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We consider conditioned Galton-Watson trees and show asymptotic normality of additive functionals that are defined by toll functions that are not too large. This includes, as a special case, asymptotic normality of the number of fringe…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-05 Svante Janson

We prove a Berry-Esseen theorem, a local central limit theorem and (local) large and (global) moderate deviations principles for i.i.d. (uniformly) random non-uniformly expanding or hyperbolic maps with exponential first return times. Using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-19 Yeor Hafouta

We give a unified treatment of the limit, as the size tends to infinity, of simply generated random trees, including both the well-known result in the standard case of critical Galton--Watson trees and similar but less well-known results in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Svante Janson

We study $S(\mathcal T_{n})$, the number of subtrees in a conditioned Galton--Watson tree of size $n$. With two very different methods, we show that $\log(S(\mathcal T_{n}))$ has a Central Limit Law and that the moments of $S(\mathcal…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Xing Shi Cai , Svante Janson

The upper tail problem in a sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph asks for the probability that the number of copies of some fixed subgraph exceeds its expected value by a constant factor. We study the analogous problem for oriented subgraphs in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Jiyun Park

We provide a complete picture of the local convergence of critical or subcritical Galton-Watson tree conditioned on having a large number of individuals with out-degree in a given set. The generic case, where the limit is a random tree with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Romain Abraham , Jean-Francois Delmas

In this paper we consider inhomogeneous Galton-Watson trees, and derive various moments for such processes: the number of vertices, the number of leaves, and the height of the tree. Also we make a simple condition of finiteness. We use…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-09 Jakob G. Rasmussen , Troels Pedersen , Rasmus L. Olsen

Recently, Abraham and Delmas constructed the distributions of super-critical L\'evy trees truncated at a fixed height by connecting super-critical L\'evy trees to (sub)critical L\'evy trees via a martingale transformation. A similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-08 Hui He , Nana Luan

We consider the random conductance model, where the underlying graph is an infinite supercritical Galton--Watson tree, the conductances are independent but their distribution may depend on the degree of the incident vertices. We prove that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Nina Gantert , Sebastian Müller , Serguei Popov , Marina Vachkovskaia

We study the diameter of L{\'e}vy trees that are random compact metric spaces obtained as the scaling limits of Galton-Watson trees. L{\'e}vy trees have been introduced by Le Gall and Le Jan (1998) and they generalise Aldous' Continuum…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Thomas Duquesne , Minmin Wang

We first establish new local limit estimates for the probability that a nondecreasing integer-valued random walk lies at time $n$ at an arbitrary value, encompassing in particular large deviation regimes. This enables us to derive scaling…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Igor Kortchemski , Cyril Marzouk

Consider the edge-deletion process in which the edges of some finite tree T are removed one after the other in the uniform random order. Roughly speaking, the cut-tree then describes the genealogy of connected components appearing in this…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-23 Jean Bertoin , Grégory Miermont

Under the assumption that the distribution of a nonnegative random variable $X$ admits a bounded coupling with its size biased version, we prove simple and strong concentration bounds. In particular the upper tail probability is shown to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Richard Arratia , Peter Baxendale

We establish Hoeffding-type concentration inequalities for the low and high tail bounds of sums of exchangeable random variables. Our results exhibit an anti-symmetry in such tail bounds due to the assumption of exchangeability, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Nina Maria Gottschling , Michele Caprio

Extreme events and the heavy tail distributions driven by them are ubiquitous in various scientific, engineering and financial research. They are typically associated with stochastic instability caused by hidden unresolved processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 D. Denisov , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

Let $(W_n(\theta))_{n \in \mathbb{N}_0}$ be Biggins' martingale associated with a supercritical branching random walk, and let $W(\theta)$ be its almost sure limit. Under a natural condition for the offspring point process in the branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

Under K.-T. Sturm's formulation, we obtain a Gaussian upper bound for tail probability of mean value of independent, identically distributed random variables with values in $\mathbb{R}$-trees and Hadamard manifolds.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-04 Kei Funano

We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Nina Gantert , Kavita Ramanan , Franz Rembart

In this paper we consider the one-dimensional, biased, randomly trapped random walk when the trapping times have infinite variance. We prove sufficient conditions for the suitably scaled walk to converge to a transformation of a stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Adam Bowditch