class of admissible trading strategies. In practice, pricing is performed across multiple asset…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

A continuous-path semimartingale market model with wealth processes discounted by a riskless asset is considered. The numeraire portfolio is the unique strictly positive wealth process that, when used as a benchmark to denominate all other…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-24 Constantinos Kardaras

The paper studies sub and super-replication price bounds for contingent claims defined on general trajectory based market models. No prior probabilistic or topological assumptions are placed on the trajectory space, trading is assumed to…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-22 Ivan Degano , Sebastian Ferrando , Alfredo Gonzalez

We study a financial market where the risky asset is modelled by a geometric It\^o-L\'{e}vy process, with a singular drift term. This can for example model a situation where the asset price is partially controlled by a company which…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-24 Nacira Agram , Bernt Øksendal

We investigate the problem of monitoring partially observable systems with nondeterministic and probabilistic dynamics. In such systems, every state may be associated with a risk, e.g., the probability of an imminent crash. During runtime,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Sebastian Junges , Hazem Torfah , Sanjit A. Seshia

Given a stock price process, we analyse the potential of arbitrage by insiders in a context of short-selling prohibitions. We introduce the notion of minimal supermartingale measure, and we analyse its properties in connection to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-13 Delia Coculescu , Aditi Dandapani

Dzhaparidze and Spreij [5] showed that the quadratic variation of a semimartingale can be approximated using a randomized periodogram. We show that the same approximation is valid for a special class of continuous stochastic processes. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-07 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Esko Valkeila

We build a general model for pricing defaultable claims. In addition to the usual absence of arbitrage assumption, we assume that one defaultable asset (at least) looses value when the default occurs. We prove that under this assumption, in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-04 Delia Coculescu

We propose a unified analysis of a whole spectrum of no-arbitrage conditions for financial market models based on continuous semimartingales. In particular, we focus on no-arbitrage conditions weaker than the classical notions of No…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-14 Claudio Fontana

In this study, we consider the asset pricing under model uncertainty with discrete time and states structure. For the single-period securities model, we give a novel definition of arbitrage under a family of probability, and explore of its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-25 Shuzhen Yang , Wenqing Zhang

This paper does not suppose a priori that the evolution of the price of a financial asset is a semimartingale. Since possible strategies of investors are self-financing, previous prices are forced to be finite quadratic variation processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rosanna Coviello , Francesco Russo

This papers addresses the stock option pricing problem in a continuous time market model where there are two stochastic tradable assets, and one of them is selected as a num\'eraire. It is shown that the presence of arbitrarily small…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-01 Nikolai Dokuchaev

In a discrete time setting, we study the central problem of giving a fair price to some financial product. For several decades, the no-arbitrage conditions and the martingale measures have played a major role for solving this problem. We…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-07 Laurence Carassus , Emmanuel Lépinette

We derive closed-form solutions to the optimal stopping problems related to the pricing of perpetual American standard and lookback put and call options in the extensions of the Black-Merton-Scholes model with progressively enlarged…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Pavel V. Gapeev , Libo Li