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In this paper we present a probabilistic analysis framework to estimate behind-the-meter photovoltaic generation in real time. We develop a forward model consisting of a spatiotemporal stochastic process that represents the photovoltaic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-23 Shaohui Liu , Daniel Adrian Maldonado , Emil M. Constantinescu

The ordinary contact process is used to model the spread of a disease in a population. In this model, each infected individual waits an exponentially distributed time with parameter 1 before becoming healthy. In this paper, we introduce and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Erik I. Broman

Cells of the human body have nearly identical genome but exhibit very different phenotypes that allow them to carry out specific functions and react to changes in their surrounding environment. This division of labour is achieved by…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-24 Hanan Dreiwi , Flavia Feliciangeli , Mario Castro , Grant Lythe , Carmen Molina-París , Martín López-García

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread on the complete graph on $N$ vertices incorporating dynamic partnerships, which we assume to be monogamous. This can be seen as a variation on the contact process in which some form of edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Eric Foxall , Roderick Edwards , P. van den Driessche

In this work, we present a method to generate probability distributions and classes of probability distributions, which broadens a process of probability distribution construction. In this method, distribution classes are built from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Cícero Carlos Ramos de Brito , Leandro Chaves Rêgo , Wilson Rosa de Oliveira

Disease mapping focuses on learning about areal units presenting high relative risk. Disease mapping models for disease counts specify Poisson regressions in relative risks compared with the expected counts. These models typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-26 Feifei Wang , Jian Wang , Alan E. Gelfand , Fan Li

Galaxies and clusters distributions show two major properties: (i) the positions of galaxies and clusters are characterized by a power law distribution indicating properties with respect to their positions. (ii) The distribution of masses…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-09-25 Francesco Sylos Labini , Luciano Pietronero

Besides mimicking bio-chemical and multi-scale communication mechanisms, molecular communication forms a theoretical framework for virus infection processes. Towards this goal, aerosol and droplet transmission has recently been modeled as a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Peter Adam Hoeher , Martin Damrath , Sunasheer Bhattacharjee , Max Schurwanz

Many data-driven decision problems are formulated using a nominal distribution estimated from historical data, while performance is ultimately determined by a deployment distribution that may be shifted, context-dependent, partially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xiuyuan Cheng , Yunqin Zhu , Yao Xie

To ensure the effective and objective development of transportation networks, it is crucial to identify performance limitations across various subsystems. A timetable-independent assessment of infrastructure capacity at railway junctions is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Tamme Emunds , Nils Nießen

We provide an overview of the hybrid compositional distributional model of meaning, developed in Coecke et al. (arXiv:1003.4394v1 [cs.CL]), which is based on the categorical methods also applied to the analysis of information flow in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2011-06-08 Mehrnoosh Sadrzadeh , Edward Grefenstette

In this paper, a new mixed Poisson distribution is introduced. This new distribution is obtained by utilizing mixing process, with Poisson distribution as mixed distribution and Transmuted Exponential distribution as mixing distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-05 Deepesh Bhati , Pooja Kumawat , E. Gómez Déniz

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo

This study presents an integrated approach to understanding epidemic dynamics through a stochastic spatio-temporal simulation model on a multiplex network, blending physical and informational layers. The physical layer maps the geographic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-26 H. M. Shadman Tabib , Jaber Ahmed Deedar , K. M. Ariful Kabir

This paper introduces vector copulas associated with multivariate distributions with given multivariate marginals, based on the theory of measure transportation, and establishes a vector version of Sklar's theorem. The latter provides a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-14 Yanqin Fan , Marc Henry

We introduce a stochastic agent-based model for the flocking dynamics of self-propelled particles that exhibit velocity-alignment interactions with neighbours within their field of view. The stochasticity in the dynamics of the model arises…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-24 Trilochan Bagarti , Shakti N. Menon

Epidemic dynamics in a stochastic network of interacting epidemic centers is considered. The epidemic and migration processes are modelled by Markov's chains. Explicit formulas for probability distribution of the migration process are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-05 Igor Sazonov , Mark Kelbert

We develop a stochastic two-patch epidemic model with nonlinear recidivism to investigate infectious disease dynamics in heterogeneous populations. Extending a deterministic framework, we introduce stochasticity to account for random…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-21 Juan G. Calvo , Mario I. Simoy , Juan P. Aparicio , José E. Chacón , Fabio Sanchez

The vast majority of models for the spread of communicable diseases are parametric in nature and involve underlying assumptions about how the disease spreads through a population. In this article we consider the use of Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-12 Theodore Kypraios , Philip D. O'Neill

In quantum many-body systems, measurements can induce qualitative new features, but their simulation is hindered by the exponential complexity involved in sampling the measurement results. We propose to use machine learning to assist the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-03 Yuchen Zhu , Molei Tao , Yuebo Jin , Xie Chen