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We study K-processes, which are Markov processes in a denumerable state space, all of whose elements are stable, with the exception of a single state, starting from which the process enters finite sets of stable states with uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pierre Mathieu

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

A formula for the transition density of a Markov process defined by an infinite-dimensional stochastic equation is given in terms of the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck bridge and a useful lower estimate on the density is provided. As a consequence,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 B. Goldys , B. Maslowski

Systems of stochastic particles evolving in a multi-well energy landscape and attracted to their barycenter is the prototypical example of mean-field process undergoing phase transitions: at low temperature, the corresponding mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Pierre Monmarché

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of population processes with unbounded absorption rate, including one-dimensional birth and death processes with catastrophes and multi-dimensional birth and death processes, modeling…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We consider time-continuous Markovian discrete-state dynamics on random networks of interacting agents and study the large population limit. The dynamics are projected onto low-dimensional collective variables given by the shares of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Marvin Lücke , Jobst Heitzig , Péter Koltai , Nora Molkenthin , Stefanie Winkelmann

We study the continuous absorbing-state phase transition in the one-dimensional diffusive epidemic process via mean-field theory and Monte Carlo simulation. In this model, particles of two species (A and B) hop on a lattice and undergo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Daniel Souza Maia , Ronald Dickman

We investigate local-density dependent Markov processes on a class of large graphs sampled from a graphon, where the transition rates of the vertices are influenced by the states of their neighbors. We show that as the average degree…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Daniel Keliger , Illes Horvath , Balint Takacs

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent $p-$coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Steven P. Lalley

Representations of branching Markov processes and their measure-valued limits in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed for models with spatially varying birth and death rates. Each particle has a location and a "level,"…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Thomas G. Kurtz , Eliane R. Rodrigues

Stochastic epidemic models on networks are inherently high-dimensional and the resulting exact models are intractable numerically even for modest network sizes. Mean-field models provide an alternative but can only capture average…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-03 Francesco Di Lauro , Jean-Charles Croix , Luc Berthouze , István Kiss

Many real-world phenomena can be modelled as dynamical processes on networks, a prominent example being the spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Mean-field approximations are a widely used tool to analyse such dynamical processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Jonathan A. Ward , Gábor Timár , Péter L. Simon

Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-30 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

This paper presents sufficient conditions for the existence of stationary optimal policies for average-cost Markov Decision Processes with Borel state and action sets and with weakly continuous transition probabilities. The one-step cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-02-21 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Nina V. Zadoianchuk

The discrete class algorithm presented in this paper is an efficient simulation tool for stochastic processes governed by a reasonably small set of transition rates. The algorithm is presented, its performance compared to prevailing methods…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 Hans E. Plesser , Dietmar Wendt

In this paper we introduce and discuss kinetic equations for the evolution of the probability distribution of the number of particles in a population subject to binary interactions. The microscopic binary law of interaction is assumed to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Federico Bassetti , Giuseppe Toscani

Mean-field models are a popular tool in a variety of fields. They provide an understanding of the impact of interactions among a large number of particles or people or other "self-interested agents", and are an increasingly popular tool in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Ana Bušić , Sean Meyn

The use of coordinate processes for the modelling of impulse control for general Markov processes typically involves the construction of a probability measure on a countable product of copies of the path space. In addition, admissibility of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-02 K. L. Helmes , R. H. Stockbridge , C. Zhu

This paper calculates transient distributions of a special class of Markov processes with continuous state space and in continuous time, up to an explicit error bound. We approximate specific queues on R with one-sided L\'evy input, such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

This paper presents a stochastic model motivated by the study of a virus-like evolving population with different mutation rates. This is a continuous time birth-death model: the birth processes are mutually-exciting Hawkes processes and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Rahul Roy , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Paola Tardelli